# Arundel and South Downs: election prediction

Conservative hold, 99% likely.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Andrew Griffith
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 70.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 36.1% | 40.2% |
| Reform UK | 20.3% | 13.5% |
| Labour | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| Lib Dem | 12.9% | 18.0% |
| Green | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| Restore Britain | 3.3% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/arundel-and-south-downs), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/arundel-and-south-downs.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)