# Alloa and Grangemouth: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 75% likely. Labour: 23% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Brian Leishman
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 58.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 31.4% | 28.9% |
| Labour | 24.7% | 43.8% |
| Reform UK | 20.1% | 9.2% |
| Conservative | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Green | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Independent | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| Lib Dem | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Restore Britain | 3.1% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/alloa-and-grangemouth), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/alloa-and-grangemouth.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)