# Amber Valley: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 77% likely. Labour: 22% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Linsey Farnsworth
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 34.4% | 28.7% |
| Labour | 28.5% | 37.0% |
| Conservative | 17.9% | 25.2% |
| Restore Britain | 9.6% | – |
| Green | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Lib Dem | 2.9% | 3.7% |
| Independent | 0.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/amber-valley), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/amber-valley.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)