# Alyn and Deeside: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 86% likely. Labour: 14% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Mark Tami
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 32.1% | 22.1% |
| Labour | 23.7% | 42.4% |
| Conservative | 15.3% | 18.2% |
| Plaid Cymru | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Green | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Lib Dem | 4.3% | 4.8% |
| Independent | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| Restore Britain | 3.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/alyn-and-deeside), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/alyn-and-deeside.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)