# Barrow and Furness: election prediction

Labour hold, 82% likely. Reform UK: 10% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Michelle Scrogham
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 56.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.4% | 43.9% |
| Reform UK | 25.7% | 16.7% |
| Conservative | 24.2% | 31.3% |
| Restore Britain | 5.9% | – |
| Green | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Lib Dem | 3.8% | 4.0% |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/barrow-and-furness), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/barrow-and-furness.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)