# Aldershot: election prediction

Labour hold, 88% likely. Reform UK: 12% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Alex Baker
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 61.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.9% | 40.7% |
| Reform UK | 26.6% | 16.9% |
| Conservative | 19.7% | 29.0% |
| Green | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Lib Dem | 5.5% | 8.3% |
| Restore Britain | 4.9% | – |
| Independent | 1.4% | 0.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/aldershot), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/aldershot.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)