# Arbroath and Broughty Ferry: election prediction

SNP hold, 97% likely.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Lara Bird (elected in 2024: Stephen Gethins)
- 2024 winner: SNP, turnout 57.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 38.4% | 35.3% |
| Reform UK | 22.3% | 8.6% |
| Labour | 15.0% | 33.4% |
| Conservative | 14.0% | 15.5% |
| Lib Dem | 4.7% | 5.1% |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | – |
| Independent | 1.9% | 2.1% |
| Green | 1.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/arbroath-and-broughty-ferry), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/arbroath-and-broughty-ferry.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)