# Airdrie and Shotts: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 67% likely. Labour: 33% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Kenneth Stevenson
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 52.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 33.3% | 30.9% |
| Labour | 28.7% | 51.5% |
| Reform UK | 19.3% | 8.1% |
| Conservative | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Independent | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Restore Britain | 3.4% | – |
| Green | 3.1% | – |
| Lib Dem | 2.6% | 2.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/airdrie-and-shotts), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/airdrie-and-shotts.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)