# Ashford: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 55% likely. Labour: 43% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Sojan Joseph
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 61.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 30.1% | 21.6% |
| Labour | 28.5% | 32.5% |
| Conservative | 19.4% | 28.7% |
| Green | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Restore Britain | 6.4% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.7% | 5.2% |
| Independent | 2.7% | 2.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/ashford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/ashford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)