# Bangor Aberconwy: election prediction

Plaid Cymru gain from Labour, 80% likely. Reform UK: 13% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Claire Hughes
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Plaid Cymru | 29.2% | 21.9% |
| Reform UK | 22.4% | 14.6% |
| Labour | 17.6% | 33.6% |
| Conservative | 17.0% | 21.7% |
| Green | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Lib Dem | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Independent | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Restore Britain | 1.6% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/bangor-aberconwy), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/bangor-aberconwy.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)