# Barking: election prediction

Labour hold, 96% likely. Green: 3% chance.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Nesil Caliskan
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 45.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 35.9% | 44.5% |
| Reform UK | 21.3% | 14.2% |
| Green | 19.2% | 13.7% |
| Conservative | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Independent | 4.2% | 13.1% |
| Lib Dem | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Restore Britain | 3.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/barking), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/barking.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)