# Ashton-under-Lyne: election prediction

Labour hold, 66% likely. Reform UK: 34% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Angela Rayner
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 49.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.3% | 43.9% |
| Reform UK | 30.6% | 24.8% |
| Conservative | 9.9% | 12.3% |
| Green | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Restore Britain | 8.0% | – |
| Independent | 5.8% | 8.0% |
| Lib Dem | 3.5% | 4.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/ashton-under-lyne), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/ashton-under-lyne.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)