# Barnsley North: election prediction

Labour hold, 56% likely. Reform UK: 43% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Dan Jarvis
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 47.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 35.3% | 50.4% |
| Reform UK | 34.1% | 29.3% |
| Restore Britain | 12.4% | – |
| Conservative | 7.4% | 8.4% |
| Green | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Lib Dem | 3.3% | 3.6% |
| Independent | 1.5% | 3.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/barnsley-north), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/barnsley-north.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)