# Aberdeenshire North and Moray East: election prediction

Reform UK gain from SNP, 48% likely. SNP: 47% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Seamus Logan
- 2024 winner: SNP, turnout 54.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 31.5% | 14.6% |
| SNP | 31.2% | 35.2% |
| Conservative | 21.2% | 32.8% |
| Labour | 5.1% | 10.1% |
| Restore Britain | 5.0% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.1% | 7.3% |
| Green | 0.9% | – |
| Independent | 0.9% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/aberdeenshire-north-and-moray-east), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/aberdeenshire-north-and-moray-east.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)