# Barnsley South: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 70% likely. Labour: 29% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Stephanie Peacock
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 46.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 36.9% | 33.2% |
| Labour | 32.2% | 46.7% |
| Restore Britain | 14.0% | – |
| Conservative | 7.6% | 9.3% |
| Green | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Lib Dem | 2.9% | 3.3% |
| Independent | 1.4% | 3.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/barnsley-south), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/barnsley-south.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)