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Anderson" }, { "name": "Ashford", "slug": "ashford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ashford", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.546, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.428, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.5, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 30.1, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 9.2, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 2.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.5, "Con": 28.7, "Ref": 21.6, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 9.3, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 61.6 }, "mp": "Sojan Joseph", "mp_elected_2024": "Sojan Joseph" }, { "name": "Ashton-under-Lyne", "slug": "ashton-under-lyne", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ashton-under-lyne", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.657, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 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"Claire Hughes" }, { "name": "Barking", "slug": "barking", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/barking", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.957, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.03, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.9, "Con": 12.2, "Ref": 21.3, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 19.2, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 4.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.5, "Con": 11.8, "Ref": 14.2, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 13.7, "Oth": 13.1 }, "turnout": 45.7 }, "mp": "Nesil Caliskan", "mp_elected_2024": "Nesil Caliskan" }, { "name": "Barnsley North", "slug": "barnsley-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/barnsley-north", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.56, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.432, 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{ "name": "Barrow and Furness", "slug": "barrow-and-furness", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/barrow-and-furness", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.822, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.103, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.4, "Con": 24.2, "Ref": 25.7, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 5, "RB": 5.9, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.9, "Con": 31.3, "Ref": 16.7, "LD": 4, "Grn": 3.5, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 56.3 }, "mp": "Michelle Scrogham", "mp_elected_2024": "Michelle Scrogham" }, { "name": "Basildon and Billericay", "slug": "basildon-and-billericay", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/basildon-and-billericay", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.834, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.108, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.3, "Con": 24.1, "Ref": 33.1, "LD": 4, "Grn": 6.5, "RB": 8.9, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.6, "Con": 30.6, "Ref": 27, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 54.8 }, "mp": "Richard Holden", "mp_elected_2024": "Richard Holden" }, { "name": "Basingstoke", "slug": "basingstoke", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/basingstoke", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.972, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.017, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.1, "Con": 20.7, "Ref": 22.1, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 10, "RB": 4.1, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.7, "Con": 29.5, "Ref": 12.9, "LD": 6.5, "Grn": 7.3, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 62.4 }, "mp": "Luke Murphy", "mp_elected_2024": "Luke Murphy" }, { "name": "Bassetlaw", "slug": "bassetlaw", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bassetlaw", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.59, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.397, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.3, "Con": 20.2, "Ref": 30.4, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 5.7, "RB": 7.6, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.2, "Con": 28.3, "Ref": 21.7, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 4.3 }, "turnout": 57.4 }, "mp": "Jo White", "mp_elected_2024": "Jo White" }, { "name": "Bath", "slug": "bath", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bath", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.83, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.133, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 18.7, "Con": 13, "Ref": 11.9, "LD": 30.3, "Grn": 21.2, "RB": 1.8, "Oth": 3.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 18, "Con": 15.9, "Ref": 7.9, "LD": 41.3, "Grn": 12.4, "Oth": 4.5 }, "turnout": 69.1 }, "mp": "Wera Hobhouse", "mp_elected_2024": "Wera Hobhouse" }, { "name": "Bathgate and Linlithgow", "slug": "bathgate-and-linlithgow", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bathgate-and-linlithgow", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.609, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.376, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.1, "Con": 8, "Ref": 18.8, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 5.8, "SNP": 30.3, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 2.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47, "Con": 7.5, "Ref": 8.4, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 3.3, "SNP": 27.2, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 58.3 }, "mp": "Kirsteen Sullivan", "mp_elected_2024": "Kirsteen Sullivan" }, { "name": "Battersea", "slug": "battersea", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/battersea", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.997, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 42.4, "Con": 19.6, "Ref": 9.2, "LD": 10.7, "Grn": 16.6, "RB": 0.6, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.8, "Con": 23.2, "Ref": 6, "LD": 10.3, "Grn": 9, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 64.6 }, "mp": "Marsha De Cordova", "mp_elected_2024": "Marsha De Cordova" }, { "name": "Beaconsfield", "slug": "beaconsfield", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/beaconsfield", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.969, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.027, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.1, "Con": 34.9, "Ref": 18.8, "LD": 19, "Grn": 7.3, "RB": 2.4, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 15.1, "Con": 38.8, "Ref": 12.7, "LD": 27.3, "Grn": 4.1, "Oth": 2 }, "turnout": 65.6 }, "mp": "Joy Morrissey", "mp_elected_2024": "Joy Morrissey" }, { "name": "Beckenham and Penge", "slug": "beckenham-and-penge", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/beckenham-and-penge", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.987, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.014, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.9, "Con": 23.8, "Ref": 15.4, "LD": 8.7, "Grn": 9.7, "RB": 2.2, "Oth": 0.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.3, "Con": 24.6, "Ref": 10.3, "LD": 8.5, "Grn": 7.3 }, "turnout": 67.6 }, "mp": "Liam Conlon", "mp_elected_2024": "Liam Conlon" }, { "name": "Bedford", "slug": "bedford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bedford", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.993, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.004, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.7, "Con": 17.1, "Ref": 19.6, "LD": 8.7, "Grn": 11.7, "RB": 2.9, "Oth": 4.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.1, "Con": 21.9, "Ref": 11.2, "LD": 9.9, "Grn": 5.9, "Oth": 6 }, "turnout": 56.1 }, "mp": "Mohammad Yasin", "mp_elected_2024": "Mohammad Yasin" }, { "name": "Belfast East", "slug": "belfast-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/belfast-east", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "DUP", "projected_winner_name": "DUP", "win_chance": 0.721, "status": "DUP hold", "runner_up": "APNI", "runner_up_name": "Alliance", "runner_up_chance": 0.28, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "DUP", 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"projected_winner_name": "SDLP", "win_chance": 1, "status": "SDLP hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "SDLP", "vote_share": { "Oth": 3.6, "TUV": 5.1, "UUP": 6.1, "DUP": 15.8, "APNI": 20.3, "SDLP": 49.1 }, "turnout": 58.2 }, "mp": "Claire Hanna", "mp_elected_2024": "Claire Hanna" }, { "name": "Belfast West", "slug": "belfast-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/belfast-west", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "SF", "projected_winner_name": "Sinn Féin", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Sinn Féin hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "SF", "vote_share": { "Oth": 16.5, "UUP": 1.2, "APNI": 2.7, "TUV": 5.1, "DUP": 10.8, "SDLP": 10.9, "SF": 52.9 }, "turnout": 52.7 }, "mp": "Paul Maskey", "mp_elected_2024": "Paul Maskey" }, { "name": "Bermondsey and Old 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"runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.214, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.7, "Con": 32.7, "Ref": 19.7, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 3.6, "SNP": 26.4, "RB": 2.4, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13.6, "Con": 40.5, "Ref": 7.2, "LD": 7.9, "Grn": 3.3, "SNP": 26.4, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 60.9 }, "mp": "John Lamont", "mp_elected_2024": "John Lamont" }, { "name": "Bethnal Green and Stepney", "slug": "bethnal-green-and-stepney", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bethnal-green-and-stepney", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.499, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.281, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30, "Con": 5.1, "Ref": 6.3, "LD": 8.2, "Grn": 27, "RB": 0.5, "Oth": 22.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.1, "Con": 4.1, "Ref": 4.2, "LD": 10.2, "Grn": 13.7, "Oth": 33.7 }, "turnout": 57.3 }, "mp": "Rushanara Ali", "mp_elected_2024": "Rushanara Ali" }, { "name": "Beverley and Holderness", "slug": "beverley-and-holderness", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/beverley-and-holderness", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.809, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.113, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.4, "Con": 32.6, "Ref": 24.4, "LD": 6.6, "Grn": 5, "RB": 6, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.2, "Con": 34.5, "Ref": 18.3, "LD": 7.5, "Grn": 3.7, "Oth": 1.8 }, "turnout": 62.4 }, "mp": "Graham Stuart", "mp_elected_2024": "Graham Stuart" }, { "name": "Bexhill and Battle", "slug": "bexhill-and-battle", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bexhill-and-battle", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.723, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.15, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.6, "Con": 30.2, "Ref": 24.6, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 5.2, "Oth": 5.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28.3, "Con": 33.9, "Ref": 16.6, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 6.2, "Oth": 7.7 }, "turnout": 66.1 }, "mp": "Kieran Mullan", "mp_elected_2024": "Kieran Mullan" }, { "name": "Bexleyheath and Crayford", "slug": "bexleyheath-and-crayford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bexleyheath-and-crayford", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.556, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.29, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.1, "Con": 24.7, "Ref": 31, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 4.7, "RB": 7.6, "Oth": 0.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.2, "Con": 31.3, "Ref": 22.7, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 4.8 }, "turnout": 61.8 }, "mp": "Daniel Francis", "mp_elected_2024": "Daniel Francis" }, { "name": "Bicester and Woodstock", "slug": "bicester-and-woodstock", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bicester-and-woodstock", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.778, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.194, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 16.5, "Con": 23.8, "Ref": 18.3, "LD": 29.8, "Grn": 7.6, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 16.4, "Con": 28.8, "Ref": 10.8, "LD": 38.7, "Grn": 4.8, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 67.5 }, "mp": "Calum Miller", "mp_elected_2024": "Calum Miller" }, { "name": "Birkenhead", "slug": "birkenhead", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birkenhead", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.987, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.013, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.3, "Con": 8.2, "Ref": 19.5, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 19.8, "RB": 5.3, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 52.1, "Con": 7.5, "Ref": 14.2, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 20.1, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 55.2 }, "mp": "Alison McGovern", "mp_elected_2024": "Alison McGovern" }, { "name": "Birmingham Edgbaston", "slug": "birmingham-edgbaston", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-edgbaston", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.988, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.007, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.4, "Con": 16.3, "Ref": 16.2, "LD": 5, "Grn": 15.5, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 10.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.3, "Con": 22, "Ref": 11.7, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 7.5, "Oth": 8.9 }, "turnout": 52.1 }, "mp": "Preet Gill", "mp_elected_2024": "Preet Gill" }, { "name": "Birmingham Erdington", "slug": "birmingham-erdington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-erdington", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.739, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.259, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.7, "Con": 11.2, "Ref": 28.4, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 10.4, "RB": 6.6, "Oth": 8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.3, "Con": 15.8, "Ref": 22.7, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 7.2, "Oth": 7.7 }, "turnout": 44.1 }, "mp": "Paulette Hamilton", "mp_elected_2024": "Paulette Hamilton" }, { "name": "Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley", "slug": "birmingham-hall-green-and-moseley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-hall-green-and-moseley", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.537, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.247, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.1, "Con": 9.1, "Ref": 10.3, "LD": 8, "Grn": 23.8, "RB": 1, "Oth": 20.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.8, "Con": 9.2, "Ref": 5.5, "LD": 11.3, "Grn": 9.4, "Oth": 33.7 }, "turnout": 54.1 }, "mp": "Tahir Ali", "mp_elected_2024": "Tahir Ali" }, { "name": "Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North", "slug": "birmingham-hodge-hill-and-solihull-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-hodge-hill-and-solihull-north", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.427, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.381, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.9, "Con": 10.2, "Ref": 26.9, "LD": 2.4, "Grn": 12.4, "RB": 5.3, "Oth": 18 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.2, "Con": 13.6, "Ref": 18.9, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 6.9, "Oth": 26.6 }, "turnout": 43.9 }, "mp": "Liam Byrne", "mp_elected_2024": "Liam Byrne" }, { "name": "Birmingham Ladywood", "slug": "birmingham-ladywood", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-ladywood", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.604, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.216, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.9, "Con": 5.4, "Ref": 7.6, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 27, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 22.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.5, "Con": 6.1, "Ref": 4, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 9.5, "Oth": 33.2 }, "turnout": 43.7 }, "mp": "Shabana Mahmood", "mp_elected_2024": "Shabana Mahmood" }, { "name": "Birmingham Northfield", "slug": "birmingham-northfield", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-northfield", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.75, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.244, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33, "Con": 17.6, "Ref": 28.3, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 8.9, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.6, "Con": 25.3, "Ref": 21, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 7.5, "Oth": 1.8 }, "turnout": 50.8 }, "mp": "Laurence Turner", "mp_elected_2024": "Laurence Turner" }, { "name": "Birmingham Perry Barr", "slug": "birmingham-perry-barr", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-perry-barr", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Oth", "projected_winner_name": "Ayoub Khan", "win_chance": 0.666, "status": "Ayoub Khan hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.314, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.3, "Con": 9.4, "Ref": 12.3, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 15.8, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 33.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Oth", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.1, "Con": 11.3, "Ref": 6.5, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 38.1 }, "turnout": 49.1 }, "mp": "Ayoub Khan", "mp_elected_2024": "Ayoub Khan" }, { "name": "Birmingham Selly Oak", "slug": "birmingham-selly-oak", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/birmingham-selly-oak", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.971, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.023, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.5, "Con": 11.1, "Ref": 19.1, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 18.1, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 8.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.2, "Con": 15.2, "Ref": 14.9, "LD": 6, "Grn": 11.2, "Oth": 7.4 }, "turnout": 50.8 }, "mp": "Al Carns", "mp_elected_2024": "Al Carns" }, { "name": "Birmingham 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"projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.9, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 30.6, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 5.2, "RB": 8.3, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.1, "Con": 25.6, "Ref": 23.4, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 57.1 }, "mp": "Sam Rushworth", "mp_elected_2024": "Sam Rushworth" }, { "name": "Blackburn", "slug": "blackburn", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/blackburn", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Oth", "projected_winner_name": "Adnan Hussain", "win_chance": 0.865, "status": "Adnan Hussain hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.115, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 18.9, "Con": 8.5, "Ref": 18, "LD": 2.6, "Grn": 9.7, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 39.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Oth", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.7, "Con": 8.9, "Ref": 12.5, "LD": 1.8, "Grn": 3.6, "Oth": 46.5 }, "turnout": 53.1 }, "mp": "Adnan Hussain", "mp_elected_2024": "Adnan Hussain" }, { "name": "Blackley and Middleton South", "slug": "blackley-and-middleton-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/blackley-and-middleton-south", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.941, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.058, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.4, "Con": 9.2, "Ref": 26.4, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 14, "RB": 5.6, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 53.8, "Con": 9.8, "Ref": 21.1, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 10.2 }, "turnout": 43.3 }, "mp": "Graham Stringer", "mp_elected_2024": "Graham Stringer" }, { "name": "Blackpool North and Fleetwood", "slug": "blackpool-north-and-fleetwood", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/blackpool-north-and-fleetwood", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.517, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.434, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31, "Con": 21.8, "Ref": 31.9, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 3.7, "RB": 7.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40, "Con": 28.9, "Ref": 23.7, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 57 }, "mp": "Lorraine Beavers", "mp_elected_2024": "Lorraine Beavers" }, { "name": "Blackpool South", "slug": "blackpool-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/blackpool-south", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.523, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.474, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35, "Con": 11.5, "Ref": 34.4, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 4.9, "RB": 10.2, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.1, "Con": 15.6, "Ref": 28.6, "LD": 3, "Grn": 3.4, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 45.4 }, "mp": "Chris Webb", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Webb" }, { "name": "Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney", "slug": "blaenau-gwent-and-rhymney", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/blaenau-gwent-and-rhymney", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.663, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "PC", "runner_up_name": "Plaid Cymru", "runner_up_chance": 0.334, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.8, "Con": 12.7, "Ref": 7.5, "LD": 5, "Grn": 11.5, "PC": 25.7, "RB": 0.8, "Oth": 8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 53.6, "Con": 12.6, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 5.7, "PC": 12.8, "Oth": 11 }, "turnout": 42.7 }, "mp": "Nick Smith", "mp_elected_2024": "Nick Smith" }, { "name": "Blaydon and Consett", "slug": "blaydon-and-consett", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/blaydon-and-consett", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.898, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.101, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.5, "Con": 12.5, "Ref": 28.5, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 7.6, "RB": 7.8, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 50.1, "Con": 14.3, "Ref": 23.7, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 6.1, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 59.9 }, "mp": "Liz Twist", "mp_elected_2024": "Liz Twist" }, { "name": "Blyth and Ashington", "slug": "blyth-and-ashington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/blyth-and-ashington", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.698, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.299, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.7, "Con": 11.8, "Ref": 32.3, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 10.1, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.6, "Con": 15.2, "Ref": 26.9, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 4.9 }, "turnout": 52.7 }, "mp": "Ian Lavery", "mp_elected_2024": "Ian Lavery" }, { "name": "Bognor Regis and Littlehampton", "slug": "bognor-regis-and-littlehampton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bognor-regis-and-littlehampton", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.485, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.415, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.4, "Con": 28.2, "Ref": 29.6, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 5.2, "RB": 6.6, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 29.1, "Con": 32.8, "Ref": 21.5, "LD": 10.6, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 62.2 }, "mp": "Alison Griffiths", "mp_elected_2024": "Alison Griffiths" }, { "name": "Bolsover", "slug": "bolsover", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bolsover", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.636, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.357, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.2, "Con": 17.7, "Ref": 29.8, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 8.7, "RB": 8.4, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.5, "Con": 25.6, "Ref": 21.5, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 8.8 }, "turnout": 55 }, "mp": "Natalie Fleet", "mp_elected_2024": "Natalie Fleet" }, { "name": "Bolton North East", "slug": "bolton-north-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bolton-north-east", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.579, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.411, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.8, "Con": 16.5, "Ref": 28.6, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 11.4, "RB": 5.6, "Oth": 4.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 37.3, "Con": 21.9, "Ref": 21.7, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 10.8, "Oth": 4.8 }, "turnout": 54.2 }, "mp": "Kirith Entwistle", "mp_elected_2024": "Kirith Entwistle" }, { "name": "Bolton South and Walkden", "slug": "bolton-south-and-walkden", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bolton-south-and-walkden", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.623, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.369, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31, "Con": 9.6, "Ref": 29.1, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 12, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 8.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.9, "Con": 11.3, "Ref": 22.6, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 7.7, "Oth": 13.8 }, "turnout": 46.4 }, "mp": "Yasmin Qureshi", "mp_elected_2024": "Yasmin Qureshi" }, { "name": "Bolton West", "slug": "bolton-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bolton-west", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.767, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.159, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.5, "Con": 22.2, "Ref": 25.8, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 10.2, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.9, "Con": 27.8, "Ref": 19.1, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 9.3, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 59.5 }, "mp": "Phil Brickell", "mp_elected_2024": "Phil Brickell" }, { "name": "Bootle", "slug": "bootle", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bootle", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 49.7, "Con": 6.1, "Ref": 19.1, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 13.3, "RB": 5.8, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 68.7, "Con": 4.3, "Ref": 12.2, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 10, "Oth": 1.4 }, "turnout": 53.2 }, "mp": "Peter Dowd", "mp_elected_2024": "Peter Dowd" }, { "name": "Boston and Skegness", "slug": "boston-and-skegness", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/boston-and-skegness", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.988, "status": "Reform UK hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.011, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 13.6, "Con": 22.8, "Ref": 43.8, "LD": 2.5, "Grn": 4.3, "RB": 11.5, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Ref", "vote_share": { "Lab": 18.9, "Con": 33.4, "Ref": 38.4, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 3.7, "Oth": 2.3 }, "turnout": 53.4 }, "mp": "Richard Tice", "mp_elected_2024": "Richard Tice" }, { "name": "Bournemouth East", "slug": "bournemouth-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bournemouth-east", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.946, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.031, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.3, "Con": 21, "Ref": 22.4, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 10.1, "RB": 4.5, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.8, "Con": 28.6, "Ref": 14, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 6.2, "Oth": 3.6 }, "turnout": 62.1 }, "mp": "Tom Hayes", "mp_elected_2024": "Tom Hayes" }, { "name": "Bournemouth West", "slug": "bournemouth-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bournemouth-west", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.822, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.165, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.2, "Con": 18.7, "Ref": 26, "LD": 6.2, "Grn": 10.1, "RB": 5.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.4, "Con": 28.3, "Ref": 16.9, "LD": 10.9, "Grn": 6.6, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 56.1 }, "mp": "Jessica Toale", "mp_elected_2024": "Jessica Toale" }, { "name": "Bracknell", "slug": "bracknell", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bracknell", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.74, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.178, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.9, "Con": 22.4, "Ref": 25.8, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 7.4, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.7, "Con": 31.9, "Ref": 17, "LD": 10.9, "Grn": 4.9, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 61.2 }, "mp": "Peter Swallow", "mp_elected_2024": "Peter Swallow" }, { "name": "Bradford East", "slug": "bradford-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bradford-east", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.719, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Talat Sajawal", "runner_up_chance": 0.186, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 8.8, "Ref": 21.2, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 14.8, "RB": 4.1, "Oth": 18.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 37.9, "Con": 9.3, "Ref": 13.3, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 6.9, "Oth": 27.5 }, "turnout": 49.5 }, "mp": "Imran Hussain", "mp_elected_2024": "Imran Hussain" }, { "name": "Bradford South", "slug": "bradford-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bradford-south", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.64, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.354, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27, "Con": 11.8, "Ref": 29.8, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 12.4, "RB": 8.2, "Oth": 7.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.8, "Con": 14.7, "Ref": 22.5, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 10.2, "Oth": 13.9 }, "turnout": 46.5 }, "mp": "Judith Cummins", "mp_elected_2024": "Judith Cummins" }, { "name": "Bradford West", "slug": "bradford-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bradford-west", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Oth", "projected_winner_name": "Muhammed Islam", "win_chance": 0.427, "status": "Muhammed Islam gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.409, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.9, "Con": 8.2, "Ref": 14.3, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 21.4, "RB": 2.1, "Oth": 26.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.6, "Con": 8.2, "Ref": 8, "LD": 2, "Grn": 10, "Oth": 40.2 }, "turnout": 47.6 }, "mp": "Naz Shah", "mp_elected_2024": "Naz Shah" }, { "name": "Braintree", "slug": "braintree", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/braintree", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.5, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.466, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.3, "Con": 29.5, "Ref": 30.4, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 7.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 35.5, "Ref": 23.1, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 5.9, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 63.1 }, "mp": "James Cleverly", "mp_elected_2024": "James Cleverly" }, { "name": "Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe", "slug": "brecon-radnor-and-cwm-tawe", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/brecon-radnor-and-cwm-tawe", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.541, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.29, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10.4, "Con": 23.1, "Ref": 22.6, "LD": 25.8, "Grn": 4.8, "PC": 9.8, "RB": 1.6, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 21.3, "Con": 26.3, "Ref": 14.1, "LD": 29.5, "Grn": 2.6, "PC": 4.9, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 63.7 }, "mp": "David Chadwick", "mp_elected_2024": "David Chadwick" }, { "name": "Brent East", "slug": "brent-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/brent-east", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.993, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.008, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 41.1, "Con": 16.6, "Ref": 12, "LD": 7.7, "Grn": 18, "RB": 1, "Oth": 3.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 51.2, "Con": 16.7, "Ref": 5.4, "LD": 7, "Grn": 9.9, "Oth": 9.8 }, "turnout": 48.7 }, "mp": "Dawn Butler", "mp_elected_2024": "Dawn Butler" }, { "name": "Brent West", "slug": "brent-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/brent-west", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.906, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.094, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.8, "Con": 27, "Ref": 13.3, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 12.4, "RB": 1, "Oth": 2.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.7, "Con": 32.5, "Ref": 5, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 6.8, "Oth": 6.7 }, "turnout": 51.7 }, "mp": "Barry Gardiner", "mp_elected_2024": "Barry Gardiner" }, { "name": "Brentford and Isleworth", "slug": "brentford-and-isleworth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/brentford-and-isleworth", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.987, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.01, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.3, "Con": 21.2, "Ref": 14.8, "LD": 8.8, "Grn": 14.3, "RB": 1.5, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.2, "Con": 22.5, "Ref": 8.7, "LD": 8.5, "Grn": 8.9, "Oth": 7.1 }, "turnout": 57 }, "mp": "Ruth Cadbury", "mp_elected_2024": "Ruth Cadbury" }, { "name": "Brentwood and Ongar", "slug": "brentwood-and-ongar", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/brentwood-and-ongar", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.605, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.389, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 17.4, "Con": 31.5, "Ref": 29.9, "LD": 8.6, "Grn": 5.5, "RB": 6.5, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 22.9, "Con": 36.7, "Ref": 24.3, "LD": 12, "Grn": 3.7, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 64.1 }, "mp": "Alex Burghart", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex Burghart" }, { "name": "Bridgend", "slug": "bridgend", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bridgend", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.701, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.237, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.1, "Con": 14.4, "Ref": 27.1, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 7.7, "PC": 16.3, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.9, "Con": 16.3, "Ref": 19.1, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 4.3, "PC": 8.8, "Oth": 8.1 }, "turnout": 56.5 }, "mp": "Chris Elmore", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Elmore" }, { "name": "Bridgwater", "slug": "bridgwater", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bridgwater", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.64, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.287, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.9, "Con": 25.6, "Ref": 30.3, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 9.1, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 27.2, "Con": 30.6, "Ref": 22.2, "LD": 14.4, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 56.1 }, "mp": "Ashley Fox", "mp_elected_2024": "Ashley Fox" }, { "name": "Bridlington and The Wolds", "slug": "bridlington-and-the-wolds", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bridlington-and-the-wolds", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.619, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.375, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 18.2, "Con": 32, "Ref": 30.2, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 4.2, "RB": 8.5, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 27.3, "Con": 34.6, "Ref": 24.1, "LD": 7.2, "Grn": 3.7, "Oth": 3.1 }, "turnout": 57.7 }, "mp": "Charlie Dewhirst", "mp_elected_2024": "Charlie Dewhirst" }, { "name": "Brigg and Immingham", "slug": "brigg-and-immingham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/brigg-and-immingham", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.637, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.355, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.4, "Con": 33, "Ref": 30.7, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 4.8, "RB": 8.6, "Oth": 0.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 29.8, "Con": 37.4, "Ref": 24.9, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 4.5 }, "turnout": 58.2 }, "mp": "Martin Vickers", "mp_elected_2024": "Martin Vickers" }, { "name": "Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven", "slug": "brighton-kemptown-and-peacehaven", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/brighton-kemptown-and-peacehaven", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.933, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.067, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.7, "Con": 15.5, "Ref": 5.1, "LD": 8.3, "Grn": 24.7, "RB": 0.6, "Oth": 6.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44, "Con": 20.2, "LD": 9.7, "Grn": 19.7, "Oth": 6.4 }, "turnout": 59.2 }, "mp": "Chris Ward", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Ward" }, { "name": "Brighton Pavilion", "slug": "brighton-pavilion", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/brighton-pavilion", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Grn", "projected_winner_name": "Green", "win_chance": 0.991, "status": "Green hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.01, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.5, "Con": 6.2, "Ref": 7, "LD": 4, "Grn": 55.3, "RB": 0.8, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Grn", "vote_share": { "Lab": 27.7, "Con": 7.6, "Ref": 5.4, "LD": 3.1, "Grn": 55, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 70 }, "mp": "Siân Berry", "mp_elected_2024": "Siân Berry" }, { "name": "Bristol Central", "slug": "bristol-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-central", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Grn", "projected_winner_name": "Green", "win_chance": 0.997, "status": "Green hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.2, "Con": 3.8, "Ref": 3.6, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 62.8, "RB": 0.3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Grn", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.6, "Con": 4.6, "Ref": 3.1, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 56.6, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 69.1 }, "mp": "Carla Denyer", "mp_elected_2024": "Carla Denyer" }, { "name": "Bristol East", "slug": "bristol-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-east", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.509, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.491, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.6, "Con": 10.9, "Ref": 3.9, "LD": 5.8, "Grn": 37.4, "RB": 0.5, "Oth": 4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45, "Con": 14, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 30.7, "Oth": 4.5 }, "turnout": 60.7 }, "mp": "Kerry McCarthy", "mp_elected_2024": "Kerry McCarthy" }, { "name": "Bristol North East", "slug": "bristol-north-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-north-east", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.907, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.09, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.3, "Con": 11.4, "Ref": 18.6, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 23.2, "RB": 4.2, "Oth": 3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.3, "Con": 14.8, "Ref": 12.9, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 18.7, "Oth": 3.7 }, "turnout": 59.9 }, "mp": "Damien Egan", "mp_elected_2024": "Damien Egan" }, { "name": "Bristol North West", "slug": "bristol-north-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-north-west", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.943, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.057, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.6, "Con": 11.7, "Ref": 13.8, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 24, "RB": 2.4, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.6, "Con": 14, "Ref": 10, "LD": 8.6, "Grn": 17.3, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 64.7 }, "mp": "Darren Jones", "mp_elected_2024": "Darren Jones" }, { "name": "Bristol South", "slug": "bristol-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bristol-south", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.761, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.237, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.4, "Con": 9.1, "Ref": 18, "LD": 5, "Grn": 27.7, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.7, "Con": 11.4, "Ref": 14.3, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 25, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 57.5 }, "mp": "Karin Smyth", "mp_elected_2024": "Karin Smyth" }, { "name": "Broadland and Fakenham", "slug": "broadland-and-fakenham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/broadland-and-fakenham", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.618, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.219, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.6, "Con": 29.3, "Ref": 25.7, "LD": 8, "Grn": 6.9, "RB": 6, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.5, "Con": 33, "Ref": 17.9, "LD": 11.2, "Grn": 6.5 }, "turnout": 64.4 }, "mp": "Jerome Mayhew", "mp_elected_2024": "Jerome Mayhew" }, { "name": "Bromley and Biggin Hill", "slug": "bromley-and-biggin-hill", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bromley-and-biggin-hill", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.832, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.145, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.7, "Con": 33.6, "Ref": 22, "LD": 7.4, "Grn": 6.4, "RB": 4.5, "Oth": 0.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.4, "Con": 34, "Ref": 17.5, "LD": 9.3, "Grn": 5.5, "Oth": 0.2 }, "turnout": 66.2 }, "mp": "Peter Fortune", "mp_elected_2024": "Peter Fortune" }, { "name": "Bromsgrove", "slug": "bromsgrove", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bromsgrove", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.777, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.119, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.6, "Con": 30.7, "Ref": 23.7, "LD": 9.2, "Grn": 5.6, "RB": 5.1, "Oth": 3.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.8, "Con": 32.8, "Ref": 19, "LD": 14.7, "Grn": 3.3, "Oth": 3.4 }, "turnout": 65.9 }, "mp": "Bradley Thomas", "mp_elected_2024": "Bradley Thomas" }, { "name": "Broxbourne", "slug": "broxbourne", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/broxbourne", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.578, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.345, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.2, "Con": 30, "Ref": 28.3, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 7.7, "RB": 6, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.2, "Con": 36.8, "Ref": 20.4, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 5.7, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 57.1 }, "mp": "Lewis Cocking", "mp_elected_2024": "Lewis Cocking" }, { "name": "Broxtowe", "slug": "broxtowe", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/broxtowe", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.935, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.056, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.8, "Con": 18.8, "Ref": 23.7, "LD": 6.2, "Grn": 10.5, "RB": 4.6, "Oth": 2.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.9, "Con": 23.3, "Ref": 17.6, "LD": 8, "Grn": 7.3, "Oth": 3 }, "turnout": 67.9 }, "mp": "Juliet Campbell", "mp_elected_2024": "Juliet Campbell" }, { "name": "Buckingham and Bletchley", "slug": "buckingham-and-bletchley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/buckingham-and-bletchley", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.827, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.09, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.4, "Con": 23.1, "Ref": 24.5, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 7.9, "RB": 4, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.9, "Con": 31.9, "Ref": 15.7, "LD": 9, "Grn": 5.4, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 63.7 }, "mp": "Callum Anderson", "mp_elected_2024": "Callum Anderson" }, { "name": "Burnley", "slug": "burnley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/burnley", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.511, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.464, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.2, "Con": 16.9, "Ref": 27.5, "LD": 13.8, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 5.5, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.7, "Con": 20.3, "Ref": 19.5, "LD": 23.1, "Grn": 3.8, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 53 }, "mp": "Oliver Ryan", "mp_elected_2024": "Oliver Ryan" }, { "name": "Burton and Uttoxeter", "slug": "burton-and-uttoxeter", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/burton-and-uttoxeter", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.515, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.418, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.3, "Con": 21.4, "Ref": 28.9, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 6.5, "RB": 6.3, "Oth": 4.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.6, "Con": 30.6, "Ref": 21.1, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 4.5 }, "turnout": 58.5 }, "mp": "Jacob Collier", "mp_elected_2024": "Jacob Collier" }, { "name": "Bury North", "slug": "bury-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bury-north", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.878, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.074, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.7, "Con": 22, "Ref": 24.4, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 6.9, "RB": 4.6, "Oth": 5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.1, "Con": 27.9, "Ref": 16.2, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 3.8, "Oth": 6.1 }, "turnout": 58.6 }, "mp": "James Frith", "mp_elected_2024": "James Frith" }, { "name": "Bury South", "slug": "bury-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bury-south", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.975, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.022, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36, "Con": 18.8, "Ref": 22.9, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 9.9, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 3.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.6, "Con": 23.4, "Ref": 16.3, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 6.4, "Oth": 4 }, "turnout": 56 }, "mp": "Christian Wakeford", "mp_elected_2024": "Christian Wakeford" }, { "name": "Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket", "slug": "bury-st-edmunds-and-stowmarket", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/bury-st-edmunds-and-stowmarket", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.578, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.261, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.1, "Con": 22.7, "Ref": 25.6, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 11.1, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.9, "Con": 30, "Ref": 16.9, "LD": 6.2, "Grn": 11.3, "Oth": 2.6 }, "turnout": 64.8 }, "mp": "Peter Prinsley", "mp_elected_2024": "Peter Prinsley" }, { "name": "Caerfyrddin", "slug": "caerfyrddin", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/caerfyrddin", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "PC", "projected_winner_name": "Plaid Cymru", "win_chance": 0.985, "status": "Plaid Cymru hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.015, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 11.2, "Con": 15.4, "Ref": 21.6, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 5.2, "PC": 39.8, "RB": 1.7, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "PC", "vote_share": { "Lab": 24.1, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 15.2, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 3, "PC": 34, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 61.6 }, "mp": "Ann Davies", "mp_elected_2024": "Ann Davies" }, { "name": "Caerphilly", "slug": "caerphilly", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/caerphilly", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "PC", "projected_winner_name": "Plaid Cymru", "win_chance": 0.544, "status": "Plaid Cymru gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.405, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.2, "Con": 9.4, "Ref": 28.3, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 6.4, "PC": 29, "RB": 3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38, "Con": 11.5, "Ref": 20.3, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 4.3, "PC": 21.2 }, "turnout": 52.6 }, "mp": "Chris Evans", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Evans" }, { "name": "Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross", "slug": "caithness-sutherland-and-easter-ross", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/caithness-sutherland-and-easter-ross", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.827, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.173, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 6.1, "Con": 5.7, "Ref": 14.7, "LD": 35.9, "Grn": 6.1, "SNP": 26.9, "RB": 2, "Oth": 2.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 7.4, "Con": 4, "Ref": 7.3, "LD": 49.4, "Grn": 3.6, "SNP": 26.6, "Oth": 1.7 }, "turnout": 61.7 }, "mp": "Jamie Stone", "mp_elected_2024": "Jamie Stone" }, { "name": "Calder Valley", "slug": "calder-valley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/calder-valley", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.924, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.051, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.4, "Con": 22.7, "Ref": 22.1, "LD": 5.7, "Grn": 9, "RB": 5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.4, "Con": 26.3, "Ref": 15.4, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 7.5, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 64.1 }, "mp": "Josh Fenton-Glynn", "mp_elected_2024": "Josh Fenton-Glynn" }, { "name": "Camborne and Redruth", "slug": "camborne-and-redruth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/camborne-and-redruth", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.801, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.193, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.4, "Con": 17.8, "Ref": 27.4, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 7.4, "RB": 7.2, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.5, "Con": 24.2, "Ref": 18.7, "LD": 8.6, "Grn": 5.9, "Oth": 2 }, "turnout": 64.3 }, "mp": "Perran Moon", "mp_elected_2024": "Perran Moon" }, { "name": "Cambridge", "slug": "cambridge", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cambridge", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.789, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.209, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.4, "Con": 8.5, "Ref": 2, "LD": 16, "Grn": 30.6, "RB": 0.1, "Oth": 3.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.6, "Con": 12, "LD": 20.3, "Grn": 16.3, "Oth": 4.8 }, "turnout": 59.9 }, "mp": "Daniel Zeichner", "mp_elected_2024": "Daniel Zeichner" }, { "name": "Cannock Chase", "slug": "cannock-chase", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cannock-chase", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.708, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.274, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.4, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 33.9, "LD": 1.9, "Grn": 5.2, "RB": 9.6, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.5, "Con": 29.2, "Ref": 26.9, "LD": 2.4, "Grn": 5 }, "turnout": 55.8 }, "mp": "Josh Newbury", "mp_elected_2024": "Josh Newbury" }, { "name": "Canterbury", "slug": "canterbury", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/canterbury", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.859, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.059, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29, "Con": 16.3, "Ref": 20.7, "LD": 6, "Grn": 16.1, "RB": 3.3, "Oth": 8.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.4, "Con": 23, "Ref": 14.4, "LD": 8.1, "Grn": 12.5, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 66.4 }, "mp": "Rosie Duffield", "mp_elected_2024": "Rosie Duffield" }, { "name": "Cardiff East", "slug": "cardiff-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cardiff-east", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.487, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.312, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.9, "Con": 8.8, "Ref": 17.3, "LD": 11.9, "Grn": 19.6, "PC": 16.8, "RB": 1, "Oth": 2.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.5, "Con": 10, "Ref": 12.7, "LD": 17.2, "Grn": 10, "PC": 9.1, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 53.7 }, "mp": "Jo Stevens", "mp_elected_2024": "Jo Stevens" }, { "name": "Cardiff North", "slug": "cardiff-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cardiff-north", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.7, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "PC", "runner_up_name": "Plaid Cymru", "runner_up_chance": 0.141, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.1, "Con": 17.3, "Ref": 18.2, "LD": 6.7, "Grn": 13.1, "PC": 18.1, "RB": 0.9, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.9, "Con": 20.3, "Ref": 12.6, "LD": 6.7, "Grn": 6.7, "PC": 9.8 }, "turnout": 66.4 }, "mp": "Anna McMorrin", "mp_elected_2024": "Anna McMorrin" }, { "name": "Cardiff South and Penarth", "slug": "cardiff-south-and-penarth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cardiff-south-and-penarth", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Grn", "projected_winner_name": "Green", "win_chance": 0.63, "status": "Green gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.341, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.2, "Con": 10.2, "Ref": 15.2, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 26.6, "PC": 15.3, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.5, "Con": 13.9, "Ref": 11.5, "LD": 7.4, "Grn": 14.5, "PC": 8.2 }, "turnout": 53.6 }, "mp": "Stephen Doughty", "mp_elected_2024": "Stephen Doughty" }, { "name": "Cardiff West", "slug": "cardiff-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cardiff-west", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "PC", "projected_winner_name": "Plaid Cymru", "win_chance": 0.861, "status": "Plaid Cymru gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.101, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.2, "Con": 12.6, "Ref": 17.3, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 13, "PC": 28.3, "RB": 1, "Oth": 4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.7, "Con": 15.3, "Ref": 12.6, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 7.1, "PC": 21.1, "Oth": 3 }, "turnout": 59.1 }, "mp": "Alex Barros-Curtis", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex Barros-Curtis" }, { "name": "Carlisle", "slug": "carlisle", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/carlisle", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.702, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.261, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.3, "Con": 21.2, "Ref": 28.4, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 5.4, "RB": 6.6, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.4, "Con": 28.1, "Ref": 20.2, "LD": 6.5, "Grn": 4.2, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 59.1 }, "mp": "Julie Minns", "mp_elected_2024": "Julie Minns" }, { "name": "Carshalton and Wallington", "slug": "carshalton-and-wallington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/carshalton-and-wallington", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.801, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.171, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 13, "Con": 24.7, "Ref": 20.4, "LD": 32.2, "Grn": 5.3, "RB": 3.8, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13.1, "Con": 26.2, "Ref": 12.7, "LD": 43.1, "Grn": 3.3, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 62.8 }, "mp": "Bobby Dean", "mp_elected_2024": "Bobby Dean" }, { "name": "Castle Point", "slug": "castle-point", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/castle-point", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.791, "status": "Reform UK gain 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27.1, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 59.7 }, "mp": "Alan Gemmell", "mp_elected_2024": "Alan Gemmell" }, { "name": "Central Devon", "slug": "central-devon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/central-devon", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.652, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.308, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.9, "Con": 29.3, "Ref": 21.2, "LD": 10, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.4, "Con": 31.5, "Ref": 14.6, "LD": 15.4, "Grn": 6.2, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 70.9 }, "mp": "Mel Stride", "mp_elected_2024": "Mel Stride" }, { "name": "Central Suffolk and North Ipswich", "slug": "central-suffolk-and-north-ipswich", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/central-suffolk-and-north-ipswich", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.695, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.266, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 18.5, "Con": 29, "Ref": 25.7, "LD": 8.4, "Grn": 11.6, "RB": 5.7, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 23.4, "Con": 32.6, "Ref": 19, "LD": 11.6, "Grn": 12.2, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 63.6 }, "mp": "Patrick Spencer", "mp_elected_2024": "Patrick Spencer" }, { "name": "Ceredigion Preseli", "slug": "ceredigion-preseli", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ceredigion-preseli", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "PC", "projected_winner_name": "Plaid Cymru", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Plaid Cymru hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7, "Con": 9.3, "Ref": 15.3, "LD": 10.4, "Grn": 7.3, "PC": 48.2, "RB": 1.1, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "PC", "vote_share": { "Lab": 11.6, "Con": 10.3, "Ref": 11.6, "LD": 15, "Grn": 4, "PC": 46.9, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 61.2 }, "mp": "Ben Lake", "mp_elected_2024": "Ben Lake" }, { "name": "Chatham and Aylesford", "slug": "chatham-and-aylesford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chatham-and-aylesford", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.738, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.253, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.2, "Con": 18.1, "Ref": 33.5, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 8.1, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.5, "Con": 28.6, "Ref": 24.5, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 6.1, "Oth": 2 }, "turnout": 54.4 }, "mp": "Tristan Osborne", "mp_elected_2024": "Tristan Osborne" }, { "name": "Cheadle", "slug": "cheadle", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cheadle", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.973, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.027, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 14.5, "Con": 22.1, "Ref": 14.4, "LD": 38.5, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 1.8, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 15.6, "Con": 22.6, "Ref": 10.1, "LD": 46.7, "Grn": 3.2, "Oth": 1.8 }, "turnout": 68.2 }, "mp": "Tom Morrison", "mp_elected_2024": "Tom Morrison" }, { "name": "Chelmsford", "slug": "chelmsford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chelmsford", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.825, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.136, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 11.6, "Con": 23.8, "Ref": 21.2, "LD": 32.5, "Grn": 6.2, "RB": 3.6, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 12, "Con": 30.5, "Ref": 13.3, "LD": 39.9, "Grn": 3.1, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 65.9 }, "mp": "Marie Goldman", "mp_elected_2024": "Marie Goldman" }, { "name": "Chelsea and Fulham", "slug": "chelsea-and-fulham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chelsea-and-fulham", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.736, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.264, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.3, "Con": 31.5, "Ref": 11.4, "LD": 8.4, "Grn": 11, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.4, "Con": 39.1, "Ref": 6.7, "LD": 7.7, "Grn": 5.9, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 60 }, "mp": "Ben Coleman", "mp_elected_2024": "Ben Coleman" }, { "name": "Cheltenham", "slug": "cheltenham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cheltenham", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib 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"LD": 44.8, "Grn": 3.1, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 72.7 }, "mp": "Sarah Green", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Green" }, { "name": "Chester North and Neston", "slug": "chester-north-and-neston", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chester-north-and-neston", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.998, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.002, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.4, "Con": 19.7, "Ref": 18.7, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 12.7, "RB": 3.1, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.8, "Con": 23.2, "Ref": 13.1, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 9.2 }, "turnout": 63.7 }, "mp": "Samantha Dixon", "mp_elected_2024": "Samantha Dixon" }, { "name": "Chester South and Eddisbury", "slug": "chester-south-and-eddisbury", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chester-south-and-eddisbury", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.896, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.104, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 26.4, "Con": 35.6, "Ref": 16.8, "LD": 9.5, "Grn": 6.8, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 2.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.1, "Con": 37.9, "Ref": 12.2, "LD": 10.3, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 3.1 }, "turnout": 70.7 }, "mp": "Aphra Brandreth", "mp_elected_2024": "Aphra Brandreth" }, { "name": "Chesterfield", "slug": "chesterfield", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chesterfield", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.913, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.088, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.5, "Con": 15.9, "Ref": 26.5, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 8.3, "RB": 6.8, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.5, "Con": 20.4, "Ref": 19, "LD": 6.1, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 58 }, "mp": "Toby Perkins", "mp_elected_2024": "Toby Perkins" }, { "name": "Chichester", "slug": "chichester", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chichester", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.891, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.055, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.5, "Con": 22.6, "Ref": 23.6, "LD": 35.9, "Grn": 5.3, "RB": 4.1, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.1, "Con": 25.7, "Ref": 15.1, "LD": 49.2, "Grn": 3.5, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 66.3 }, "mp": "Jess Brown-Fuller", "mp_elected_2024": "Jess Brown-Fuller" }, { "name": "Chingford and Woodford Green", "slug": "chingford-and-woodford-green", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chingford-and-woodford-green", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.859, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Faiza Shaheen", "runner_up_chance": 0.091, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.8, "Con": 33.9, "Ref": 14.4, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 2.1, "Oth": 17.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 25.8, "Con": 35.6, "Ref": 7.5, "LD": 2.6, "Grn": 2.7, "Oth": 25.7 }, "turnout": 65.5 }, "mp": "Iain Duncan Smith", "mp_elected_2024": "Iain Duncan Smith" }, { "name": "Chippenham", "slug": "chippenham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chippenham", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.78, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.165, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 9.2, "Con": 24.3, "Ref": 21.9, "LD": 32, "Grn": 6.9, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 7.9, "Con": 29.1, "Ref": 12.4, "LD": 45.5, "Grn": 3.9, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 66.8 }, "mp": "Sarah Gibson", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Gibson" }, { "name": "Chipping Barnet", "slug": "chipping-barnet", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chipping-barnet", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.68, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.321, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.9, "Con": 32.4, "Ref": 14.5, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 9, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.4, "Con": 36.7, "Ref": 7.8, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 6.8, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 65.2 }, "mp": "Dan Tomlinson", "mp_elected_2024": "Dan Tomlinson" }, { "name": "Chorley", "slug": "chorley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/chorley", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Spk", "projected_winner_name": "Speaker", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Speaker hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": {}, "result_2024": { "winner": "Spk", "vote_share": { "Grn": 13.7, "Oth": 12, "Spk": 74.3 }, "turnout": 45.4 }, "mp": "Lindsay Hoyle", "mp_elected_2024": "Lindsay Hoyle" }, { "name": "Christchurch", "slug": "christchurch", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/christchurch", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.847, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.153, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 13.4, "Con": 34.2, "Ref": 26.9, "LD": 11.5, "Grn": 5.1, "RB": 6.3, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 16.4, "Con": 35.8, "Ref": 18.9, "LD": 20, "Grn": 4, "Oth": 4.8 }, "turnout": 66.6 }, "mp": "Christopher Chope", "mp_elected_2024": "Christopher Chope" }, { "name": "Cities of London and Westminster", "slug": "cities-of-london-and-westminster", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cities-of-london-and-westminster", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.88, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.118, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.3, "Con": 27, "Ref": 10.8, "LD": 11.1, "Grn": 13.8, "RB": 0.6, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39, "Con": 32.1, "Ref": 7, "LD": 11.1, "Grn": 7.3, "Oth": 3.5 }, "turnout": 53.4 }, "mp": "Rachel Blake", "mp_elected_2024": "Rachel Blake" }, { "name": "City of Durham", "slug": "city-of-durham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/city-of-durham", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.989, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.012, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.6, "Con": 11.4, "Ref": 22.5, "LD": 9.9, "Grn": 11.4, "RB": 5.3, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.1, "Con": 12.9, "Ref": 18.2, "LD": 14.6, "Grn": 6.9, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 57.6 }, "mp": "Mary Foy", "mp_elected_2024": "Mary Foy" }, { "name": "Clacton", "slug": "clacton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/clacton", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Reform UK hold", "runner_up": "RB", "runner_up_name": "Restore Britain", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10.7, "Con": 18.1, "Ref": 52.4, "LD": 3, "Grn": 3.4, "RB": 11.7, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Ref", "vote_share": { "Lab": 16.2, "Con": 27.9, "Ref": 46.2, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 4.2, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 58.7 }, "mp": "Nigel Farage", "mp_elected_2024": "Nigel Farage" }, { "name": "Clapham and Brixton Hill", "slug": "clapham-and-brixton-hill", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/clapham-and-brixton-hill", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.993, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.008, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 47.9, "Con": 9.8, "Ref": 5.9, "LD": 13.2, "Grn": 22.2, "RB": 0.4, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 56.5, "Con": 10.2, "Ref": 4.1, "LD": 14.4, "Grn": 13.5, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 57.6 }, "mp": "Bell Ribeiro-Addy", "mp_elected_2024": "Bell Ribeiro-Addy" }, { "name": "Clwyd East", "slug": "clwyd-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/clwyd-east", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.452, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.401, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.7, "Con": 24.9, "Ref": 26.2, "LD": 4, "Grn": 5.9, "PC": 14.4, "RB": 2, "Oth": 2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.7, "Con": 29, "Ref": 15.9, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 3.5, "PC": 7.8, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 62.4 }, "mp": "Becky Gittins", "mp_elected_2024": "Becky Gittins" }, { "name": "Clwyd North", "slug": "clwyd-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/clwyd-north", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.505, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.442, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 18.5, "Con": 26.9, "Ref": 28.3, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 5.5, "PC": 13.5, "RB": 2.3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.5, "Con": 32.7, "Ref": 16.8, "LD": 4, "Grn": 3.3, "PC": 7.6 }, "turnout": 55.5 }, "mp": "Gill German", "mp_elected_2024": "Gill German" }, { "name": "Coatbridge and Bellshill", "slug": "coatbridge-and-bellshill", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/coatbridge-and-bellshill", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.768, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.232, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.2, "Con": 5.1, "Ref": 16.4, "LD": 2.6, "Grn": 6.5, "SNP": 35.8, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 2.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.8, "Con": 3.6, "Ref": 6.7, "LD": 1.7, "Grn": 3.2, "SNP": 33.4, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 53.3 }, "mp": "Frank McNally", "mp_elected_2024": "Frank McNally" }, { "name": "Colchester", "slug": "colchester", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/colchester", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.969, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.03, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35, "Con": 17.1, "Ref": 22.9, "LD": 10.4, "Grn": 9.5, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.9, "Con": 23.5, "Ref": 14.8, "LD": 14.2, "Grn": 5.4, "Oth": 0.2 }, "turnout": 57.1 }, "mp": "Pam Cox", "mp_elected_2024": "Pam Cox" }, { "name": "Colne Valley", "slug": "colne-valley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/colne-valley", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.803, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.159, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.3, "Con": 25.4, "Ref": 22.5, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 9, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41, "Con": 30.3, "Ref": 15.8, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 7.5, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 63.6 }, "mp": "Paul Davies", "mp_elected_2024": "Paul Davies" }, { "name": "Congleton", "slug": "congleton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/congleton", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.721, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.224, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.5, "Con": 26.3, "Ref": 23, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 5.9, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 3.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 37.7, "Con": 30.9, "Ref": 16.4, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 4, "Oth": 5.4 }, "turnout": 67.5 }, "mp": "Sarah Russell", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Russell" }, { "name": "Corby and East Northamptonshire", "slug": "corby-and-east-northamptonshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/corby-and-east-northamptonshire", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.831, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.135, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34, "Con": 21.6, "Ref": 26.4, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 7.4, "RB": 5.9, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.4, "Con": 29.6, "Ref": 17.7, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 5.1, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 63 }, "mp": "Lee Barron", "mp_elected_2024": "Lee Barron" }, { "name": "Coventry East", "slug": "coventry-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/coventry-east", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.973, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.027, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37, "Con": 12.6, "Ref": 24.3, "LD": 3, "Grn": 11.9, "RB": 5, "Oth": 6.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.5, "Con": 16.9, "Ref": 18.1, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 7.4, "Oth": 4.9 }, "turnout": 48.8 }, "mp": "Mary Creagh", "mp_elected_2024": "Mary Creagh" }, { "name": "Coventry North West", "slug": "coventry-north-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/coventry-north-west", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.955, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.046, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.4, "Con": 15.2, "Ref": 25.1, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 11.2, "RB": 5, "Oth": 2.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.9, "Con": 20.3, "Ref": 18.9, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 8.1, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 56 }, "mp": "Taiwo Owatemi", "mp_elected_2024": "Taiwo Owatemi" }, { "name": "Coventry South", "slug": "coventry-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/coventry-south", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.849, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Zarah Sultana", "runner_up_chance": 0.112, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.9, "Con": 15.8, "Ref": 18.7, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 13.9, "RB": 2.4, "Oth": 14.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.6, "Con": 23.8, "Ref": 13.4, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 5.5, "Oth": 3.8 }, "turnout": 56.1 }, "mp": "Zarah Sultana", "mp_elected_2024": "Zarah Sultana" }, { "name": "Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy", "slug": "cowdenbeath-and-kirkcaldy", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cowdenbeath-and-kirkcaldy", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.669, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.32, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 26.5, "Con": 8, "Ref": 18, "LD": 4, "Grn": 6.4, "SNP": 30.8, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 3.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.7, "Con": 7.8, "Ref": 7.7, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 3.8, "SNP": 28, "Oth": 3.1 }, "turnout": 56.8 }, "mp": "Melanie Ward", "mp_elected_2024": "Melanie Ward" }, { "name": "Cramlington and Killingworth", "slug": "cramlington-and-killingworth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cramlington-and-killingworth", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.908, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.092, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.8, "Con": 15.7, "Ref": 27.1, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 6.8, "RB": 7.3, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.1, "Con": 18.9, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 4.7, "Oth": 2.3 }, "turnout": 59.6 }, "mp": "Emma Foody", "mp_elected_2024": "Emma Foody" }, { "name": "Crawley", "slug": "crawley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/crawley", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.741, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.253, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.2, "Con": 17.3, "Ref": 27.8, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 8.3, "RB": 5.2, "Oth": 5.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.2, "Con": 26.8, "Ref": 18.5, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 5.7, "Oth": 5.9 }, "turnout": 60.4 }, "mp": "Peter Lamb", "mp_elected_2024": "Peter Lamb" }, { "name": "Crewe and Nantwich", "slug": "crewe-and-nantwich", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/crewe-and-nantwich", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.871, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.126, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.7, "Con": 17.9, "Ref": 27.6, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 6.5, "RB": 6, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.1, "Con": 23.5, "Ref": 20.3, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 2.6 }, "turnout": 60.2 }, "mp": "Connor Naismith", "mp_elected_2024": "Connor Naismith" }, { "name": "Croydon East", "slug": "croydon-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/croydon-east", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.936, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.047, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35, "Con": 23.1, "Ref": 21.3, "LD": 6.7, "Grn": 10, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 0.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.4, "Con": 26.8, "Ref": 13.4, "LD": 8.1, "Grn": 9.4 }, "turnout": 57.2 }, "mp": "Natasha Irons", "mp_elected_2024": "Natasha Irons" }, { "name": "Croydon South", "slug": "croydon-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/croydon-south", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.901, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.099, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.7, "Con": 39, "Ref": 13.8, "LD": 8.3, "Grn": 7.9, "RB": 1.6, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.3, "Con": 40, "Ref": 8.4, "LD": 8.9, "Grn": 5.8, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 65.9 }, "mp": "Chris Philp", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Philp" }, { "name": "Croydon West", "slug": "croydon-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/croydon-west", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 43.5, "Con": 16, "Ref": 11.9, "LD": 9.2, "Grn": 16.7, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 54.1, "Con": 16.8, "Ref": 5.6, "LD": 9.6, "Grn": 10.1, "Oth": 3.8 }, "turnout": 48.9 }, "mp": "Sarah Jones", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Jones" }, { "name": "Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch", "slug": "cumbernauld-and-kirkintilloch", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/cumbernauld-and-kirkintilloch", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.85, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.149, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 26, "Con": 5.9, "Ref": 16.9, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 6.8, "SNP": 36.5, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.2, "Con": 4.7, "Ref": 7.7, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 4.1, "SNP": 35.1 }, "turnout": 58.2 }, "mp": "Katrina Murray", "mp_elected_2024": "Katrina Murray" }, { "name": "Dagenham and Rainham", "slug": "dagenham-and-rainham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dagenham-and-rainham", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.596, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.403, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.9, "Con": 14.8, "Ref": 31.1, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 10, "RB": 7.5, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.6, "Con": 17.8, "Ref": 24.2, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 10.8, "Oth": 1.9 }, "turnout": 50.8 }, "mp": "Margaret Mullane", "mp_elected_2024": "Margaret Mullane" }, { "name": "Darlington", "slug": "darlington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/darlington", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.729, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.175, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.1, "Con": 25.6, "Ref": 24.8, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 7.7, "RB": 5.8, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.2, "Con": 33.8, "Ref": 16.2, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 6.7 }, "turnout": 60 }, "mp": "Lola McEvoy", "mp_elected_2024": "Lola McEvoy" }, { "name": "Dartford", "slug": "dartford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dartford", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.522, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.436, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.2, "Con": 21, "Ref": 29.9, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 8.7, "RB": 5.5, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.6, "Con": 31.9, "Ref": 21.4, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 7.2 }, "turnout": 59 }, "mp": "Jim Dickson", "mp_elected_2024": "Jim Dickson" }, { "name": "Daventry", "slug": "daventry", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/daventry", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.737, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.17, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22, "Con": 30.6, "Ref": 25, "LD": 8.4, "Grn": 8, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 33.7, "Ref": 20, "LD": 12.7, "Grn": 5.6 }, "turnout": 65.6 }, "mp": "Stuart Andrew", "mp_elected_2024": "Stuart Andrew" }, { "name": "Derby North", "slug": "derby-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/derby-north", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.94, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.055, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.7, "Con": 17.4, "Ref": 24.8, "LD": 4, "Grn": 12.4, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.5, "Con": 23.7, "Ref": 18.3, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 8 }, "turnout": 56.9 }, "mp": "Catherine Atkinson", "mp_elected_2024": "Catherine Atkinson" }, { "name": "Derby South", "slug": "derby-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/derby-south", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.58, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.417, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.2, "Con": 10.9, "Ref": 29.1, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 11, "RB": 6.1, "Oth": 8.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.8, "Con": 13.9, "Ref": 22.7, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 5.1, "Oth": 14.7 }, "turnout": 51.3 }, "mp": "Baggy Shanker", "mp_elected_2024": "Baggy Shanker" }, { "name": "Derbyshire Dales", "slug": "derbyshire-dales", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/derbyshire-dales", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.512, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.451, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.4, "Con": 28.7, "Ref": 21.6, "LD": 7.5, "Grn": 7.6, "RB": 3.9, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.6, "Con": 34, "Ref": 15.1, "LD": 9.5, "Grn": 5.5, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 69.9 }, "mp": "John Whitby", "mp_elected_2024": "John Whitby" }, { "name": "Dewsbury and Batley", "slug": "dewsbury-and-batley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dewsbury-and-batley", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Oth", "projected_winner_name": "Iqbal Mohamed", "win_chance": 0.816, "status": "Iqbal Mohamed hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.13, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.4, "Con": 9.5, "Ref": 22, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 9.7, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 35.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Oth", "vote_share": { "Lab": 22.9, "Con": 11, "Ref": 16.2, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 5.4, "Oth": 41.1 }, "turnout": 53.1 }, "mp": "Iqbal Mohamed", "mp_elected_2024": "Iqbal Mohamed" }, { "name": "Didcot and Wantage", "slug": "didcot-and-wantage", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/didcot-and-wantage", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.805, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.172, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15, "Con": 23.6, "Ref": 18.7, "LD": 30.8, "Grn": 7.9, "RB": 2.8, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 14.7, "Con": 28.4, "Ref": 11.7, "LD": 39.8, "Grn": 4.9, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 67.8 }, "mp": "Olly Glover", "mp_elected_2024": "Olly Glover" }, { "name": "Doncaster Central", "slug": "doncaster-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/doncaster-central", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.751, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.249, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.6, "Con": 15.8, "Ref": 29.7, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 8.1, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.2, "Con": 21, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 4 }, "turnout": 50.8 }, "mp": "Sally Jameson", "mp_elected_2024": "Sally Jameson" }, { "name": "Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme", "slug": "doncaster-east-and-the-isle-of-axholme", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/doncaster-east-and-the-isle-of-axholme", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.531, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.326, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.4, "Con": 24.4, "Ref": 30.8, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 4.4, "RB": 8.6, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.6, "Con": 32.7, "Ref": 21.7, "LD": 3, "Grn": 3.6, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 55.8 }, "mp": "Lee Pitcher", "mp_elected_2024": "Lee Pitcher" }, { "name": "Doncaster North", "slug": "doncaster-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/doncaster-north", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.998, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 43.3, "Con": 22.3, "Ref": 8.7, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 11.3, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 6.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 52.4, "Con": 22.9, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 5.7, "Oth": 15.6 }, "turnout": 44.4 }, "mp": "Ed Miliband", "mp_elected_2024": "Ed Miliband" }, { "name": "Dorking and Horley", "slug": "dorking-and-horley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dorking-and-horley", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.74, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.231, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 9, "Con": 26.4, "Ref": 21.4, "LD": 32.3, "Grn": 6.8, "RB": 3.3, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 8.1, "Con": 31.1, "Ref": 13.8, "LD": 41.9, "Grn": 5.1 }, "turnout": 69.7 }, "mp": "Chris Coghlan", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Coghlan" }, { "name": "Dover and Deal", "slug": "dover-and-deal", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dover-and-deal", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.527, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.473, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32, "Con": 15.5, "Ref": 31.7, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 7.8, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.6, "Con": 21.7, "Ref": 23.8, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 2.9 }, "turnout": 62.5 }, "mp": "Mike Tapp", "mp_elected_2024": "Mike Tapp" }, { "name": "Droitwich and Evesham", "slug": "droitwich-and-evesham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/droitwich-and-evesham", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.936, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.059, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 18.4, "Con": 35.3, "Ref": 24.8, "LD": 6.6, "Grn": 8.4, "RB": 5.3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 22.1, "Con": 40.3, "Ref": 19.1, "LD": 10.3, "Grn": 7.7, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 64.7 }, "mp": "Nigel Huddleston", "mp_elected_2024": "Nigel Huddleston" }, { "name": "Dudley", "slug": "dudley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dudley", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.801, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.183, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.2, "Con": 19.1, "Ref": 33.7, "LD": 2.2, "Grn": 4.9, "RB": 8.8, "Oth": 4.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.1, "Con": 28.8, "Ref": 26.4, "LD": 3, "Grn": 3.2, "Oth": 4.5 }, "turnout": 51 }, "mp": "Sonia Kumar", "mp_elected_2024": "Sonia Kumar" }, { "name": "Dulwich and West Norwood", "slug": "dulwich-and-west-norwood", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dulwich-and-west-norwood", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.992, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.009, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 49.5, "Con": 9.8, "Ref": 6.2, "LD": 9.1, "Grn": 24.3, "RB": 0.5, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 60.3, "Con": 8.5, "Ref": 4, "LD": 7.7, "Grn": 18.9, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 61.1 }, "mp": "Helen Hayes", "mp_elected_2024": "Helen Hayes" }, { "name": "Dumfries and Galloway", "slug": "dumfries-and-galloway", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dumfries-and-galloway", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.637, "status": "SNP gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.261, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 12.9, "Con": 24.7, "Ref": 22.2, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 3.3, "SNP": 28.5, "RB": 3.1, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 25.7, "Con": 29.6, "Ref": 9.4, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 2.7, "SNP": 27.5, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 58.3 }, "mp": "John Cooper", "mp_elected_2024": "John Cooper" }, { "name": "Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale", "slug": "dumfriesshire-clydesdale-and-tweeddale", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dumfriesshire-clydesdale-and-tweeddale", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.615, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.334, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 11.7, "Con": 28.8, "Ref": 21, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 3.7, "SNP": 25.8, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 22.9, "Con": 33.9, "Ref": 8.6, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 3.4, "SNP": 24.3, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 61.5 }, "mp": "David Mundell", "mp_elected_2024": "David Mundell" }, { "name": "Dundee Central", "slug": "dundee-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dundee-central", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.982, "status": "SNP hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.018, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.7, "Con": 5.5, "Ref": 16, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 3.6, "SNP": 40.6, "RB": 2.3, "Oth": 5.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "SNP", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.3, "Con": 4, "Ref": 6.1, "LD": 6.2, "SNP": 40, "Oth": 5.4 }, "turnout": 52.3 }, "mp": "Chris Law", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Law" }, { "name": "Dunfermline and Dollar", "slug": "dunfermline-and-dollar", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dunfermline-and-dollar", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.625, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.374, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.1, "Con": 8.2, "Ref": 15.5, "LD": 6.5, "Grn": 7.4, "SNP": 30.7, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 2.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.7, "Con": 7.4, "Ref": 6.5, "LD": 7.1, "Grn": 4.7, "SNP": 27.2, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 61.2 }, "mp": "Graeme Downie", "mp_elected_2024": "Graeme Downie" }, { "name": "Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard", "slug": "dunstable-and-leighton-buzzard", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dunstable-and-leighton-buzzard", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.547, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.319, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.3, "Con": 22.8, "Ref": 26.7, "LD": 9.4, "Grn": 6.8, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.5, "Con": 31.1, "Ref": 17.5, "LD": 14.1, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 0.2 }, "turnout": 60 }, "mp": "Alex Mayer", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex Mayer" }, { "name": "Dwyfor Meirionnydd", "slug": "dwyfor-meirionnydd", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/dwyfor-meirionnydd", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "PC", "projected_winner_name": "Plaid Cymru", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Plaid Cymru hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8, "Con": 10, "Ref": 16.4, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 6.3, "PC": 52.7, "RB": 1.4, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "PC", "vote_share": { "Lab": 14.6, "Con": 11.7, "Ref": 12, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 3.6, "PC": 53.9, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 55.3 }, "mp": "Liz Saville Roberts", "mp_elected_2024": "Liz Saville Roberts" }, { "name": "Ealing Central and Acton", "slug": "ealing-central-and-acton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ealing-central-and-acton", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.994, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.007, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.5, "Con": 17, "Ref": 9.9, "LD": 12.4, "Grn": 18.7, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.8, "Con": 17.5, "Ref": 6.5, "LD": 12.7, "Grn": 11.4, "Oth": 5.2 }, "turnout": 60.9 }, "mp": "Rupa Huq", "mp_elected_2024": "Rupa Huq" }, { "name": "Ealing North", "slug": "ealing-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ealing-north", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.996, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.1, "Con": 18.5, "Ref": 16.1, "LD": 6.7, "Grn": 15, "RB": 1.8, "Oth": 2.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.8, "Con": 18.8, "Ref": 9.1, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 9.4, "Oth": 9 }, "turnout": 57.8 }, "mp": "James Murray", "mp_elected_2024": "James Murray" }, { "name": "Ealing Southall", "slug": "ealing-southall", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ealing-southall", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.998, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 42.1, "Con": 16.4, "Ref": 12.2, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 16.6, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 4.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.1, "Con": 15.4, "Ref": 5.5, "LD": 6, "Grn": 9.3, "Oth": 14.6 }, "turnout": 59.5 }, "mp": "Deirdre Costigan", "mp_elected_2024": "Deirdre Costigan" }, { "name": "Earley and Woodley", "slug": "earley-and-woodley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/earley-and-woodley", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.935, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.065, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.7, "Con": 27, "Ref": 6.3, "LD": 11.3, "Grn": 13.9, "RB": 0.4, "Oth": 3.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.7, "Con": 37.8, "LD": 13.4, "Grn": 7.4, "Oth": 1.7 }, "turnout": 62.4 }, "mp": "Yuan Yang", "mp_elected_2024": "Yuan Yang" }, { "name": "Easington", "slug": "easington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/easington", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.567, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.425, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.6, "Con": 8.9, "Ref": 34.2, "LD": 2.1, "Grn": 4.8, "RB": 12.1, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.9, "Con": 10.9, "Ref": 29.8, "LD": 2.4, "Grn": 3.4, "Oth": 4.6 }, "turnout": 49.5 }, "mp": "Grahame Morris", "mp_elected_2024": "Grahame Morris" }, { "name": "East Antrim", "slug": "east-antrim", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-antrim", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "DUP", "projected_winner_name": "DUP", "win_chance": 0.575, "status": "DUP hold", "runner_up": "APNI", "runner_up_name": "Alliance", "runner_up_chance": 0.285, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "DUP", "vote_share": { "Oth": 1.4, "SDLP": 2.2, "SF": 7.5, "TUV": 10.4, "UUP": 23.9, "APNI": 25.6, "DUP": 28.9 }, "turnout": 54.1 }, "mp": "Sammy Wilson", "mp_elected_2024": "Sammy Wilson" }, { "name": "East Grinstead and Uckfield", "slug": "east-grinstead-and-uckfield", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-grinstead-and-uckfield", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.926, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.061, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23, "Con": 34.5, "Ref": 5.3, "LD": 16.2, "Grn": 13.4, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 6.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 20.7, "Con": 38.3, "LD": 21.5, "Grn": 10.5, "Oth": 9 }, "turnout": 66.8 }, "mp": "Mims Davies", "mp_elected_2024": "Mims Davies" }, { "name": "East Ham", "slug": "east-ham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-ham", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.945, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Tahir Mirza", "runner_up_chance": 0.035, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39, "Con": 10.6, "Ref": 9.1, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 20.9, "RB": 0.9, "Oth": 15 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 51.6, "Con": 10.2, "Ref": 3.5, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 11.2, "Oth": 20.2 }, "turnout": 47.8 }, "mp": "Stephen Timms", "mp_elected_2024": "Stephen Timms" }, { "name": "East Hampshire", "slug": "east-hampshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-hampshire", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.896, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.1, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10.9, "Con": 34.9, "Ref": 19.3, "LD": 23.4, "Grn": 7, "RB": 3.1, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 9.7, "Con": 37, "Ref": 13, "LD": 34.5, "Grn": 4.8, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 70.8 }, "mp": "Damian Hinds", "mp_elected_2024": "Damian Hinds" }, { "name": "East Kilbride and Strathaven", "slug": "east-kilbride-and-strathaven", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-kilbride-and-strathaven", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.675, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.325, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 8.2, "Ref": 16.8, "LD": 3.1, "Grn": 6.6, "SNP": 32.5, "RB": 2.2, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.6, "Con": 7.6, "Ref": 7.2, "LD": 2.3, "Grn": 3.9, "SNP": 29.2, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 61.1 }, "mp": "Joani Reid", "mp_elected_2024": "Joani Reid" }, { "name": "East Londonderry", "slug": "east-londonderry", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-londonderry", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "DUP", "projected_winner_name": "DUP", "win_chance": 0.501, "status": "DUP hold", "runner_up": "SF", "runner_up_name": "Sinn Féin", "runner_up_chance": 0.499, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "DUP", "vote_share": { "Oth": 4.1, "UUP": 8.3, "APNI": 9, "TUV": 10.6, "SDLP": 12.7, "SF": 27.4, "DUP": 27.9 }, "turnout": 54.5 }, "mp": "Gregory Campbell", "mp_elected_2024": "Gregory Campbell" }, { "name": "East Renfrewshire", "slug": "east-renfrewshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-renfrewshire", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.692, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.307, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.9, "Con": 15.4, "Ref": 14.4, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 5.7, "SNP": 30.8, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 3.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.7, "Con": 16.9, "Ref": 4.7, "LD": 2.3, "Grn": 3, "SNP": 26.9, "Oth": 2.5 }, "turnout": 67.3 }, "mp": "Blair McDougall", "mp_elected_2024": "Blair McDougall" }, { "name": "East Surrey", "slug": "east-surrey", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-surrey", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.884, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.094, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 18.1, "Con": 31.6, "Ref": 23.4, "LD": 11.7, "Grn": 8, "RB": 4.2, "Oth": 3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 20.4, "Con": 35.6, "Ref": 17, "LD": 18, "Grn": 6, "Oth": 3 }, "turnout": 67.1 }, "mp": "Claire Coutinho", "mp_elected_2024": "Claire Coutinho" }, { "name": "East Thanet", "slug": "east-thanet", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-thanet", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.702, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.292, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.1, "Con": 16.2, "Ref": 29.3, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 9.5, "RB": 6.8, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.9, "Con": 23.6, "Ref": 20.1, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 10.7, "Oth": 2.4 }, "turnout": 57 }, "mp": "Polly Billington", "mp_elected_2024": "Polly Billington" }, { "name": "East Wiltshire", "slug": "east-wiltshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-wiltshire", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.729, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.173, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.3, "Con": 23.7, "Ref": 30.8, "LD": 10.1, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 5.6, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 25.7, "Con": 35.7, "Ref": 16.7, "LD": 17.4, "Grn": 3.9, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 63.7 }, "mp": "Danny Kruger", "mp_elected_2024": "Danny Kruger" }, { "name": "East Worthing and Shoreham", "slug": "east-worthing-and-shoreham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/east-worthing-and-shoreham", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.964, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.027, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.8, "Con": 19.7, "Ref": 23.7, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 7.9, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.1, "Con": 25.7, "Ref": 14.6, "LD": 6.5, "Grn": 6.6, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 65.7 }, "mp": "Tom Rutland", "mp_elected_2024": "Tom Rutland" }, { "name": "Eastbourne", "slug": "eastbourne", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/eastbourne", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.919, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.046, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.8, "Con": 22.2, "Ref": 23, "LD": 36.5, "Grn": 5.3, "RB": 4.2, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 5.9, "Con": 25.3, "Ref": 13.3, "LD": 52.1, "Grn": 3.1, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 62.8 }, "mp": "Josh Babarinde", "mp_elected_2024": "Josh Babarinde" }, { "name": "Eastleigh", "slug": "eastleigh", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/eastleigh", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.502, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.366, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 14.6, "Con": 24.9, "Ref": 22.2, "LD": 26, "Grn": 6.9, "RB": 3.9, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 15.1, "Con": 31.1, "Ref": 13.3, "LD": 34.4, "Grn": 5.2, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 66.3 }, "mp": "Liz Jarvis", "mp_elected_2024": "Liz Jarvis" }, { "name": "Edinburgh East and Musselburgh", "slug": "edinburgh-east-and-musselburgh", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-east-and-musselburgh", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.883, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.115, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.5, "Con": 6.5, "Ref": 11.9, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 12.8, "SNP": 35.9, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.2, "Con": 5.7, "Ref": 4.7, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 10.2, "SNP": 33.1, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 59.8 }, "mp": "Chris Murray", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Murray" }, { "name": "Edinburgh North and Leith", "slug": "edinburgh-north-and-leith", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-north-and-leith", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.729, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.262, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.7, "Con": 7.3, "Ref": 10.2, "LD": 7.4, "Grn": 13.7, "SNP": 31.7, "RB": 0.9, "Oth": 3.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.1, "Con": 6.6, "Ref": 3.7, "LD": 7.8, "Grn": 10.9, "SNP": 27.4, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 63.1 }, "mp": "Tracy Gilbert", "mp_elected_2024": "Tracy Gilbert" }, { "name": "Edinburgh South", "slug": "edinburgh-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-south", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.859, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.139, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.8, "Con": 9.6, "Ref": 11.4, "LD": 6.7, "Grn": 12.1, "SNP": 23.5, "RB": 0.9, "Oth": 4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 53.3, "Con": 8.5, "Ref": 3.9, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 9.1, "SNP": 16.5, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 66.1 }, "mp": "Ian Murray", "mp_elected_2024": "Ian Murray" }, { "name": "Edinburgh South West", "slug": "edinburgh-south-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-south-west", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.75, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.25, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.6, "Con": 11.3, "Ref": 13.1, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 10, "SNP": 30.9, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 2.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.9, "Con": 12.2, "Ref": 4.6, "LD": 6.6, "Grn": 7.6, "SNP": 27.3, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 61.9 }, "mp": "Scott Arthur", "mp_elected_2024": "Scott Arthur" }, { "name": "Edinburgh West", "slug": "edinburgh-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-west", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.977, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.024, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10.1, "Con": 7.3, "Ref": 9.9, "LD": 40.1, "Grn": 6.9, "SNP": 22.3, "RB": 0.8, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 15, "Con": 5.5, "Ref": 4.2, "LD": 50.8, "Grn": 4, "SNP": 19.4, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 68.6 }, "mp": "Christine Jardine", "mp_elected_2024": "Christine Jardine" }, { "name": "Edmonton and Winchmore Hill", "slug": "edmonton-and-winchmore-hill", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/edmonton-and-winchmore-hill", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.1, "Con": 18.7, "Ref": 16.9, "LD": 7, "Grn": 13.9, "RB": 2, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 50, "Con": 19.2, "Ref": 8.5, "LD": 6.6, "Grn": 9, "Oth": 6.7 }, "turnout": 54.2 }, "mp": "Kate Osamor", "mp_elected_2024": "Kate Osamor" }, { "name": "Ellesmere Port and Bromborough", "slug": "ellesmere-port-and-bromborough", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ellesmere-port-and-bromborough", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.995, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.006, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 43.3, "Con": 11.5, "Ref": 23.6, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 9, "RB": 6.2, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 57.6, "Con": 12.4, "Ref": 17.3, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 6.4, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 59.3 }, "mp": "Justin Madders", "mp_elected_2024": "Justin Madders" }, { "name": "Eltham and Chislehurst", "slug": "eltham-and-chislehurst", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/eltham-and-chislehurst", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.933, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.037, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.8, "Con": 22.9, "Ref": 23, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44, "Con": 25.5, "Ref": 16.3, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 6.8, "Oth": 2 }, "turnout": 61.6 }, "mp": "Clive Efford", "mp_elected_2024": "Clive Efford" }, { "name": "Ely and East Cambridgeshire", "slug": "ely-and-east-cambridgeshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ely-and-east-cambridgeshire", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.608, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.342, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.3, "Con": 25.5, "Ref": 20, "LD": 28, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 3.4, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 17.5, "Con": 31.8, "Ref": 12.3, "LD": 32.7, "Grn": 4.5, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 66.2 }, "mp": "Charlotte Cane", "mp_elected_2024": "Charlotte Cane" }, { "name": "Enfield North", "slug": "enfield-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/enfield-north", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.997, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.6, "Con": 18.5, "Ref": 20.2, "LD": 5.8, "Grn": 12, "RB": 3.2, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.1, "Con": 19.8, "Ref": 11.8, "LD": 5.8, "Grn": 8.5, "Oth": 4.9 }, "turnout": 55.2 }, "mp": "Feryal Clark", "mp_elected_2024": "Feryal Clark" }, { "name": "Epping Forest", "slug": "epping-forest", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/epping-forest", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.851, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.149, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.1, "Con": 36.8, "Ref": 6.2, "LD": 11.8, "Grn": 11.3, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 29.6, "Con": 43.2, "LD": 12.6, "Grn": 6, "Oth": 8.6 }, "turnout": 57.8 }, "mp": "Neil Hudson", "mp_elected_2024": "Neil Hudson" }, { "name": "Epsom and Ewell", "slug": "epsom-and-ewell", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/epsom-and-ewell", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.72, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.263, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.2, "Con": 26, "Ref": 17.2, "LD": 30.7, "Grn": 6.5, "RB": 2, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 15.3, "Con": 31.2, "Ref": 10.6, "LD": 37.9, "Grn": 3.2, "Oth": 1.8 }, "turnout": 71.3 }, "mp": "Helen Maguire", "mp_elected_2024": "Helen Maguire" }, { "name": "Erewash", "slug": "erewash", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/erewash", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.654, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.33, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.4, "Con": 18.8, "Ref": 29.4, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 7, "RB": 7.7, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.1, "Con": 26.4, "Ref": 21.3, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 5.8, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 60.1 }, "mp": "Adam Thompson", "mp_elected_2024": "Adam Thompson" }, { "name": "Erith and Thamesmead", "slug": "erith-and-thamesmead", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/erith-and-thamesmead", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.999, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 42.8, "Con": 13.7, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 12.6, "RB": 4, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 55.1, "Con": 13.8, "Ref": 14.7, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 8.6, "Oth": 3.1 }, "turnout": 51.3 }, "mp": "Abena Oppong-Asare", "mp_elected_2024": "Abena Oppong-Asare" }, { "name": "Esher and Walton", "slug": "esher-and-walton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/esher-and-walton", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.93, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.07, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.9, "Con": 27.2, "Ref": 14.3, "LD": 41.5, "Grn": 6.4, "RB": 1.4, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 5.3, "Con": 30.3, "Ref": 8.9, "LD": 52.6, "Grn": 2.6, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 72.8 }, "mp": "Monica Harding", "mp_elected_2024": "Monica Harding" }, { "name": "Exeter", "slug": "exeter", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/exeter", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.955, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.045, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.3, "Con": 11.1, "Ref": 17.7, "LD": 6.7, "Grn": 21.6, "RB": 3.9, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.3, "Con": 15.6, "Ref": 12.2, "LD": 10.5, "Grn": 14.7, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 59.2 }, "mp": "Steve Race", "mp_elected_2024": "Steve Race" }, { "name": "Exmouth and Exeter East", "slug": "exmouth-and-exeter-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/exmouth-and-exeter-east", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.583, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.343, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.9, "Con": 27.2, "Ref": 20.6, "LD": 13.5, "Grn": 7.5, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28.5, "Con": 28.7, "Ref": 13.8, "LD": 22.2, "Grn": 4.5, "Oth": 2.3 }, "turnout": 64.2 }, "mp": "David Reed", "mp_elected_2024": "David Reed" }, { "name": "Falkirk", "slug": "falkirk", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/falkirk", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.812, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.182, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.7, "Con": 8.3, "Ref": 18.3, "LD": 3.1, "Grn": 6.3, "SNP": 33.3, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 3.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43, "Con": 8.4, "Ref": 7.9, "LD": 2.6, "Grn": 4, "SNP": 31.3, "Oth": 2.8 }, "turnout": 57.9 }, "mp": "Euan Stainbank", "mp_elected_2024": "Euan Stainbank" }, { "name": "Fareham and Waterlooville", "slug": "fareham-and-waterlooville", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/fareham-and-waterlooville", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.818, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.157, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.7, "Con": 24.2, "Ref": 32.5, "LD": 11.5, "Grn": 5.4, "RB": 5.5, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 22.9, "Con": 35, "Ref": 18.1, "LD": 19, "Grn": 4.1, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 65.1 }, "mp": "Suella Braverman", "mp_elected_2024": "Suella Braverman" }, { "name": "Farnham and Bordon", "slug": "farnham-and-bordon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/farnham-and-bordon", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.881, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.115, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 14.4, "Con": 33.3, "Ref": 17.5, "LD": 23.1, "Grn": 7.7, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13.8, "Con": 35.7, "Ref": 11.7, "LD": 33.2, "Grn": 4.7, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 69.8 }, "mp": "Greg Stafford", "mp_elected_2024": "Greg Stafford" }, { "name": "Faversham and Mid Kent", "slug": "faversham-and-mid-kent", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/faversham-and-mid-kent", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.438, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.41, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.1, "Con": 26.9, "Ref": 28, "LD": 5.7, "Grn": 8.9, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28.6, "Con": 31.8, "Ref": 21.2, "LD": 8.9, "Grn": 9.1, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 62.7 }, "mp": "Helen Whately", "mp_elected_2024": "Helen Whately" }, { "name": "Feltham and Heston", "slug": "feltham-and-heston", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/feltham-and-heston", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.971, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.023, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.5, "Con": 19.1, "Ref": 22.8, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 10.9, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 3.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.5, "Con": 21.1, "Ref": 13.2, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 13 }, "turnout": 50.5 }, "mp": "Seema Malhotra", "mp_elected_2024": "Seema Malhotra" }, { "name": "Fermanagh and South Tyrone", "slug": "fermanagh-and-south-tyrone", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/fermanagh-and-south-tyrone", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "SF", "projected_winner_name": "Sinn Féin", "win_chance": 0.805, "status": "Sinn Féin hold", "runner_up": "UUP", "runner_up_name": "UUP", "runner_up_chance": 0.195, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "SF", "vote_share": { "Oth": 2.3, "SDLP": 4.7, "APNI": 4.7, "UUP": 39.7, "SF": 48.6 }, "turnout": 65.6 }, "mp": "Pat Cullen", "mp_elected_2024": "Pat Cullen" }, { "name": "Filton and Bradley Stoke", "slug": "filton-and-bradley-stoke", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/filton-and-bradley-stoke", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.991, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.005, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.2, "Con": 18.1, "Ref": 20.6, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 13.9, "RB": 4, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.5, "Con": 25.6, "Ref": 13.5, "LD": 7.1, "Grn": 8.2 }, "turnout": 64.9 }, "mp": "Claire Hazelgrove", "mp_elected_2024": "Claire Hazelgrove" }, { "name": "Finchley and Golders Green", "slug": "finchley-and-golders-green", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/finchley-and-golders-green", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.833, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.167, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.2, "Con": 30.8, "Ref": 11, "LD": 8, "Grn": 10.4, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.3, "Con": 35.1, "Ref": 5.3, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 6.3, "Oth": 2.2 }, "turnout": 63.6 }, "mp": "Sarah Sackman", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Sackman" }, { "name": "Folkestone and Hythe", "slug": "folkestone-and-hythe", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/folkestone-and-hythe", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.675, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.314, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29, "Con": 18.2, "Ref": 32.8, "LD": 3.1, "Grn": 7.9, "RB": 7.5, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.7, "Con": 26.1, "Ref": 24.7, "LD": 4, "Grn": 9.1, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 61.7 }, "mp": "Tony Vaughan", "mp_elected_2024": "Tony Vaughan" }, { "name": "Forest of Dean", "slug": "forest-of-dean", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/forest-of-dean", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.514, "status": "Labour hold", 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31.2, "Ref": 23.2, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 5.3, "RB": 5, "Oth": 5.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32, "Con": 33.2, "Ref": 17.3, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 3.3, "Oth": 9.8 }, "turnout": 62.2 }, "mp": "Andrew Snowden", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Snowden" }, { "name": "Gainsborough", "slug": "gainsborough", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/gainsborough", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.743, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.215, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.9, "Con": 32.2, "Ref": 27.3, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 5.6, "RB": 6.5, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28.1, "Con": 35.6, "Ref": 21.2, "LD": 10.7, "Grn": 3.9, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 61.6 }, "mp": "Edward Leigh", "mp_elected_2024": "Edward Leigh" }, { "name": "Gateshead Central and Whickham", "slug": "gateshead-central-and-whickham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/gateshead-central-and-whickham", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.938, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.063, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.8, "Con": 10.7, "Ref": 25.8, "LD": 8.3, "Grn": 10.4, "RB": 6.7, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.4, "Con": 11.5, "Ref": 21.4, "LD": 12.4, "Grn": 8, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 57.6 }, "mp": "Mark Ferguson", "mp_elected_2024": "Mark Ferguson" }, { "name": "Gedling", "slug": "gedling", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/gedling", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.973, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.023, "projected_vote_share": { 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"glasgow-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/glasgow-east", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.865, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.133, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.6, "Con": 5.8, "Ref": 16.1, "LD": 3, "Grn": 10.2, "SNP": 34.8, "RB": 2.2, "Oth": 3.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.9, "Con": 4.8, "Ref": 6.7, "LD": 2.5, "Grn": 7.7, "SNP": 33.2, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 51.4 }, "mp": "John Grady", "mp_elected_2024": "John Grady" }, { "name": "Glasgow North", "slug": "glasgow-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/glasgow-north", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.865, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.132, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.3, "Con": 5.2, "Ref": 12.8, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 14.1, "SNP": 34.7, "RB": 1.6, "Oth": 3.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.2, "Con": 3.9, "Ref": 4.8, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 12.2, "SNP": 32, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 51.4 }, "mp": "Martin Rhodes", "mp_elected_2024": "Martin Rhodes" }, { "name": "Glasgow North East", "slug": "glasgow-north-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/glasgow-north-east", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.822, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.177, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.2, "Con": 4.9, "Ref": 16.6, "LD": 2.5, "Grn": 9.8, "SNP": 34.1, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 4.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.9, "Con": 3.5, "Ref": 6.7, "LD": 1.7, "Grn": 7.2, "SNP": 32.3, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 47 }, "mp": "Maureen Burke", "mp_elected_2024": "Maureen Burke" }, { "name": "Glasgow South", "slug": "glasgow-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/glasgow-south", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.868, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.123, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.3, "Con": 5.1, "Ref": 10.4, "LD": 4, "Grn": 15.9, "SNP": 35.3, "RB": 1, "Oth": 4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.8, "Con": 3.8, "Ref": 4.1, "LD": 3.1, "Grn": 13.1, "SNP": 32, "Oth": 2.2 }, "turnout": 60.4 }, "mp": "Gordon McKee", "mp_elected_2024": "Gordon McKee" }, { "name": "Glasgow South West", "slug": "glasgow-south-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/glasgow-south-west", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.883, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.118, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.6, "Con": 5.1, "Ref": 15.2, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 10.4, "SNP": 35.8, "RB": 2, "Oth": 3.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.6, "Con": 3.9, "Ref": 6.3, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 7.6, "SNP": 34.4, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 51.8 }, "mp": "Zubir Ahmed", "mp_elected_2024": "Zubir Ahmed" }, { "name": "Glasgow West", "slug": "glasgow-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/glasgow-west", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.773, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.228, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 26.8, "Con": 5.6, "Ref": 12.9, "LD": 4, "Grn": 12.3, "SNP": 34.1, "RB": 1.4, "Oth": 2.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.7, "Con": 4.3, "Ref": 5.3, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 9.2, "SNP": 30.5, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 57.8 }, "mp": "Patricia Ferguson", "mp_elected_2024": "Patricia Ferguson" }, { "name": "Glastonbury and Somerton", "slug": "glastonbury-and-somerton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/glastonbury-and-somerton", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.622, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.214, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.2, "Con": 24.6, "Ref": 25.1, "LD": 30.1, "Grn": 6.8, "RB": 5.6, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.5, "Con": 28.9, "Ref": 16.1, "LD": 42.7, "Grn": 5.7 }, "turnout": 65 }, "mp": "Sarah Dyke", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Dyke" }, { "name": "Glenrothes and Mid Fife", "slug": "glenrothes-and-mid-fife", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/glenrothes-and-mid-fife", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.851, "status": "SNP gain 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McIntyre", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex McIntyre" }, { "name": "Godalming and Ash", "slug": "godalming-and-ash", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/godalming-and-ash", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.903, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.098, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.8, "Con": 40.3, "Ref": 15.3, "LD": 28.2, "Grn": 5.4, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 5, "Con": 42.6, "Ref": 8.8, "LD": 41, "Grn": 2.3, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 72.1 }, "mp": "Jeremy Hunt", "mp_elected_2024": "Jeremy Hunt" }, { "name": "Goole and Pocklington", "slug": "goole-and-pocklington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/goole-and-pocklington", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.895, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.065, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.2, "Con": 34.4, "Ref": 24.5, "LD": 6.1, "Grn": 6.1, "RB": 5.9, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31, "Con": 38.2, "Ref": 18.2, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 4.9, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 62.2 }, "mp": "David Davis", "mp_elected_2024": "David Davis" }, { "name": "Gordon and Buchan", "slug": "gordon-and-buchan", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/gordon-and-buchan", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.543, "status": "SNP gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.417, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 6.3, "Con": 28, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 10.4, "Grn": 1.5, "SNP": 29.4, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 10.7, "Con": 32.9, "Ref": 8.9, "LD": 16.7, "SNP": 30.9 }, "turnout": 63 }, "mp": "Harriet Cross", "mp_elected_2024": "Harriet Cross" }, { "name": "Gorton and Denton", "slug": "gorton-and-denton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/gorton-and-denton", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Grn", "projected_winner_name": "Green", "win_chance": 0.506, "status": "Green gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.44, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.4, "Con": 5.4, "Ref": 22.5, "LD": 3, "Grn": 30.2, "RB": 2, "Oth": 7.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 50.8, "Con": 7.9, "Ref": 14.1, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 13.2, "Oth": 10.3 }, "turnout": 47.8 }, "mp": "Hannah Spencer", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Gwynne" }, { "name": "Gosport", "slug": "gosport", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/gosport", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.788, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.187, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.7, "Con": 33, "Ref": 27.1, "LD": 5.7, "Grn": 5.5, "RB": 6.3, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.6, "Con": 40.3, "Ref": 18, "LD": 9.1, "Grn": 4.4, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 60.4 }, "mp": "Caroline Dinenage", "mp_elected_2024": "Caroline Dinenage" }, { "name": "Gower", "slug": "gower", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/gower", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.488, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.427, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.4, "Con": 17.3, "Ref": 25.7, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 8.1, "PC": 15.7, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.4, "Con": 18.9, "Ref": 18.1, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 5.3, "PC": 8.3, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 62 }, "mp": "Tonia Antoniazzi", "mp_elected_2024": "Tonia Antoniazzi" }, { "name": "Grantham and Bourne", "slug": "grantham-and-bourne", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/grantham-and-bourne", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.737, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.231, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.2, "Con": 31.6, "Ref": 26.9, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 7.3, "RB": 6.7, "Oth": 3.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.6, "Con": 36.4, "Ref": 20.4, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 5.6, "Oth": 6.7 }, "turnout": 62.9 }, "mp": "Gareth Davies", "mp_elected_2024": "Gareth Davies" }, { "name": "Gravesham", "slug": "gravesham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/gravesham", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.529, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.44, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.7, "Con": 21, "Ref": 31.1, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 6.4, "RB": 6, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.5, "Con": 32.2, "Ref": 20.6, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 5.2 }, "turnout": 59.1 }, "mp": "Lauren Sullivan", "mp_elected_2024": "Lauren Sullivan" }, { "name": "Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes", "slug": "great-grimsby-and-cleethorpes", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/great-grimsby-and-cleethorpes", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.794, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.197, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.2, "Con": 15.7, "Ref": 35.4, "LD": 2.6, "Grn": 4, "RB": 12.4, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.9, "Con": 22.6, "Ref": 28.8, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 3, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 48.1 }, "mp": "Melanie Onn", "mp_elected_2024": "Melanie Onn" }, { "name": "Great Yarmouth", "slug": "great-yarmouth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/great-yarmouth", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "RB", "projected_winner_name": "Restore Britain", "win_chance": 0.708, "status": "Restore Britain gain from Reform UK", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.179, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.2, "Con": 14.5, "Ref": 22.8, "LD": 2.3, "Grn": 4.4, "RB": 33.9, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Ref", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.8, "Con": 24.6, "Ref": 35.3, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 55.6 }, "mp": "Rupert Lowe", "mp_elected_2024": "Rupert Lowe" }, { "name": "Greenwich and Woolwich", "slug": "greenwich-and-woolwich", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/greenwich-and-woolwich", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.996, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.005, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 46.2, "Con": 11.9, "Ref": 10, "LD": 9.6, "Grn": 20.3, "RB": 1, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 56.2, "Con": 11.4, "Ref": 7.7, "LD": 9, "Grn": 13.2, "Oth": 2.5 }, "turnout": 58.5 }, "mp": "Matthew Pennycook", "mp_elected_2024": "Matthew Pennycook" }, { "name": "Guildford", "slug": "guildford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/guildford", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.936, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.063, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10.8, "Con": 24, "Ref": 15.7, "LD": 36.5, "Grn": 9.8, "RB": 1.7, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 8.1, "Con": 30, "Ref": 9.1, "LD": 47.5, "Grn": 4.7, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 68.3 }, "mp": "Zöe Franklin", "mp_elected_2024": "Zöe Franklin" }, { "name": "Hackney North and Stoke Newington", "slug": "hackney-north-and-stoke-newington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hackney-north-and-stoke-newington", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.956, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.045, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 48.8, "Con": 9.5, "Ref": 6.4, "LD": 5.7, "Grn": 27.9, "RB": 0.6, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 59.5, "Con": 8.4, "Ref": 3.1, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 22.6, "Oth": 2.5 }, "turnout": 52.6 }, "mp": "Diane Abbott", "mp_elected_2024": "Diane Abbott" }, { "name": "Hackney South and Shoreditch", "slug": "hackney-south-and-shoreditch", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hackney-south-and-shoreditch", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.936, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.065, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 49.1, "Con": 6.5, "Ref": 5.7, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 30.7, "RB": 0.5, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 59.3, "Con": 5, "Ref": 3.8, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 23.9, "Oth": 3.2 }, "turnout": 53.3 }, "mp": "Meg Hillier", "mp_elected_2024": "Meg Hillier" }, { "name": "Halesowen", "slug": "halesowen", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/halesowen", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.598, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.382, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.9, "Con": 19.7, "Ref": 30.1, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 6.8, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.9, "Con": 27.6, "Ref": 22, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 5.6 }, "turnout": 56.3 }, "mp": "Alex Ballinger", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex Ballinger" }, { "name": "Halifax", "slug": "halifax", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/halifax", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.562, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.428, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.2, "Con": 15.6, "Ref": 27.3, "LD": 5, "Grn": 11.7, "RB": 6.7, "Oth": 5.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.1, "Con": 19.6, "Ref": 19.4, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 10.3, "Oth": 9.7 }, "turnout": 51.9 }, "mp": "Kate Dearden", "mp_elected_2024": "Kate Dearden" }, { "name": "Hamble Valley", "slug": "hamble-valley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hamble-valley", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.93, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.045, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.7, "Con": 32.8, "Ref": 22.6, "LD": 17.1, "Grn": 6.5, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 16.2, "Con": 36.4, "Ref": 15.2, "LD": 27.5, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 67.9 }, "mp": "Paul Holmes", "mp_elected_2024": "Paul Holmes" }, { "name": "Hamilton and Clyde Valley", "slug": "hamilton-and-clyde-valley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hamilton-and-clyde-valley", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.549, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.427, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.4, "Con": 10.4, "Ref": 19.8, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 2.7, "SNP": 30.3, "RB": 2.9, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { 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"region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.994, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.006, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.2, "Con": 17.4, "Ref": 8.5, "LD": 13.1, "Grn": 19.3, "RB": 0.6, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.3, "Con": 17.4, "Ref": 6.1, "LD": 12.7, "Grn": 13.7, "Oth": 1.9 }, "turnout": 60.7 }, "mp": "Tulip Siddiq", "mp_elected_2024": "Tulip Siddiq" }, { "name": "Harborough, Oadby and Wigston", "slug": "harborough-oadby-and-wigston", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/harborough-oadby-and-wigston", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.845, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.152, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.4, "Con": 32.8, "Ref": 18.2, "LD": 7.6, "Grn": 12, "RB": 2.8, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.2, "Con": 36.9, "Ref": 12.6, "LD": 9.4, "Grn": 8.5, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 65.4 }, "mp": "Neil O'Brien", "mp_elected_2024": "Neil O'Brien" }, { "name": "Harlow", "slug": "harlow", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/harlow", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.577, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.39, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.8, "Con": 21, "Ref": 31.8, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 7.3, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 37.6, "Con": 31.8, "Ref": 21.8, "LD": 3.1, "Grn": 5.2, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 58.1 }, "mp": "Chris Vince", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Vince" }, { "name": "Harpenden and Berkhamsted", "slug": "harpenden-and-berkhamsted", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/harpenden-and-berkhamsted", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.959, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.042, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.8, "Con": 26.6, "Ref": 12.3, "LD": 43.5, "Grn": 6.8, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 7.5, "Con": 30.5, "Ref": 7.8, "LD": 50.2, "Grn": 3.6, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 75.2 }, "mp": "Victoria Collins", "mp_elected_2024": "Victoria Collins" }, { "name": "Harrogate and Knaresborough", "slug": "harrogate-and-knaresborough", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/harrogate-and-knaresborough", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.895, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.105, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.4, "Con": 27.1, "Ref": 16.3, "LD": 38.8, "Grn": 5.4, "RB": 2.9, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 8, "Con": 30.2, "Ref": 10.9, "LD": 46.1, "Grn": 3.4, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 66.8 }, "mp": "Tom Gordon", "mp_elected_2024": "Tom Gordon" }, { "name": "Harrow East", "slug": "harrow-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/harrow-east", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.997, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.2, "Con": 47.4, "Ref": 12.9, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 0.8, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28.9, "Con": 53.3, "Ref": 4.6, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 4.2, "Oth": 5.9 }, "turnout": 62.4 }, "mp": "Bob Blackman", "mp_elected_2024": "Bob Blackman" }, { "name": "Harrow 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"Ref": 31.6, "LD": 1.9, "Grn": 4.4, "RB": 9.6, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.2, "Con": 21.9, "Ref": 24.5, "LD": 1.6, "Grn": 2.3, "Oth": 3.4 }, "turnout": 49.7 }, "mp": "Jonathan Brash", "mp_elected_2024": "Jonathan Brash" }, { "name": "Harwich and North Essex", "slug": "harwich-and-north-essex", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/harwich-and-north-essex", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.522, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.325, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.6, "Con": 29.3, "Ref": 27.9, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 6.8, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32, "Con": 34.4, "Ref": 20.4, "LD": 7.4, "Grn": 5.8 }, "turnout": 63 }, "mp": "Bernard Jenkin", "mp_elected_2024": "Bernard Jenkin" }, { "name": "Hastings and Rye", "slug": "hastings-and-rye", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hastings-and-rye", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.927, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.071, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.8, "Con": 17, "Ref": 24.8, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 11.8, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.6, "Con": 22.8, "Ref": 16.1, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 12.5, "Oth": 1.4 }, "turnout": 60.6 }, "mp": "Helena Dollimore", "mp_elected_2024": "Helena Dollimore" }, { "name": "Havant", "slug": "havant", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/havant", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.62, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.237, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.7, "Con": 25.6, "Ref": 30.5, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 7.6, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.6, "Con": 30.8, "Ref": 23.6, "LD": 7.8, "Grn": 6.8, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 58.3 }, "mp": "Alan Mak", "mp_elected_2024": "Alan Mak" }, { "name": "Hayes and Harlington", "slug": "hayes-and-harlington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hayes-and-harlington", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.997, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.002, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.9, "Con": 19.3, "Ref": 20, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 10.9, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 53.3, "Con": 21.9, "Ref": 10.7, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 5.6, "Oth": 5.2 }, "turnout": 51.5 }, "mp": "John McDonnell", "mp_elected_2024": "John McDonnell" }, { "name": "Hazel Grove", "slug": "hazel-grove", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hazel-grove", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.84, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.073, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.9, "Con": 18.4, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 30.3, "Grn": 5.7, "RB": 4.1, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 23.5, "Con": 19.6, "Ref": 15.1, "LD": 37.7, "Grn": 3.8, "Oth": 0.2 }, "turnout": 63.1 }, "mp": "Lisa Smart", "mp_elected_2024": "Lisa Smart" }, { "name": "Hemel Hempstead", "slug": "hemel-hempstead", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hemel-hempstead", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.834, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.143, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.3, "Con": 19.9, "Ref": 25.7, "LD": 8.2, "Grn": 8.3, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.2, "Con": 27.2, "Ref": 17.4, "LD": 11.6, "Grn": 5.6 }, "turnout": 62.1 }, "mp": "David Taylor", "mp_elected_2024": "David Taylor" }, { "name": "Hendon", "slug": "hendon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hendon", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.646, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.354, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.1, "Con": 31.2, "Ref": 15.3, "LD": 5.7, "Grn": 10.9, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.4, "Con": 38.4, "Ref": 7.4, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 4.6 }, "turnout": 55.1 }, "mp": "David Pinto-Duschinsky", "mp_elected_2024": "David Pinto-Duschinsky" }, { "name": "Henley and Thame", "slug": "henley-and-thame", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/henley-and-thame", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.764, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.235, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.5, "Con": 29.1, "Ref": 16.5, "LD": 35.6, "Grn": 6.2, "RB": 2.1, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.7, "Con": 33.2, "Ref": 9.8, "LD": 45, "Grn": 3.8, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 72.1 }, "mp": "Freddie Van Mierlo", "mp_elected_2024": "Freddie Van Mierlo" }, { "name": "Hereford and South Herefordshire", "slug": "hereford-and-south-herefordshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hereford-and-south-herefordshire", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.639, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 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"runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.022, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.7, "Con": 37, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 2.9, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 44.7, "Ref": 13.7, "LD": 7.7, "Grn": 4.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 65.3 }, "mp": "Oliver Dowden", "mp_elected_2024": "Oliver Dowden" }, { "name": "Hexham", "slug": "hexham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hexham", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.775, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.226, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.6, "Con": 34.5, "Ref": 6.3, "LD": 6.4, "Grn": 8.5, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 3.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.3, "Con": 39.1, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 4.8, "Oth": 5.3 }, "turnout": 67.8 }, "mp": "Joe Morris", "mp_elected_2024": "Joe Morris" }, { "name": 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0.048, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.1, "Con": 24, "Ref": 21.3, "LD": 4, "Grn": 9.7, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.8, "Con": 29.7, "Ref": 14.1, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 6.9 }, "turnout": 66.2 }, "mp": "Jon Pearce", "mp_elected_2024": "Jon Pearce" }, { "name": "Hinckley and Bosworth", "slug": "hinckley-and-bosworth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hinckley-and-bosworth", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.87, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.126, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.2, "Con": 33, "Ref": 25.2, "LD": 14.4, "Grn": 5.6, "RB": 5.8, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 18, "Con": 35.6, "Ref": 18.4, "LD": 24.3, "Grn": 3.2, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 62.5 }, "mp": "Luke Evans", "mp_elected_2024": "Luke Evans" }, { "name": "Hitchin", "slug": "hitchin", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hitchin", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.966, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.03, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.9, "Con": 22.8, "Ref": 20, "LD": 8.7, "Grn": 8.6, "RB": 3.3, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.9, "Con": 28.5, "Ref": 12.9, "LD": 9.4, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 69.2 }, "mp": "Alistair Strathern", "mp_elected_2024": "Alistair Strathern" }, { "name": "Holborn and St Pancras", "slug": "holborn-and-st-pancras", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/holborn-and-st-pancras", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.977, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.024, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 45.5, "Con": 8.5, "Ref": 8.7, "LD": 6.1, "Grn": 24.7, "RB": 1.8, "Oth": 4.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.9, "Con": 7.2, "Ref": 6.1, "LD": 5.8, "Grn": 10.4, "Oth": 21.5 }, "turnout": 54.1 }, "mp": "Sagal Abdi-Wali", "mp_elected_2024": "Keir Starmer" }, { "name": "Honiton and Sidmouth", "slug": "honiton-and-sidmouth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/honiton-and-sidmouth", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.611, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.366, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 6.9, "Con": 29.1, "Ref": 21.7, "LD": 32.2, "Grn": 4.3, "RB": 4.5, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 5.8, "Con": 32.2, "Ref": 12.4, "LD": 45.4, "Grn": 2.8, "Oth": 1.4 }, "turnout": 67.1 }, "mp": "Richard Foord", "mp_elected_2024": "Richard Foord" }, { "name": "Hornchurch and Upminster", "slug": "hornchurch-and-upminster", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hornchurch-and-upminster", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.647, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.341, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19, "Con": 29.4, "Ref": 33, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 5, "RB": 9.5, "Oth": 0.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 27.6, "Con": 32.5, "Ref": 28.4, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 5.6, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 62.2 }, "mp": "Julia Lopez", "mp_elected_2024": "Julia Lopez" }, { "name": "Hornsey and Friern Barnet", "slug": "hornsey-and-friern-barnet", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hornsey-and-friern-barnet", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.998, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.002, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 48.2, "Con": 10.4, "Ref": 6, "LD": 13.8, "Grn": 20.4, "RB": 0.5, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 58.7, "Con": 8.2, "Ref": 4.1, "LD": 12.5, "Grn": 14.5, "Oth": 1.9 }, "turnout": 69.6 }, "mp": "Catherine West", "mp_elected_2024": "Catherine West" }, { "name": "Horsham", "slug": "horsham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/horsham", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.603, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.381, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 11.4, "Con": 28, "Ref": 19.9, "LD": 30, "Grn": 6.1, "RB": 3.1, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 10.8, "Con": 34.4, "Ref": 11, "LD": 39, "Grn": 3.9, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 70.1 }, "mp": "John Milne", "mp_elected_2024": "John 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"runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.012, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 42.2, "Con": 11.4, "Ref": 12.2, "LD": 6.5, "Grn": 20.4, "RB": 1.7, "Oth": 5.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 52.4, "Con": 12.8, "Ref": 8.8, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 14.3, "Oth": 5.9 }, "turnout": 70.1 }, "mp": "Peter Kyle", "mp_elected_2024": "Peter Kyle" }, { "name": "Huddersfield", "slug": "huddersfield", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/huddersfield", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.528, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.422, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.4, "Con": 13.5, "Ref": 20.9, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 27, "RB": 3.9, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 37.6, "Con": 16.3, "Ref": 15.4, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 26.3 }, "turnout": 51.6 }, "mp": "Harpreet Uppal", "mp_elected_2024": "Harpreet Uppal" }, { "name": "Huntingdon", "slug": "huntingdon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/huntingdon", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.71, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.234, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.7, "Con": 30.5, "Ref": 22.2, "LD": 7.6, "Grn": 8.2, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.2, "Con": 35.1, "Ref": 15.4, "LD": 9.3, "Grn": 5.8, "Oth": 2.2 }, "turnout": 65.8 }, "mp": "Ben Obese-Jecty", "mp_elected_2024": "Ben Obese-Jecty" }, { "name": "Hyndburn", "slug": "hyndburn", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/hyndburn", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.519, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.389, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27, "Con": 21.2, "Ref": 28.7, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 12.9, "RB": 5.9, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.5, "Con": 28.9, "Ref": 20.7, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 13.6 }, "turnout": 54.2 }, "mp": "Sarah Smith", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Smith" }, { "name": "Ilford North", "slug": "ilford-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ilford-north", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.681, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Leanne Mohamad", "runner_up_chance": 0.286, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 19.2, "Ref": 14.1, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 11.3, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 22.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.4, "Con": 20.5, "Ref": 7.7, "LD": 2.3, "Grn": 3.8, "Oth": 32.2 }, "turnout": 59.6 }, "mp": "Wes Streeting", "mp_elected_2024": "Wes Streeting" }, { "name": "Ilford South", "slug": "ilford-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ilford-south", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.828, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Noor Begum", "runner_up_chance": 0.15, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.9, "Con": 14.2, "Ref": 11.5, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 17.1, "RB": 1, "Oth": 19.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.2, "Con": 14.9, "Ref": 5.7, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 8.3, "Oth": 27.7 }, "turnout": 50.8 }, "mp": "Jas Athwal", "mp_elected_2024": "Jas Athwal" }, { "name": "Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West", "slug": "inverclyde-and-renfrewshire-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/inverclyde-and-renfrewshire-west", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.738, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", 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"Grn": 4.2, "SNP": 33.3, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 61.7 }, "mp": "Angus MacDonald", "mp_elected_2024": "Angus MacDonald" }, { "name": "Ipswich", "slug": "ipswich", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ipswich", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.894, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.101, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.7, "Con": 18.4, "Ref": 25.8, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 10.4, "RB": 5.3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.3, "Con": 26.5, "Ref": 15.9, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 8.3, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 58.5 }, "mp": "Jack Abbott", "mp_elected_2024": "Jack Abbott" }, { "name": "Isle of Wight East", "slug": "isle-of-wight-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/isle-of-wight-east", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 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"vote_share": { "Lab": 51.3, "Con": 9.1, "Ref": 26.9, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 1.4 }, "turnout": 52.3 }, "mp": "Kate Osborne", "mp_elected_2024": "Kate Osborne" }, { "name": "Keighley and Ilkley", "slug": "keighley-and-ilkley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/keighley-and-ilkley", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.914, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.084, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 26.1, "Con": 36.3, "Ref": 18.4, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 8.7, "RB": 3.3, "Oth": 3.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.7, "Con": 40.2, "Ref": 10.4, "LD": 2.1, "Grn": 5.3, "Oth": 5.3 }, "turnout": 62.1 }, "mp": "Robbie Moore", "mp_elected_2024": "Robbie Moore" }, { "name": "Kenilworth and Southam", "slug": "kenilworth-and-southam", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kenilworth-and-southam", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.954, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.044, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22, "Con": 34, "Ref": 17.3, "LD": 13.5, "Grn": 8.8, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 24, "Con": 36.4, "Ref": 13, "LD": 19.6, "Grn": 5.9, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 71.2 }, "mp": "Jeremy Wright", "mp_elected_2024": "Jeremy Wright" }, { "name": "Kensington and Bayswater", "slug": "kensington-and-bayswater", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kensington-and-bayswater", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.872, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.128, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.8, "Con": 28.8, "Ref": 10.4, "LD": 8.5, "Grn": 13.1, "RB": 0.6, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.6, "Con": 33.7, "Ref": 6, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 6.2 }, "turnout": 54.2 }, "mp": "Joe Powell", "mp_elected_2024": "Joe Powell" }, { "name": "Kettering", "slug": "kettering", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kettering", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.769, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.159, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.8, "Con": 20.6, "Ref": 24.4, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 14.9, "RB": 5.5, "Oth": 2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.9, "Con": 28.2, "Ref": 16.9, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 13.9, "Oth": 2.4 }, "turnout": 63.3 }, "mp": "Rosie Wrighting", "mp_elected_2024": "Rosie Wrighting" }, { "name": "Kilmarnock and Loudoun", "slug": "kilmarnock-and-loudoun", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kilmarnock-and-loudoun", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.812, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.184, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.5, "Con": 8.3, "Ref": 18.9, "LD": 2.6, "Grn": 5.4, "SNP": 34.3, "RB": 2.8, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.9, "Con": 8.3, "Ref": 8.2, "LD": 2, "Grn": 2.9, "SNP": 32.8, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 56.9 }, "mp": "Lillian Jones", "mp_elected_2024": "Lillian Jones" }, { "name": "Kingston and Surbiton", "slug": "kingston-and-surbiton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kingston-and-surbiton", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.999, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 14.9, "Con": 18.5, "Ref": 13.6, "LD": 40.1, "Grn": 10, "RB": 1.8, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13, "Con": 17, "Ref": 9.4, "LD": 51.1, "Grn": 5.9, "Oth": 3.6 }, "turnout": 65.5 }, "mp": "Ed Davey", "mp_elected_2024": "Ed Davey" }, { "name": "Kingston upon Hull East", "slug": "kingston-upon-hull-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kingston-upon-hull-east", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.683, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.298, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31, "Con": 7.5, "Ref": 34.9, "LD": 6.5, "Grn": 6, "RB": 13.6, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.8, "Con": 9.1, "Ref": 30.6, "LD": 10.9, "Grn": 5.6 }, "turnout": 42.2 }, "mp": "Karl Turner", "mp_elected_2024": "Karl Turner" }, { "name": "Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham", "slug": "kingston-upon-hull-north-and-cottingham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kingston-upon-hull-north-and-cottingham", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.906, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.094, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.5, "Con": 10.7, "Ref": 26.8, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 9.3, "RB": 7.7, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.3, "Con": 12.8, "Ref": 20.4, "LD": 8.5, "Grn": 6.1, "Oth": 3.9 }, "turnout": 50.8 }, "mp": "Diana Johnson", "mp_elected_2024": "Diana Johnson" }, { "name": "Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice", "slug": "kingston-upon-hull-west-and-haltemprice", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kingston-upon-hull-west-and-haltemprice", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.699, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.3, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.4, "Con": 14.2, "Ref": 30.3, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 6.3, "RB": 8.7, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.8, "Con": 18.1, "Ref": 23.3, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 52.1 }, "mp": "Emma Hardy", "mp_elected_2024": "Emma Hardy" }, { "name": "Kingswinford and South Staffordshire", "slug": "kingswinford-and-south-staffordshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/kingswinford-and-south-staffordshire", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.834, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.154, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.9, "Con": 34.9, "Ref": 27.6, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 5.5, "RB": 6.5, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.3, "Con": 40.3, "Ref": 22, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 2.2 }, "turnout": 63.1 }, "mp": "Mike Wood", "mp_elected_2024": "Mike Wood" }, { "name": "Knowsley", "slug": "knowsley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/knowsley", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 48.1, "Con": 5.6, "Ref": 23, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 10.4, "RB": 7.5, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 67.3, "Con": 4.2, "Ref": 16.4, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 7.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 50.1 }, "mp": "Anneliese Midgley", "mp_elected_2024": "Anneliese Midgley" }, { "name": "Lagan Valley", "slug": "lagan-valley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/lagan-valley", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "APNI", "projected_winner_name": "Alliance", "win_chance": 0.754, "status": "Alliance hold", "runner_up": "DUP", "runner_up_name": "DUP", "runner_up_chance": 0.238, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "APNI", "vote_share": { "Oth": 0.9, "SDLP": 2.1, "TUV": 4.5, "UUP": 22.7, "DUP": 31.9, "APNI": 37.9 }, "turnout": 59.7 }, "mp": "Sorcha-Lucy Eastwood", "mp_elected_2024": "Sorcha-Lucy Eastwood" }, { "name": "Lancaster and Wyre", "slug": "lancaster-and-wyre", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/lancaster-and-wyre", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.979, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.013, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.4, "Con": 17.9, "Ref": 22, "LD": 4, "Grn": 14.7, "RB": 4.1, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.9, "Con": 23.4, "Ref": 16, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 12.2 }, "turnout": 57.5 }, "mp": "Cat Smith", "mp_elected_2024": "Cat Smith" }, { "name": "Leeds Central and Headingley", "slug": "leeds-central-and-headingley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/leeds-central-and-headingley", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.724, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.277, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.8, "Con": 6.5, "Ref": 10.3, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 32.5, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 2.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 50.2, "Con": 7.1, "Ref": 7.6, "LD": 8.3, "Grn": 23.5, "Oth": 3.4 }, "turnout": 44.8 }, "mp": "Alex Sobel", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex Sobel" }, { "name": "Leeds East", "slug": "leeds-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/leeds-east", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.886, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.113, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.6, "Con": 14.2, "Ref": 26.4, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 11.5, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 2.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.2, "Con": 17.5, "Ref": 18.6, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 8.9, "Oth": 4 }, "turnout": 51.7 }, "mp": "Richard Burgon", "mp_elected_2024": "Richard Burgon" }, { "name": "Leeds North East", "slug": "leeds-north-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/leeds-north-east", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.969, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.032, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.7, "Con": 15.5, "Ref": 11.1, "LD": 7.4, "Grn": 21.5, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 4.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 51.5, "Con": 15.9, "Ref": 7.6, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 13.1, "Oth": 7.1 }, "turnout": 64.4 }, "mp": "Fabian Hamilton", "mp_elected_2024": "Fabian Hamilton" }, { "name": "Leeds North West", "slug": "leeds-north-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/leeds-north-west", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.988, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.011, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.9, "Con": 21, "Ref": 16.8, "LD": 11.8, "Grn": 10, "RB": 3.1, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46, "Con": 22.1, "Ref": 11.9, "LD": 11.3, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 2.2 }, "turnout": 69.5 }, "mp": "Katie White", "mp_elected_2024": "Katie White" }, { "name": "Leeds South", "slug": "leeds-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/leeds-south", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.919, "status": "Labour 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1.9 }, "turnout": 56 }, "mp": "Mark Sewards", "mp_elected_2024": "Mark Sewards" }, { "name": "Leeds West and Pudsey", "slug": "leeds-west-and-pudsey", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/leeds-west-and-pudsey", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.98, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.02, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.1, "Con": 14.3, "Ref": 23.1, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 12.8, "RB": 5.8, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.3, "Con": 17.1, "Ref": 16.3, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 9.9, "Oth": 2.9 }, "turnout": 54.9 }, "mp": "Rachel Reeves", "mp_elected_2024": "Rachel Reeves" }, { "name": "Leicester East", "slug": "leicester-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/leicester-east", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", 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"James MacCleary", "mp_elected_2024": "James MacCleary" }, { "name": "Lewisham East", "slug": "lewisham-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/lewisham-east", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.999, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 46.4, "Con": 12.2, "Ref": 13.3, "LD": 7.1, "Grn": 18, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 58.2, "Con": 10.8, "Ref": 8.5, "LD": 6.1, "Grn": 13.7, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 55.4 }, "mp": "Janet Daby", "mp_elected_2024": "Janet Daby" }, { "name": "Lewisham North", "slug": "lewisham-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/lewisham-north", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.965, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", 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"runner_up_chance": 0.256, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.7, "Con": 26.4, "Ref": 26.8, "LD": 5, "Grn": 5.1, "RB": 5.6, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.1, "Con": 33.4, "Ref": 19.8, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 3.5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 64.5 }, "mp": "Dave Robertson", "mp_elected_2024": "Dave Robertson" }, { "name": "Lincoln", "slug": "lincoln", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/lincoln", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.933, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.067, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36, "Con": 15.3, "Ref": 25.6, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 10.7, "RB": 6, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.8, "Con": 23, "Ref": 18, "LD": 6.1, "Grn": 6.5, "Oth": 2.6 }, "turnout": 58.3 }, "mp": "Hamish Falconer", "mp_elected_2024": "Hamish Falconer" }, { "name": "Liverpool 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"url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/liverpool-wavertree", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.963, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.038, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 44.5, "Con": 5.7, "Ref": 11.5, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 24.9, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 4.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 58, "Con": 4.7, "Ref": 8.7, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 17, "Oth": 4.7 }, "turnout": 56.4 }, "mp": "Paula Barker", "mp_elected_2024": "Paula Barker" }, { "name": "Liverpool West Derby", "slug": "liverpool-west-derby", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/liverpool-west-derby", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 48.5, "Con": 6.1, "Ref": 19.4, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 11.7, "RB": 5.5, "Oth": 4.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 66.6, "Con": 4.1, "Ref": 12.8, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 7, "Oth": 6.1 }, "turnout": 54.3 }, "mp": "Ian Byrne", "mp_elected_2024": "Ian Byrne" }, { "name": "Livingston", "slug": "livingston", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/livingston", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.856, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.134, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.4, "Con": 7.8, "Ref": 19.3, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 5.9, "SNP": 34.1, "RB": 2.9, "Oth": 2.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.9, "Con": 7.7, "Ref": 8.9, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 3.8, "SNP": 33, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 57.5 }, "mp": "Gregor Poynton", "mp_elected_2024": "Gregor Poynton" }, { "name": "Llanelli", "slug": "llanelli", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/llanelli", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.62, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "PC", "runner_up_name": "Plaid Cymru", "runner_up_chance": 0.378, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15, "Con": 8.8, "Ref": 33.5, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 4.7, "PC": 29.9, "RB": 3.4, "Oth": 2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.3, "Con": 10.5, "Ref": 27.6, "LD": 3.1, "Grn": 2.7, "PC": 23.3, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 57 }, "mp": "Nia Griffith", "mp_elected_2024": "Nia Griffith" }, { "name": "Lothian East", "slug": "lothian-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/lothian-east", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.646, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.352, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29, "Con": 11.5, "Ref": 15.9, "LD": 5.7, "Grn": 7.5, "SNP": 26.3, "RB": 1.8, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49, "Con": 11.5, "Ref": 6.3, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 5.1, "SNP": 21.4, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 63.7 }, "mp": "Douglas Alexander", "mp_elected_2024": "Douglas Alexander" }, { "name": "Loughborough", "slug": "loughborough", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/loughborough", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.909, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.068, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34, "Con": 20.3, "Ref": 24.1, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 11.6, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.8, "Con": 29.1, "Ref": 17, "LD": 6.1, "Grn": 7 }, "turnout": 61.3 }, "mp": "Jeevun Sandher", "mp_elected_2024": "Jeevun Sandher" }, { "name": "Louth and Horncastle", "slug": "louth-and-horncastle", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/louth-and-horncastle", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.564, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.433, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 16, "Con": 32.4, "Ref": 31.4, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 8.4, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 22.5, "Con": 37.5, "Ref": 25.7, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 5.4, "Oth": 3.8 }, "turnout": 60.5 }, "mp": "Victoria Atkins", "mp_elected_2024": "Victoria Atkins" }, { "name": "Lowestoft", "slug": "lowestoft", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/lowestoft", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.822, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.147, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 26.4, "Con": 20.6, "Ref": 34.1, "LD": 3, "Grn": 6.3, "RB": 9.2, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.6, "Con": 29.8, "Ref": 24.7, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 7.4 }, "turnout": 56.3 }, "mp": "Jess Asato", "mp_elected_2024": "Jess Asato" }, { "name": "Luton North", "slug": "luton-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/luton-north", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.831, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Toqueer Shah", "runner_up_chance": 0.119, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.5, "Con": 14.4, "Ref": 19.9, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 12.8, "RB": 2.3, "Oth": 17.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 37.9, "Con": 18.5, "Ref": 12, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 21.7 }, "turnout": 51.8 }, "mp": "Sarah Owen", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Owen" }, { "name": "Luton South and South Bedfordshire", "slug": "luton-south-and-south-bedfordshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/luton-south-and-south-bedfordshire", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.8, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Attiq Malik", "runner_up_chance": 0.094, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 13.2, "Ref": 20.4, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 16.2, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 14 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.4, "Con": 17.5, "Ref": 12.4, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 6.3, "Oth": 22.1 }, "turnout": 49.6 }, "mp": "Rachel Hopkins", "mp_elected_2024": "Rachel Hopkins" }, { "name": "Macclesfield", "slug": "macclesfield", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/macclesfield", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.935, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.064, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.5, 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59 }, "mp": "Henry Tufnell", "mp_elected_2024": "Henry Tufnell" }, { "name": "Mid Bedfordshire", "slug": "mid-bedfordshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-bedfordshire", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.641, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.246, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.1, "Con": 29.3, "Ref": 23.6, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.4, "Con": 34.1, "Ref": 17.3, "LD": 8.2, "Grn": 5.2, "Oth": 3.8 }, "turnout": 65.8 }, "mp": "Blake Stephenson", "mp_elected_2024": "Blake Stephenson" }, { "name": "Mid Buckinghamshire", "slug": "mid-buckinghamshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-buckinghamshire", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.964, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.033, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 16.4, "Con": 33.9, "Ref": 18.6, "LD": 18.7, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 17, "Con": 37.3, "Ref": 12.8, "LD": 26.5, "Grn": 5.5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 71.3 }, "mp": "Greg Smith", "mp_elected_2024": "Greg Smith" }, { "name": "Mid Cheshire", "slug": "mid-cheshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-cheshire", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.911, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.087, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36, "Con": 17.9, "Ref": 26.2, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 6.2, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.5, "Con": 23, "Ref": 19.2, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 4.7, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 59 }, "mp": "Andrew Cooper", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Cooper" }, { "name": "Mid Derbyshire", "slug": "mid-derbyshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-derbyshire", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.627, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.25, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.1, "Con": 26.1, "Ref": 24.4, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 9.1, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.5, "Con": 32.5, "Ref": 17.6, "LD": 5, "Grn": 7.5, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 68 }, "mp": "Jonathan Davies", "mp_elected_2024": "Jonathan Davies" }, { "name": "Mid Dorset and North Poole", "slug": "mid-dorset-and-north-poole", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-dorset-and-north-poole", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.545, "status": "Conservative gain from Lib Dem", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.455, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 12.2, "Con": 35.5, "Ref": 7.8, "LD": 34, "Grn": 7.6, "RB": 1.1, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 9.2, "Con": 40.6, "LD": 43.3, "Grn": 4.8, "Oth": 2.1 }, "turnout": 65.8 }, "mp": "Vikki Slade", "mp_elected_2024": "Vikki Slade" }, { "name": "Mid Dunbartonshire", "slug": "mid-dunbartonshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-dunbartonshire", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.829, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.171, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 12.9, "Con": 6.4, "Ref": 9.8, "LD": 35.3, "Grn": 6.1, "SNP": 26.6, "RB": 0.9, "Oth": 2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 20.8, "Con": 4.6, "Ref": 4, "LD": 42.4, "Grn": 3.3, "SNP": 24, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 71.7 }, "mp": "Susan Murray", "mp_elected_2024": "Susan Murray" }, { "name": "Mid Leicestershire", "slug": "mid-leicestershire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-leicestershire", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.766, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.144, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.5, "Con": 32.1, "Ref": 24.2, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 9.3, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.3, "Con": 36.9, "Ref": 18.6, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 7.1 }, "turnout": 63.3 }, "mp": "Peter Bedford", "mp_elected_2024": "Peter Bedford" }, { "name": "Mid Norfolk", "slug": "mid-norfolk", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-norfolk", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.597, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.349, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.5, "Con": 30.7, "Ref": 28.8, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 6.4, "RB": 7.1, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 29.9, "Con": 36.5, "Ref": 20.5, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 6.2 }, "turnout": 61 }, "mp": "George Freeman", "mp_elected_2024": "George Freeman" }, { "name": "Mid Sussex", "slug": "mid-sussex", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-sussex", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.801, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.171, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 17.1, "Con": 23.5, "Ref": 18, "LD": 30.9, "Grn": 6.5, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 17.6, "Con": 27.1, "Ref": 11.1, "LD": 39.6, "Grn": 3.8, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 70.2 }, "mp": "Alison Bennett", "mp_elected_2024": "Alison Bennett" }, { "name": "Mid Ulster", "slug": "mid-ulster", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-ulster", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "SF", "projected_winner_name": "Sinn Féin", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Sinn Féin hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "SF", "vote_share": { "Oth": 2.7, "APNI": 4.4, "UUP": 5, "TUV": 6.6, "SDLP": 8.2, "DUP": 20.2, "SF": 53 }, "turnout": 61.4 }, "mp": "Cathal Mallaghan", "mp_elected_2024": "Cathal Mallaghan" }, { "name": "Middlesbrough and Thornaby East", "slug": "middlesbrough-and-thornaby-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/middlesbrough-and-thornaby-east", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.85, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.15, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.4, "Con": 13.4, "Ref": 27.8, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 8.5, "RB": 7.1, "Oth": 4.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.2, "Con": 17.9, "Ref": 20.5, "LD": 3, "Grn": 4.4, "Oth": 6.9 }, "turnout": 45.8 }, "mp": "Andy McDonald", "mp_elected_2024": "Andy McDonald" }, { "name": "Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland", "slug": "middlesbrough-south-and-east-cleveland", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/middlesbrough-south-and-east-cleveland", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.691, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.31, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.9, "Con": 34.8, "Ref": 8.5, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 7.4, "RB": 1.4, "Oth": 3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.3, "Con": 42.7, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 3.8, "Oth": 4.8 }, "turnout": 54.1 }, "mp": "Luke Myer", "mp_elected_2024": "Luke Myer" }, { "name": "Midlothian", "slug": "midlothian", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/midlothian", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.661, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.335, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.4, "Con": 8.3, "Ref": 17.5, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 3, "SNP": 32.8, "RB": 2.4, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.6, "Con": 7.4, "Ref": 7.4, "LD": 5.9, "SNP": 30.1, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 60 }, "mp": "Kirsty McNeill", "mp_elected_2024": "Kirsty McNeill" }, { "name": "Milton Keynes Central", "slug": "milton-keynes-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/milton-keynes-central", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.991, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.006, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.9, "Con": 19.3, "Ref": 20.1, "LD": 7.8, "Grn": 12.3, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.3, "Con": 27.1, "Ref": 13.1, "LD": 10.3, "Grn": 6.8, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 58.9 }, "mp": "Emily Darlington", "mp_elected_2024": "Emily Darlington" }, { "name": "Milton Keynes North", "slug": "milton-keynes-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/milton-keynes-north", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.948, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.033, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.3, "Con": 22.4, "Ref": 22, "LD": 6, "Grn": 9.8, "RB": 3.3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42, "Con": 30.2, "Ref": 13.4, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 7.1 }, "turnout": 65 }, "mp": "Chris Curtis", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Curtis" }, { "name": "Mitcham and Morden", "slug": "mitcham-and-morden", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/mitcham-and-morden", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 43.8, "Con": 14.6, "Ref": 14.9, "LD": 8.2, "Grn": 15.2, "RB": 2.1, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 55.4, "Con": 14, "Ref": 9.1, "LD": 8, "Grn": 10.2, "Oth": 3.2 }, "turnout": 58.6 }, "mp": "Siobhain McDonagh", "mp_elected_2024": "Siobhain McDonagh" }, { "name": "Monmouthshire", "slug": "monmouthshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/monmouthshire", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.76, "status": "Conservative gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.191, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.2, "Con": 30, "Ref": 20.9, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 8, "PC": 8.8, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.3, "Con": 34.8, "Ref": 10.7, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 4.6, "PC": 2.5, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 68 }, "mp": "Catherine Fookes", "mp_elected_2024": "Catherine Fookes" }, { "name": "Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr", "slug": "montgomeryshire-and-glyndwr", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/montgomeryshire-and-glyndwr", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.805, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "PC", "runner_up_name": "Plaid Cymru", "runner_up_chance": 0.158, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.9, "Con": 15.8, "Ref": 28.4, "LD": 9.9, "Grn": 6.1, "PC": 20.2, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 29.4, "Con": 18, "Ref": 20.6, "LD": 15, "Grn": 4, "PC": 13.1 }, "turnout": 58.4 }, "mp": "Steve Witherden", "mp_elected_2024": "Steve Witherden" }, { "name": "Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey", "slug": "moray-west-nairn-and-strathspey", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/moray-west-nairn-and-strathspey", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.88, "status": "SNP hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.083, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 9.7, "Con": 22.2, "Ref": 21.3, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 4, "SNP": 32.6, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "SNP", "vote_share": { "Lab": 17.7, "Con": 30, "Ref": 7.5, "LD": 8.1, "Grn": 3.6, "SNP": 32.1, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 60.3 }, "mp": "Graham Leadbitter", "mp_elected_2024": "Graham Leadbitter" }, { "name": "Morecambe and Lunesdale", "slug": "morecambe-and-lunesdale", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/morecambe-and-lunesdale", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.828, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.113, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.4, "Con": 24.5, "Ref": 23.6, "LD": 7.7, "Grn": 5.6, "RB": 4.6, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.8, "Con": 28.7, "Ref": 16.3, "LD": 9.9, "Grn": 4.3 }, "turnout": 62.9 }, "mp": "Lizzi Collinge", "mp_elected_2024": "Lizzi Collinge" }, { "name": "Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke", "slug": "motherwell-wishaw-and-carluke", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/motherwell-wishaw-and-carluke", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.688, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.309, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 6.9, "Ref": 18.1, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 5.9, "SNP": 33.3, "RB": 2.8, "Oth": 2.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.1, "Con": 6.2, "Ref": 7.7, "LD": 2.1, "Grn": 3.1, "SNP": 31, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 54.4 }, "mp": "Pamela Nash", "mp_elected_2024": "Pamela Nash" }, { "name": "Na h-Eileanan an Iar", "slug": "na-h-eileanan-an-iar", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/na-h-eileanan-an-iar", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.567, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.417, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.3, "Con": 7, "Ref": 14.4, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 4.1, "SNP": 28.1, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 11.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.5, "Con": 4.8, "Ref": 5.2, "LD": 2.8, "SNP": 21.1, "Oth": 16.7 }, "turnout": 63.4 }, "mp": "Torcuil Crichton", "mp_elected_2024": "Torcuil Crichton" }, { "name": "Neath and Swansea East", "slug": "neath-and-swansea-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/neath-and-swansea-east", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.848, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.088, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.2, "Con": 8.5, "Ref": 32.8, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 7, "PC": 20.4, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.8, "Con": 9.4, "Ref": 25.3, "LD": 5.8, "Grn": 4.3, "PC": 13.3 }, "turnout": 52.6 }, "mp": "Carolyn Harris", "mp_elected_2024": "Carolyn Harris" }, { "name": "New Forest East", "slug": "new-forest-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/new-forest-east", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.903, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.093, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 16.7, "Con": 33.8, "Ref": 25, "LD": 9.8, "Grn": 7.2, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 19.7, "Con": 38.5, "Ref": 16.9, "LD": 15.9, "Grn": 6.9, "Oth": 2.1 }, "turnout": 64 }, "mp": "Julian Lewis", "mp_elected_2024": "Julian Lewis" }, { "name": "New Forest West", "slug": "new-forest-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/new-forest-west", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.913, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.065, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.3, "Con": 33, "Ref": 23.7, "LD": 11.8, "Grn": 6.5, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 23.3, "Con": 35.4, "Ref": 16.4, "LD": 17.7, "Grn": 6, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 67.5 }, "mp": "Desmond Swayne", "mp_elected_2024": "Desmond Swayne" }, { "name": "Newark", "slug": "newark", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newark", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.439, "status": "Reform UK gain from Conservative", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.332, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.7, "Con": 27.1, "Ref": 29.1, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 4.6, "Oth": 2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.5, "Con": 39.2, "Ref": 15.5, "LD": 5.7, "Grn": 4.4, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 67 }, "mp": "Robert Jenrick", "mp_elected_2024": "Robert Jenrick" }, { "name": "Newbury", "slug": "newbury", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newbury", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.597, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.378, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 9, "Con": 28.2, "Ref": 20.3, "LD": 30.5, "Grn": 7.4, "RB": 3.2, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 7.5, "Con": 35.3, "Ref": 10.9, "LD": 40.1, "Grn": 5.5, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 68 }, "mp": "Lee Dillon", "mp_elected_2024": "Lee Dillon" }, { "name": "Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West", "slug": "newcastle-upon-tyne-central-and-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newcastle-upon-tyne-central-and-west", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.964, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.032, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.9, "Con": 8.8, "Ref": 23.4, "LD": 4, "Grn": 14.2, "RB": 5.3, "Oth": 8.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.6, "Con": 10.2, "Ref": 18.9, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 7.8, "Oth": 12.7 }, "turnout": 53.8 }, "mp": "Chi Onwurah", "mp_elected_2024": "Chi Onwurah" }, { "name": "Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend", "slug": "newcastle-upon-tyne-east-and-wallsend", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newcastle-upon-tyne-east-and-wallsend", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.988, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.011, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.4, "Con": 7.7, "Ref": 23, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 16.4, "RB": 6.2, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 50.1, "Con": 8.3, "Ref": 19.8, "LD": 7, "Grn": 12.4, "Oth": 2.3 }, "turnout": 55.5 }, "mp": "Mary Glindon", "mp_elected_2024": "Mary Glindon" }, { "name": "Newcastle upon Tyne North", "slug": "newcastle-upon-tyne-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newcastle-upon-tyne-north", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.995, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.006, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.7, "Con": 12.6, "Ref": 14.8, "LD": 10.2, "Grn": 17.8, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 50.3, "Con": 13.7, "Ref": 12.2, "LD": 12.2, "Grn": 10.4, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 65 }, "mp": "Catherine McKinnell", "mp_elected_2024": "Catherine McKinnell" }, { "name": "Newcastle-under-Lyme", "slug": "newcastle-under-lyme", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newcastle-under-lyme", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.697, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.29, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.5, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 29.6, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 6.2, "RB": 6.9, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.4, "Con": 27.6, "Ref": 22.4, "LD": 5, "Grn": 4.7 }, "turnout": 58.4 }, "mp": "Adam Jogee", "mp_elected_2024": "Adam Jogee" }, { "name": "Newport East", "slug": "newport-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newport-east", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.76, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.234, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.9, "Con": 13.6, "Ref": 28.2, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 10.1, "PC": 12.7, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 5.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.5, "Con": 16.8, "Ref": 19.1, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 5.4, "PC": 5.8, "Oth": 5 }, "turnout": 50.2 }, "mp": "Jessica Morden", "mp_elected_2024": "Jessica Morden" }, { "name": "Newport West and Islwyn", "slug": "newport-west-and-islwyn", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newport-west-and-islwyn", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.761, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.21, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.8, "Con": 13.8, "Ref": 28.7, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 8.2, "PC": 15.7, "RB": 2.7, "Oth": 3.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.5, "Con": 16, "Ref": 20.4, "LD": 5, "Grn": 5, "PC": 8.4, "Oth": 3.8 }, "turnout": 55.4 }, "mp": "Ruth Jones", "mp_elected_2024": "Ruth Jones" }, { "name": "Newry and Armagh", "slug": "newry-and-armagh", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newry-and-armagh", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "SF", "projected_winner_name": "Sinn Féin", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Sinn Féin hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "SF", "vote_share": { "Oth": 2.1, "APNI": 5.9, "UUP": 6.9, "TUV": 8.9, "DUP": 12.8, "SDLP": 14.8, "SF": 48.5 }, "turnout": 58.7 }, "mp": "Dáire Hughes", "mp_elected_2024": "Dáire Hughes" }, { "name": "Newton Abbot", "slug": "newton-abbot", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newton-abbot", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.477, "status": "Reform UK gain from Lib Dem", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.272, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 13.1, "Con": 23, "Ref": 26.6, "LD": 22.3, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 6.8, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 14.8, "Con": 27, "Ref": 17.7, "LD": 31.7, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 4.5 }, "turnout": 65 }, "mp": "Martin Wrigley", "mp_elected_2024": "Martin Wrigley" }, { "name": "Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor", "slug": "newton-aycliffe-and-spennymoor", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/newton-aycliffe-and-spennymoor", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.733, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.266, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.3, "Con": 15.7, "Ref": 30.3, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 5.7, "RB": 8.7, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.2, "Con": 20.6, "Ref": 24, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 55.2 }, "mp": "Alan Strickland", "mp_elected_2024": "Alan Strickland" }, { "name": "Normanton and Hemsworth", "slug": "normanton-and-hemsworth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/normanton-and-hemsworth", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.558, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.435, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.3, "Con": 10.6, "Ref": 34.5, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 6.2, "RB": 11.9, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.5, "Con": 13.7, "Ref": 29.2, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 5.9 }, "turnout": 48.1 }, "mp": "Jon Trickett", "mp_elected_2024": "Jon Trickett" }, { "name": "North Antrim", "slug": "north-antrim", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-antrim", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "TUV", "projected_winner_name": "TUV", "win_chance": 0.573, "status": "TUV hold", "runner_up": "DUP", "runner_up_name": "DUP", "runner_up_chance": 0.42, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "TUV", "vote_share": { "Oth": 1.4, "SDLP": 4, "UUP": 9.5, "APNI": 10.9, "SF": 18.7, "DUP": 27.2, "TUV": 28.3 }, "turnout": 55.1 }, "mp": "Jim Allister", "mp_elected_2024": "Jim Allister" }, { "name": "North Ayrshire and Arran", "slug": "north-ayrshire-and-arran", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-ayrshire-and-arran", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.844, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.137, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.6, "Con": 12.1, "Ref": 19.8, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 5, "SNP": 32.9, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 2.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.8, "Con": 14.1, "Ref": 8.1, "LD": 2.4, "Grn": 3.1, "SNP": 31.4, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 58.6 }, "mp": "Irene Campbell", "mp_elected_2024": "Irene Campbell" }, { "name": "North Bedfordshire", "slug": "north-bedfordshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-bedfordshire", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.879, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.073, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.4, "Con": 33, "Ref": 23.1, "LD": 8.4, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28.3, "Con": 38.8, "Ref": 16.4, "LD": 10.8, "Grn": 5.9 }, "turnout": 65.4 }, "mp": "Richard Fuller", "mp_elected_2024": "Richard Fuller" }, { "name": "North Cornwall", "slug": "north-cornwall", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-cornwall", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.664, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.212, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 6.6, "Con": 23.7, "Ref": 26.6, "LD": 31.8, "Grn": 4.2, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 5.8, "Con": 27.6, "Ref": 16.5, "LD": 47, "Grn": 2.6, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 66.8 }, "mp": "Ben Maguire", "mp_elected_2024": "Ben Maguire" }, { "name": "North Cotswolds", "slug": "north-cotswolds", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-cotswolds", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.952, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.038, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 16.1, "Con": 32.5, "Ref": 19.2, "LD": 18.4, "Grn": 9.1, "RB": 3.7, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 17.1, "Con": 34.7, "Ref": 12.9, "LD": 28, "Grn": 6.4, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 68.6 }, "mp": "Geoffrey Clifton-Brown", "mp_elected_2024": "Geoffrey Clifton-Brown" }, { "name": "North Devon", "slug": "north-devon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-devon", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.557, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.225, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7, "Con": 24.6, "Ref": 26, "LD": 29.1, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 6.3, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.3, "Con": 29.3, "Ref": 15.8, "LD": 42.4, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 65 }, "mp": "Ian Roome", "mp_elected_2024": "Ian Roome" }, { "name": "North Dorset", "slug": "north-dorset", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-dorset", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.899, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.062, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 9.3, "Con": 34.8, "Ref": 24.4, "LD": 19, "Grn": 6.1, "RB": 5.5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 8.8, "Con": 36.6, "Ref": 15.9, "LD": 33.5, "Grn": 4.2, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 68.3 }, "mp": "Simon Hoare", "mp_elected_2024": "Simon Hoare" }, { "name": "North Down", "slug": "north-down", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-down", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "Oth", "projected_winner_name": "Independent", "win_chance": 0.98, "status": "Independent hold", "runner_up": "APNI", "runner_up_name": "Alliance", "runner_up_chance": 0.02, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "Oth", "vote_share": { "Oth": 51.5, "SDLP": 1.5, "UUP": 15.6, "APNI": 31.4 }, "turnout": 58.6 }, "mp": "Alex Easton", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex Easton" }, { "name": "North Durham", "slug": "north-durham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-durham", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.584, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.417, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.5, "Con": 12.9, "Ref": 30.9, "LD": 6.4, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 9.1, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.8, "Con": 15.6, "Ref": 25.7, "LD": 10.1, "Grn": 5.7, "Oth": 3 }, "turnout": 56.8 }, "mp": "Luke Akehurst", "mp_elected_2024": "Luke Akehurst" }, { "name": "North East Cambridgeshire", "slug": "north-east-cambridgeshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-east-cambridgeshire", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.53, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.469, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 14.7, "Con": 32.3, "Ref": 32.2, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 5.5, "RB": 9, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 20.4, "Con": 41.5, "Ref": 23.1, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 5.1, "Oth": 2.9 }, "turnout": 54.8 }, "mp": "Steve Barclay", "mp_elected_2024": "Steve Barclay" }, { "name": "North East Derbyshire", "slug": "north-east-derbyshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-east-derbyshire", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.576, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.242, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.5, "Con": 26.4, "Ref": 26.2, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 6.3, "RB": 6, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.4, "Con": 34.5, "Ref": 17.2, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 0.2 }, "turnout": 62.6 }, "mp": "Louise Jones", "mp_elected_2024": "Louise Jones" }, { "name": "North East Fife", "slug": "north-east-fife", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-east-fife", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.949, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.051, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.5, "Con": 5.9, "Ref": 11.5, "LD": 40.5, "Grn": 6.8, "SNP": 24.8, "RB": 1.4, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 9.4, "Con": 3.9, "Ref": 4.9, "LD": 54.7, "Grn": 3.9, "SNP": 23.2 }, "turnout": 61.2 }, "mp": "Wendy Chamberlain", "mp_elected_2024": "Wendy Chamberlain" }, { "name": "North East Hampshire", "slug": "north-east-hampshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-east-hampshire", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.51, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.475, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10, "Con": 30.3, "Ref": 19.8, "LD": 30.4, "Grn": 5, "RB": 2.8, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 9.1, "Con": 37, "Ref": 12, "LD": 38.1, "Grn": 2.6, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 72.2 }, "mp": "Alex Brewer", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex Brewer" }, { "name": "North East Hertfordshire", "slug": "north-east-hertfordshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-east-hertfordshire", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.704, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.196, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.9, "Con": 24.5, "Ref": 23.6, "LD": 8.3, "Grn": 8.9, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35, "Con": 31.3, "Ref": 16.1, "LD": 10.4, "Grn": 7.2 }, "turnout": 67.6 }, "mp": "Chris Hinchliff", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Hinchliff" }, { "name": "North East Somerset and Hanham", "slug": "north-east-somerset-and-hanham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-east-somerset-and-hanham", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.836, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.083, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.2, "Con": 23, "Ref": 24, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 8.8, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.6, "Con": 30.2, "Ref": 14.5, "LD": 7.6, "Grn": 6.3, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 69.2 }, "mp": "Dan Norris", "mp_elected_2024": "Dan Norris" }, { "name": "North Herefordshire", "slug": "north-herefordshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-herefordshire", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Grn", "projected_winner_name": "Green", "win_chance": 0.866, "status": "Green hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.111, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.8, "Con": 25, "Ref": 21.3, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 36.9, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Grn", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.4, "Con": 31.5, "Ref": 16, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 43.2, "Oth": 0.2 }, "turnout": 69.2 }, "mp": "Ellie Chowns", "mp_elected_2024": "Ellie Chowns" }, { "name": "North Norfolk", "slug": "north-norfolk", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-norfolk", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.576, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.381, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 6.3, "Con": 29.8, "Ref": 23.1, "LD": 32.2, "Grn": 3.5, "RB": 4.6, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.1, "Con": 35.9, "Ref": 13.5, "LD": 41.4, "Grn": 3 }, "turnout": 65.9 }, "mp": "Steffan Aquarone", "mp_elected_2024": "Steffan Aquarone" }, { "name": "North Northumberland", "slug": "north-northumberland", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-northumberland", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.8, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.126, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.5, "Con": 23.9, "Ref": 22.9, "LD": 7.8, "Grn": 5.3, "RB": 5.1, "Oth": 3.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.6, "Con": 26.2, "Ref": 15.7, "LD": 10.6, "Grn": 3.6, "Oth": 7.4 }, "turnout": 65.8 }, "mp": "David Smith", "mp_elected_2024": "David Smith" }, { "name": "North Shropshire", "slug": "north-shropshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-shropshire", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.915, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.044, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.5, "Con": 21.2, "Ref": 23.5, "LD": 36.1, "Grn": 4.6, "RB": 5.2, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.9, "Con": 22, "Ref": 15.5, "LD": 52.9, "Grn": 2.5, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 63.9 }, "mp": "Helen Morgan", "mp_elected_2024": "Helen Morgan" }, { "name": "North Somerset", "slug": "north-somerset", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-somerset", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.651, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.347, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.4, "Con": 28.7, "Ref": 18.3, "LD": 9.5, "Grn": 8.3, "RB": 3.2, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.6, "Con": 34.4, "Ref": 10.4, "LD": 13.2, "Grn": 6.1, "Oth": 0.2 }, "turnout": 72.2 }, "mp": "Sadik Al-Hassan", "mp_elected_2024": "Sadik Al-Hassan" }, { "name": "North Warwickshire and Bedworth", "slug": "north-warwickshire-and-bedworth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-warwickshire-and-bedworth", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.698, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.267, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.1, "Con": 21.1, "Ref": 33.7, "LD": 2.2, "Grn": 4.8, "RB": 8.5, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36, "Con": 30.6, "Ref": 26.1, "LD": 3, "Grn": 4.3 }, "turnout": 58.7 }, "mp": "Rachel Taylor", "mp_elected_2024": "Rachel Taylor" }, { "name": "North West Cambridgeshire", "slug": "north-west-cambridgeshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-west-cambridgeshire", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.46, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.411, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.9, "Con": 23.1, "Ref": 29, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 6, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.3, "Con": 33.2, "Ref": 19.7, "LD": 7.2, "Grn": 6.7 }, "turnout": 58.5 }, "mp": "Sam Carling", "mp_elected_2024": "Sam Carling" }, { "name": "North West Essex", "slug": "north-west-essex", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-west-essex", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.779, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.192, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25, "Con": 31.3, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 9.1, "Grn": 7.8, "RB": 4.1, "Oth": 1.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.8, "Con": 35.6, "Ref": 14.1, "LD": 11.1, "Grn": 5.2, "Oth": 3.1 }, "turnout": 68.2 }, "mp": "Kemi Badenoch", "mp_elected_2024": "Kemi Badenoch" }, { "name": "North West Hampshire", "slug": "north-west-hampshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-west-hampshire", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.702, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.242, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.9, "Con": 29.7, "Ref": 22.3, "LD": 9.5, "Grn": 7.7, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28.5, "Con": 35, "Ref": 15.2, "LD": 15, "Grn": 5.4, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 64.6 }, "mp": "Kit Malthouse", "mp_elected_2024": "Kit Malthouse" }, { "name": "North West Leicestershire", "slug": "north-west-leicestershire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-west-leicestershire", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.486, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.356, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.7, "Con": 24, "Ref": 27.9, "LD": 3, "Grn": 7.5, "RB": 6.6, "Oth": 2.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.7, "Con": 32.7, "Ref": 19.9, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 5.8, "Oth": 3.5 }, "turnout": 62.5 }, "mp": "Amanda Hack", "mp_elected_2024": "Amanda Hack" }, { "name": "North West Norfolk", "slug": "north-west-norfolk", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/north-west-norfolk", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.697, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.285, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 18.5, "Con": 31.6, "Ref": 28.2, "LD": 9.2, "Grn": 5.5, "RB": 6.6, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 25, "Con": 36.1, "Ref": 19.5, "LD": 14.6, "Grn": 4.8 }, "turnout": 59.9 }, "mp": "James Wild", "mp_elected_2024": "James Wild" }, { "name": "Northampton North", "slug": "northampton-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/northampton-north", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.946, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.052, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.1, "Con": 15.6, "Ref": 24.5, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 11.1, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 4.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.5, "Con": 22, "Ref": 16.8, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 6.1, "Oth": 6.2 }, "turnout": 55.3 }, "mp": "Lucy Rigby", "mp_elected_2024": "Lucy Rigby" }, { "name": "Northampton South", "slug": "northampton-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/northampton-south", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.798, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.152, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.4, "Con": 21.2, "Ref": 26.2, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 8.7, "RB": 5, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.5, "Con": 29.2, "Ref": 18.7, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 5.5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 62.4 }, "mp": "Mike Reader", "mp_elected_2024": "Mike Reader" }, { "name": "Norwich North", "slug": "norwich-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/norwich-north", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.893, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.108, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.8, "Con": 15.6, "Ref": 26.9, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 10.3, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.4, "Con": 21.7, "Ref": 18, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 9.6, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 62.1 }, "mp": "Alice Macdonald", "mp_elected_2024": "Alice Macdonald" }, { "name": "Norwich South", "slug": "norwich-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/norwich-south", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.918, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.082, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.8, "Con": 10.1, "Ref": 16, "LD": 7.2, "Grn": 24.3, "RB": 3, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.6, "Con": 12.9, "Ref": 11.6, "LD": 7.9, "Grn": 18.3, "Oth": 1.7 }, "turnout": 59.1 }, "mp": "Clive Lewis", "mp_elected_2024": "Clive Lewis" }, { "name": "Nottingham East", "slug": "nottingham-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/nottingham-east", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.919, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.081, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.9, "Con": 8.1, "Ref": 13.2, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 25.1, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 8.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 53.6, "Con": 10.8, "Ref": 9.8, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 11.9, "Oth": 9.2 }, "turnout": 52.5 }, "mp": "Nadia Whittome", "mp_elected_2024": "Nadia Whittome" }, { "name": "Nottingham North and Kimberley", "slug": "nottingham-north-and-kimberley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/nottingham-north-and-kimberley", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.847, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.153, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.2, "Con": 14, "Ref": 27.5, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 12.4, "RB": 6.6, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.1, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 20.1, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 9.6 }, "turnout": 47.5 }, "mp": "Alex Norris", "mp_elected_2024": "Alex Norris" }, { "name": "Nottingham South", "slug": "nottingham-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/nottingham-south", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.979, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.013, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.6, "Con": 11, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 17.5, "RB": 4.1, "Oth": 5.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.4, "Con": 16.1, "Ref": 15, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 8.9, "Oth": 6.4 }, "turnout": 51.2 }, "mp": "Lilian Greenwood", "mp_elected_2024": "Lilian Greenwood" }, { "name": "Nuneaton", "slug": "nuneaton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/nuneaton", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.564, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.408, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.9, "Con": 19.6, "Ref": 29.7, "LD": 2.5, "Grn": 7.5, "RB": 7.3, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.9, "Con": 28.5, "Ref": 22, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 7, "Oth": 2.3 }, "turnout": 57.4 }, "mp": "Jodie Gosling", "mp_elected_2024": "Jodie Gosling" }, { "name": "Old Bexley and Sidcup", "slug": "old-bexley-and-sidcup", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/old-bexley-and-sidcup", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.76, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.218, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.1, "Con": 34.2, "Ref": 28.4, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 5.2, "RB": 7.3, "Oth": 0.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.2, "Con": 37.6, "Ref": 21.8, "LD": 4, "Grn": 5.5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 65.1 }, "mp": "Louie French", "mp_elected_2024": "Louie French" }, { "name": "Oldham East and Saddleworth", "slug": "oldham-east-and-saddleworth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/oldham-east-and-saddleworth", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.622, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.343, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.9, "Con": 14.1, "Ref": 25.9, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 7.5, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 13 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.2, "Con": 17.1, "Ref": 19.3, "LD": 8.5, "Grn": 3.7, "Oth": 16.3 }, "turnout": 54.5 }, "mp": "Debbie Abrahams", "mp_elected_2024": "Debbie Abrahams" }, { "name": "Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton", "slug": "oldham-west-chadderton-and-royton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/oldham-west-chadderton-and-royton", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.526, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.28, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27, "Con": 9.6, "Ref": 25.8, "LD": 3.4, "Grn": 10.5, "RB": 5, "Oth": 18.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.3, "Con": 10.5, "Ref": 17.8, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 4.8, "Oth": 29.3 }, "turnout": 50.7 }, "mp": "Jim McMahon", "mp_elected_2024": "Jim McMahon" }, { "name": "Orkney and Shetland", "slug": "orkney-and-shetland", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/orkney-and-shetland", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.991, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.01, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 6.3, "Con": 4.9, "Ref": 14.6, "LD": 39.7, "Grn": 11, "SNP": 19.8, "RB": 2, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 7.2, "Con": 2.8, "Ref": 7.7, "LD": 55.1, "Grn": 9.9, "SNP": 17.3 }, "turnout": 60.4 }, "mp": "Alistair Carmichael", "mp_elected_2024": "Alistair Carmichael" }, { "name": "Orpington", "slug": "orpington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/orpington", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.933, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.057, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.2, "Con": 36.3, "Ref": 25, "LD": 7.2, "Grn": 5.3, "RB": 5.6, "Oth": 0.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.9, "Con": 38, "Ref": 19.3, "LD": 10.3, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 64.6 }, "mp": "Gareth Bacon", "mp_elected_2024": "Gareth Bacon" }, { "name": "Ossett and Denby Dale", "slug": "ossett-and-denby-dale", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ossett-and-denby-dale", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.547, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.344, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.2, "Con": 23.3, "Ref": 28.3, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 5.9, "RB": 7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.3, "Con": 28.9, "Ref": 21, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 4.9, "Oth": 1.8 }, "turnout": 60.7 }, "mp": "Jade Botterill", "mp_elected_2024": "Jade Botterill" }, { "name": "Oxford East", "slug": "oxford-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/oxford-east", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.935, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.057, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.5, "Con": 9, "Ref": 3.1, "LD": 7.6, "Grn": 24.8, "RB": 0.2, "Oth": 14.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.7, "Con": 12, "LD": 8.7, "Grn": 12.9, "Oth": 16.6 }, "turnout": 54.8 }, "mp": "Anneliese Dodds", "mp_elected_2024": "Anneliese Dodds" }, { "name": "Oxford West and Abingdon", "slug": "oxford-west-and-abingdon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/oxford-west-and-abingdon", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.994, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.005, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.4, "Con": 15.7, "Ref": 13, "LD": 37.8, "Grn": 14.4, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13, "Con": 18.5, "Ref": 9.1, "LD": 50.9, "Grn": 7, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 65.9 }, "mp": "Layla Moran", "mp_elected_2024": "Layla Moran" }, { "name": "Paisley and Renfrewshire North", "slug": "paisley-and-renfrewshire-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/paisley-and-renfrewshire-north", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.755, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.244, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.2, "Con": 7.2, "Ref": 17.5, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 6.2, "SNP": 34, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.1, "Con": 6.4, "Ref": 7.8, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 3.5, "SNP": 31.9 }, "turnout": 58.4 }, "mp": "Alison Taylor", "mp_elected_2024": "Alison Taylor" }, { "name": "Paisley and Renfrewshire South", "slug": "paisley-and-renfrewshire-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/paisley-and-renfrewshire-south", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.748, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.251, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.4, "Con": 6.5, "Ref": 16.5, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 7, "SNP": 34.1, "RB": 2.4, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.4, "Con": 5.4, "Ref": 7.2, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 4.2, "SNP": 31.6, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 57.7 }, "mp": "Johanna Baxter", "mp_elected_2024": "Johanna Baxter" }, { "name": "Peckham", "slug": "peckham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/peckham", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.975, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.026, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 49, "Con": 7.3, "Ref": 7.2, "LD": 7.8, "Grn": 26.7, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 58.8, "Con": 5.9, "Ref": 4.6, "LD": 7, "Grn": 19.6, "Oth": 4.1 }, "turnout": 53.8 }, "mp": "Miatta Fahnbulleh", "mp_elected_2024": "Miatta Fahnbulleh" }, { "name": "Pendle and Clitheroe", "slug": "pendle-and-clitheroe", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/pendle-and-clitheroe", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.437, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.283, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.2, "Con": 25.3, "Ref": 26.3, "LD": 4, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 6.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.5, "Con": 32.6, "Ref": 17.5, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 3, "Oth": 8.1 }, "turnout": 59.3 }, "mp": "Jonathan Hinder", "mp_elected_2024": "Jonathan Hinder" }, { "name": "Penistone and Stocksbridge", "slug": "penistone-and-stocksbridge", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/penistone-and-stocksbridge", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.742, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.244, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.3, "Con": 19.6, "Ref": 28.6, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 5.4, "RB": 7.2, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.6, "Con": 23.7, "Ref": 21.5, "LD": 6.5, "Grn": 4.6 }, "turnout": 62.4 }, "mp": "Marie Tidball", "mp_elected_2024": "Marie Tidball" }, { "name": "Penrith and Solway", "slug": "penrith-and-solway", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/penrith-and-solway", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", 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"https://gbelects.com/seat/salford", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.982, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.019, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 41.2, "Con": 7.8, "Ref": 17.4, "LD": 6, "Grn": 21.3, "RB": 3.3, "Oth": 3.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 53.2, "Con": 9, "Ref": 15.2, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 13.1, "Oth": 2.6 }, "turnout": 47.5 }, "mp": "Rebecca Long-Bailey", "mp_elected_2024": "Rebecca Long-Bailey" }, { "name": "Salisbury", "slug": "salisbury", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/salisbury", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.87, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.119, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.7, "Con": 31.9, "Ref": 17, "LD": 15.5, "Grn": 7.5, "RB": 3.2, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.5, "Con": 34.1, "Ref": 10.4, "LD": 23.6, "Grn": 4.2, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 69.9 }, "mp": "John Glen", "mp_elected_2024": "John Glen" }, { "name": "Scarborough and Whitby", "slug": "scarborough-and-whitby", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/scarborough-and-whitby", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.507, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.416, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.3, "Con": 22.6, "Ref": 29.7, "LD": 4, "Grn": 4.6, "RB": 7.7, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.2, "Con": 27.9, "Ref": 21.8, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 3.9, "Oth": 1.9 }, "turnout": 59.3 }, "mp": "Alison Hume", "mp_elected_2024": "Alison Hume" }, { "name": "Scunthorpe", "slug": "scunthorpe", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/scunthorpe", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.558, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.369, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.1, "Con": 22.5, "Ref": 31, "LD": 2.5, "Grn": 4.4, "RB": 8.8, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.7, "Con": 30.6, "Ref": 20.9, "LD": 2.4, "Grn": 3.1, "Oth": 3.3 }, "turnout": 52.9 }, "mp": "Nicholas Dakin", "mp_elected_2024": "Nicholas Dakin" }, { "name": "Sefton Central", "slug": "sefton-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sefton-central", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 42.7, "Con": 17.9, "Ref": 18.4, "LD": 6.6, "Grn": 9.4, "RB": 3.6, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 56.4, "Con": 17.9, "Ref": 12.2, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 6.9, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 63.9 }, "mp": "Bill Esterson", "mp_elected_2024": "Bill Esterson" }, { "name": "Selby", "slug": "selby", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/selby", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.858, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.125, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.1, "Con": 20.5, "Ref": 26.9, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 6.3, "RB": 6.9, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.3, "Con": 25.6, "Ref": 19.4, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 5 }, "turnout": 63.1 }, "mp": "Keir Mather", "mp_elected_2024": "Keir Mather" }, { "name": "Sevenoaks", "slug": "sevenoaks", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sevenoaks", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.893, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.091, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 12.9, "Con": 33.9, "Ref": 25.1, "LD": 16, "Grn": 6.1, "RB": 4.5, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13.6, "Con": 36.7, "Ref": 18.7, "LD": 25.8, "Grn": 4.1, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 67.7 }, "mp": "Laura Trott", "mp_elected_2024": "Laura Trott" }, { "name": "Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough", "slug": "sheffield-brightside-and-hillsborough", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sheffield-brightside-and-hillsborough", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.955, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.044, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.9, "Con": 13.3, "Ref": 6.4, "LD": 6.7, "Grn": 23.2, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 9.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 51.6, "Con": 12.9, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 14.9, "Oth": 15.3 }, "turnout": 44.9 }, "mp": "Gill Furniss", "mp_elected_2024": "Gill Furniss" }, { "name": "Sheffield Central", "slug": "sheffield-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sheffield-central", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.588, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.412, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.4, "Con": 6.4, "Ref": 2.3, "LD": 7.4, "Grn": 38.1, "RB": 0.2, "Oth": 5.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 52.1, "Con": 7.4, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 26, "Oth": 7.7 }, "turnout": 52.5 }, "mp": "Abtisam Mohamed", "mp_elected_2024": "Abtisam Mohamed" }, { "name": "Sheffield Hallam", "slug": "sheffield-hallam", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sheffield-hallam", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.826, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.172, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.2, "Con": 13.1, "Ref": 2.6, "LD": 28.9, "Grn": 15.3, "RB": 0.2, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.3, "Con": 12, "LD": 30.4, "Grn": 8.7, "Oth": 2.6 }, "turnout": 70.8 }, "mp": "Olivia Blake", "mp_elected_2024": "Olivia Blake" }, { "name": "Sheffield Heeley", "slug": "sheffield-heeley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sheffield-heeley", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.986, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.015, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 43.5, "Con": 14.2, "Ref": 5.2, "LD": 11.2, "Grn": 21.6, "RB": 0.9, "Oth": 3.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 55.2, "Con": 13.6, "LD": 10, "Grn": 15.4, "Oth": 5.7 }, "turnout": 52.3 }, "mp": "Louise Haigh", "mp_elected_2024": "Louise Haigh" }, { "name": "Sheffield South East", "slug": "sheffield-south-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sheffield-south-east", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.999, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.8, "Con": 18, "Ref": 7.3, "LD": 10.3, "Grn": 15.6, "RB": 1.5, "Oth": 6.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 52.3, "Con": 17.5, "LD": 9.6, "Grn": 8.8, "Oth": 11.8 }, "turnout": 48.2 }, "mp": "Clive Betts", "mp_elected_2024": "Clive Betts" }, { "name": "Sherwood Forest", "slug": "sherwood-forest", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sherwood-forest", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.504, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.471, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.9, "Con": 20, "Ref": 30.8, "LD": 3, "Grn": 6, "RB": 7.8, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.7, "Con": 27.5, "Ref": 23.3, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 2.2 }, "turnout": 61.7 }, "mp": "Michelle Welsh", "mp_elected_2024": "Michelle Welsh" }, { "name": "Shipley", "slug": "shipley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/shipley", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.911, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.06, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.4, "Con": 23.7, "Ref": 22, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 9.6, "RB": 4.5, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45, "Con": 27.2, "Ref": 15, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 7.5, "Oth": 2.6 }, "turnout": 65.2 }, "mp": "Anna Dixon", "mp_elected_2024": "Anna Dixon" }, { "name": "Shrewsbury", "slug": "shrewsbury", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/shrewsbury", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.992, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.005, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.4, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 21, "LD": 9, "Grn": 7.4, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.5, "Con": 22.5, "Ref": 14.6, "LD": 13, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 67.3 }, "mp": "Julia Buckley", "mp_elected_2024": "Julia Buckley" }, { "name": "Sittingbourne and Sheppey", "slug": "sittingbourne-and-sheppey", "url": 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"mp_elected_2024": "Pippa Heylings" }, { "name": "South Cotswolds", "slug": "south-cotswolds", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-cotswolds", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.629, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.366, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.9, "Con": 30, "Ref": 18.2, "LD": 32.9, "Grn": 5.7, "RB": 3.1, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 7.5, "Con": 34.4, "Ref": 9.8, "LD": 43.9, "Grn": 3, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 72.7 }, "mp": "Roz Savage", "mp_elected_2024": "Roz Savage" }, { "name": "South Derbyshire", "slug": "south-derbyshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-derbyshire", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.696, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.243, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.8, "Con": 22.1, "Ref": 27.3, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 6.3, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.8, "Con": 29.7, "Ref": 19.6, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 4.2, "Oth": 3 }, "turnout": 62 }, "mp": "Samantha Niblett", "mp_elected_2024": "Samantha Niblett" }, { "name": "South Devon", "slug": "south-devon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-devon", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.665, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.307, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.2, "Con": 28.5, "Ref": 21.7, "LD": 32.9, "Grn": 4.8, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.3, "Con": 31.5, "Ref": 13, "LD": 46, "Grn": 3.1, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 67.8 }, "mp": "Caroline Voaden", "mp_elected_2024": "Caroline 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"projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "SF", "vote_share": { "Oth": 2.8, "UUP": 3.1, "TUV": 4.2, "APNI": 7, "DUP": 16.2, "SDLP": 23, "SF": 43.5 }, "turnout": 59.3 }, "mp": "Chris Hazzard", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Hazzard" }, { "name": "South East Cornwall", "slug": "south-east-cornwall", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-east-cornwall", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.443, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.41, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27.5, "Con": 22.8, "Ref": 27.7, "LD": 9.5, "Grn": 5.3, "RB": 6.5, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.8, "Con": 27.9, "Ref": 18.9, "LD": 16.8, "Grn": 4.1, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 67.8 }, "mp": "Anna Gelderd", "mp_elected_2024": "Anna Gelderd" }, { "name": "South Holland and The Deepings", "slug": "south-holland-and-the-deepings", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-holland-and-the-deepings", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.559, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.44, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 15.1, "Con": 31.5, "Ref": 30.6, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 5.3, "RB": 8.8, "Oth": 5.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 19.8, "Con": 38, "Ref": 23.1, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 3.9, "Oth": 11 }, "turnout": 58.5 }, "mp": "John Hayes", "mp_elected_2024": "John Hayes" }, { "name": "South Leicestershire", "slug": "south-leicestershire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-leicestershire", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.814, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.155, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.6, "Con": 32.1, "Ref": 25.7, "LD": 9.4, "Grn": 7.1, "RB": 5.6, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 24.8, "Con": 35.6, "Ref": 19.9, "LD": 14.8, "Grn": 4.8 }, "turnout": 65.4 }, "mp": "Alberto Costa", "mp_elected_2024": "Alberto Costa" }, { "name": "South Norfolk", "slug": "south-norfolk", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-norfolk", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.756, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.152, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30, "Con": 23.3, "Ref": 23.2, "LD": 9.1, "Grn": 9.1, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35, "Con": 29.3, "Ref": 15.3, "LD": 11.6, "Grn": 8, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 67 }, "mp": "Ben Goldsborough", "mp_elected_2024": "Ben Goldsborough" }, { "name": "South Northamptonshire", "slug": "south-northamptonshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-northamptonshire", "region": "East Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.833, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.114, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.3, "Con": 31.8, "Ref": 22.2, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 8.5, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 28.9, "Con": 35.7, "Ref": 16.7, "LD": 9.3, "Grn": 5.7, "Oth": 3.7 }, "turnout": 68.6 }, "mp": "Sarah Bool", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Bool" }, { "name": "South Ribble", "slug": "south-ribble", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-ribble", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.821, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.121, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.2, "Con": 23.1, "Ref": 26.2, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 5.1, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.5, "Con": 28.6, "Ref": 19.3, "LD": 6.4, "Grn": 3.4 }, "turnout": 63.6 }, "mp": "Paul Foster", "mp_elected_2024": "Paul Foster" }, { "name": "South Shields", "slug": "south-shields", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-shields", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.777, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.218, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.2, "Con": 10.1, "Ref": 27.9, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 13.8, "RB": 8.1, "Oth": 3.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.1, "Con": 11.2, "Ref": 23, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 14.8, "Oth": 6.2 }, "turnout": 53.9 }, "mp": "Emma Lewell-Buck", "mp_elected_2024": "Emma Lewell-Buck" }, { "name": "South Shropshire", "slug": "south-shropshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-shropshire", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.922, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.052, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 12.8, "Con": 34.4, "Ref": 23.8, "LD": 18.3, "Grn": 5.2, "RB": 4.8, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13.4, "Con": 34.1, "Ref": 17.8, "LD": 31, "Grn": 3.7 }, "turnout": 67.4 }, "mp": "Stuart Anderson", "mp_elected_2024": "Stuart Anderson" }, { "name": "South Suffolk", "slug": "south-suffolk", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-suffolk", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.693, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.239, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.4, "Con": 29.8, "Ref": 26.1, "LD": 9.3, "Grn": 8.2, "RB": 5.7, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.7, "Con": 33, "Ref": 19, "LD": 13.2, "Grn": 8.2 }, "turnout": 65.4 }, "mp": "James Cartlidge", "mp_elected_2024": "James Cartlidge" }, { "name": "South West Devon", "slug": "south-west-devon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-west-devon", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.668, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.177, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.9, "Con": 30.1, "Ref": 24.9, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 7.2, "RB": 6, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.3, "Con": 34.3, "Ref": 17.9, "LD": 10.6, "Grn": 5.6, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 67.3 }, "mp": "Rebecca Smith", "mp_elected_2024": "Rebecca Smith" }, { "name": "South West 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"runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.09, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.3, "Con": 18.6, "Ref": 32, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 5.2, "RB": 9.3, "Oth": 8.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.7, "Con": 25.3, "Ref": 22.5, "LD": 5.9, "Grn": 4.1, "Oth": 15.5 }, "turnout": 59.3 }, "mp": "Terry Jermy", "mp_elected_2024": "Terry Jermy" }, { "name": "South West Wiltshire", "slug": "south-west-wiltshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/south-west-wiltshire", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.692, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.196, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.8, "Con": 29.5, "Ref": 25.1, "LD": 8.7, "Grn": 7, "RB": 6.5, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 26.8, "Con": 33.8, "Ref": 17, "LD": 15.6, "Grn": 4.9, "Oth": 1.9 }, "turnout": 63.2 }, "mp": "Andrew Murrison", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Murrison" }, { "name": "Southampton Itchen", "slug": "southampton-itchen", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/southampton-itchen", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.891, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.109, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.3, "Con": 16.3, "Ref": 27, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 9.9, "RB": 5.3, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.5, "Con": 25.4, "Ref": 18, "LD": 7.1, "Grn": 7.3, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 55.7 }, "mp": "Darren Paffey", "mp_elected_2024": "Darren Paffey" }, { "name": "Southampton Test", "slug": "southampton-test", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/southampton-test", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.988, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": 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"turnout": 56.5 }, "mp": "Bayo Alaba", "mp_elected_2024": "Bayo Alaba" }, { "name": "Southend West and Leigh", "slug": "southend-west-and-leigh", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/southend-west-and-leigh", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.571, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.316, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.5, "Con": 22.8, "Ref": 27.5, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 7.8, "RB": 6, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.6, "Con": 31.5, "Ref": 17.6, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 6.9, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 62.5 }, "mp": "David Burton-Sampson", "mp_elected_2024": "David Burton-Sampson" }, { "name": "Southgate and Wood Green", "slug": "southgate-and-wood-green", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/southgate-and-wood-green", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.998, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 41.4, "Con": 17.6, "Ref": 12.5, "LD": 9.1, "Grn": 16.8, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 51.1, "Con": 17.6, "Ref": 6.9, "LD": 8.6, "Grn": 12.3, "Oth": 3.5 }, "turnout": 58.9 }, "mp": "Bambos Charalambous", "mp_elected_2024": "Bambos Charalambous" }, { "name": "Southport", "slug": "southport", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/southport", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.856, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.087, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.3, "Con": 21.9, "Ref": 23.8, "LD": 9.4, "Grn": 6.1, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.3, "Con": 25.4, "Ref": 16.4, "LD": 13, "Grn": 4.8, "Oth": 2 }, "turnout": 61.2 }, "mp": "Patrick Hurley", "mp_elected_2024": "Patrick Hurley" }, { "name": "Spelthorne", "slug": "spelthorne", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/spelthorne", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.535, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.24, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.4, "Con": 26.9, "Ref": 24.6, "LD": 11.5, "Grn": 7.8, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 27, "Con": 30.4, "Ref": 17.9, "LD": 18.9, "Grn": 5.2, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 62.6 }, "mp": "Lincoln Jopp", "mp_elected_2024": "Lincoln Jopp" }, { "name": "Spen Valley", "slug": "spen-valley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/spen-valley", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.59, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.391, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.2, "Con": 19, "Ref": 31.2, "LD": 3.7, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 8.3, "Oth": 2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.2, "Con": 24, "Ref": 24.1, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 5.6, "Oth": 3.7 }, "turnout": 56.5 }, "mp": "Kim Leadbeater", "mp_elected_2024": "Kim Leadbeater" }, { "name": "St Albans", "slug": "st-albans", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/st-albans", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 11.3, "Con": 17.1, "Ref": 11.5, "LD": 46.2, "Grn": 11.8, "RB": 1.2, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 10.1, "Con": 18.2, "Ref": 8.4, "LD": 56.6, "Grn": 6.3, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 71 }, "mp": "Daisy Cooper", "mp_elected_2024": "Daisy Cooper" }, { "name": "St Austell and Newquay", "slug": "st-austell-and-newquay", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/st-austell-and-newquay", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.481, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.464, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.8, "Con": 20.8, "Ref": 29.6, "LD": 5.6, "Grn": 6, "RB": 8, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.1, "Con": 28.9, "Ref": 19.7, "LD": 10.3, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 2 }, "turnout": 61.4 }, "mp": "Noah Law", "mp_elected_2024": "Noah Law" }, { "name": "St Helens North", "slug": "st-helens-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/st-helens-north", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.933, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.068, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.5, "Con": 10.1, "Ref": 28, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 9.5, "RB": 7.8, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 52.6, "Con": 11.1, "Ref": 22.5, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 8.6, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 53.6 }, "mp": "David Baines", "mp_elected_2024": "David Baines" }, { "name": "St Helens South and Whiston", "slug": "st-helens-south-and-whiston", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/st-helens-south-and-whiston", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.98, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.02, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.8, "Con": 8.5, "Ref": 24.4, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 9.4, "RB": 7.5, "Oth": 6.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.7, "Con": 8, "Ref": 18.3, "LD": 5.8, "Grn": 6.9, "Oth": 11.2 }, "turnout": 53.1 }, "mp": "Marie Rimmer", "mp_elected_2024": "Marie Rimmer" }, { "name": "St Ives", "slug": "st-ives", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/st-ives", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.929, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.042, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.4, "Con": 22.1, "Ref": 22.2, "LD": 36.4, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 4.9, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 5.8, "Con": 23.4, "Ref": 13.5, "LD": 52, "Grn": 3.7, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 68.7 }, "mp": "Andrew George", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew George" }, { "name": "St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire", "slug": "st-neots-and-mid-cambridgeshire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/st-neots-and-mid-cambridgeshire", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.865, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.13, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 13.1, "Con": 23.2, "Ref": 17, "LD": 31.9, "Grn": 8.8, "RB": 2.6, "Oth": 3.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13.1, "Con": 28.2, "Ref": 10.7, "LD": 36.9, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 6.1 }, "turnout": 67.7 }, "mp": "Ian Sollom", "mp_elected_2024": "Ian Sollom" }, { "name": "Stafford", "slug": "stafford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stafford", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.835, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.098, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.7, "Con": 23.4, "Ref": 25.4, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 7.6, "RB": 5.2, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.3, "Con": 30.3, "Ref": 18.7, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 6.2, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 65.2 }, "mp": "Leigh Ingham", "mp_elected_2024": "Leigh Ingham" }, { "name": "Staffordshire Moorlands", "slug": "staffordshire-moorlands", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/staffordshire-moorlands", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.561, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.316, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 24.3, "Con": 30.7, "Ref": 28.6, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 7.1, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 32.6, "Con": 35.4, "Ref": 23.2, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 5.3 }, "turnout": 62 }, "mp": "Karen Bradley", "mp_elected_2024": "Karen Bradley" }, { "name": "Stalybridge and Hyde", "slug": "stalybridge-and-hyde", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stalybridge-and-hyde", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.805, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.195, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34, "Con": 14.2, "Ref": 27.8, "LD": 3.1, "Grn": 8.8, "RB": 7.4, "Oth": 4.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.8, "Con": 18.5, "Ref": 20.9, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 7.4, "Oth": 6.6 }, "turnout": 51.5 }, "mp": "Jonathan Reynolds", "mp_elected_2024": "Jonathan Reynolds" }, { "name": "Stevenage", "slug": "stevenage", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stevenage", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.852, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.136, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.9, "Con": 18.6, "Ref": 26.6, "LD": 6.2, "Grn": 8.5, "RB": 5.4, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.4, "Con": 25.9, "Ref": 17.9, "LD": 8.1, "Grn": 6.2, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 60.2 }, "mp": "Kevin Bonavia", "mp_elected_2024": "Kevin Bonavia" }, { "name": "Stirling and Strathallan", "slug": "stirling-and-strathallan", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stirling-and-strathallan", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.927, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.066, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 19.9, "Con": 16.2, "Ref": 17, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 6.1, "SNP": 32.7, "RB": 1.7, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.9, "Con": 19, "Ref": 6.3, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 4.7, "SNP": 31.1 }, "turnout": 65.3 }, "mp": "Chris Kane", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris Kane" }, { "name": "Stockport", "slug": "stockport", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stockport", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.998, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.7, "Con": 11.1, "Ref": 19.1, "LD": 7.9, "Grn": 15.5, "RB": 4, "Oth": 3.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.9, "Con": 11.4, "Ref": 14.9, "LD": 8.5, "Grn": 11.1, "Oth": 4.2 }, "turnout": 57 }, "mp": "Navendu Mishra", "mp_elected_2024": "Navendu Mishra" }, { "name": "Stockton North", "slug": "stockton-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stockton-north", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.682, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.317, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.8, "Con": 15.7, "Ref": 31, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 8.6, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.8, "Con": 21.5, "Ref": 24.6, "LD": 3, "Grn": 5.1 }, "turnout": 53.2 }, "mp": "Chris McDonald", "mp_elected_2024": "Chris McDonald" }, { "name": "Stockton West", "slug": "stockton-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stockton-west", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.879, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.12, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.4, "Con": 37.6, "Ref": 19.8, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 5.9, "RB": 3.9, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 37.5, "Con": 41.9, "Ref": 14, "LD": 2.5, "Grn": 3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 67.7 }, "mp": "Matt Vickers", "mp_elected_2024": "Matt Vickers" }, { "name": "Stoke-on-Trent Central", "slug": "stoke-on-trent-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stoke-on-trent-central", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.626, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.374, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.5, "Con": 11.7, "Ref": 30.3, "LD": 2.3, "Grn": 7.6, "RB": 8.4, "Oth": 7.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.4, "Con": 17.6, "Ref": 24.2, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 4.8, "Oth": 8.1 }, "turnout": 47.8 }, "mp": "Gareth Snell", "mp_elected_2024": "Gareth Snell" }, { "name": "Stoke-on-Trent North", "slug": "stoke-on-trent-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stoke-on-trent-north", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.577, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.419, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.2, "Con": 17.4, "Ref": 32.7, "LD": 2, "Grn": 4.8, "RB": 8.8, "Oth": 3.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.3, "Con": 26.3, "Ref": 24.4, "LD": 2.5, "Grn": 3.4, "Oth": 3.1 }, "turnout": 51.8 }, "mp": "David Williams", "mp_elected_2024": "David Williams" }, { "name": "Stoke-on-Trent South", "slug": "stoke-on-trent-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stoke-on-trent-south", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.503, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.349, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 24.1, "Ref": 30.1, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 4.4, "RB": 7.2, "Oth": 3.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 34.7, "Con": 33.2, "Ref": 21.6, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 2.9, "Oth": 3.6 }, "turnout": 58.5 }, "mp": "Allison Gardner", "mp_elected_2024": "Allison Gardner" }, { "name": "Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge", "slug": "stone-great-wyrley-and-penkridge", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stone-great-wyrley-and-penkridge", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.858, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.143, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.8, "Con": 40.1, "Ref": 6.6, "LD": 6.4, "Grn": 8.9, "RB": 1.1, "Oth": 6.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.7, "Con": 46.5, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 5.2, "Oth": 7.7 }, "turnout": 59.8 }, "mp": "Gavin Williamson", "mp_elected_2024": "Gavin Williamson" }, { "name": "Stourbridge", "slug": "stourbridge", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stourbridge", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.64, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.289, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 31.4, "Con": 22.2, "Ref": 28.1, "LD": 3, "Grn": 6, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 2.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.5, "Con": 30.8, "Ref": 19.7, "LD": 4, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 58.4 }, "mp": "Cat Eccles", "mp_elected_2024": "Cat Eccles" }, { "name": "Strangford", "slug": "strangford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/strangford", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "DUP", "projected_winner_name": "DUP", "win_chance": 0.956, "status": "DUP hold", "runner_up": "APNI", "runner_up_name": "Alliance", "runner_up_chance": 0.045, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "DUP", "vote_share": { "Oth": 3.2, "SDLP": 4.6, "SF": 7.2, "TUV": 8.1, "UUP": 10.1, "APNI": 26.8, "DUP": 40 }, "turnout": 52.2 }, "mp": "Jim Shannon", "mp_elected_2024": "Jim Shannon" }, { "name": "Stratford and Bow", "slug": "stratford-and-bow", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stratford-and-bow", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.815, "status": "Labour 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}, "mp": "Manuela Perteghella", "mp_elected_2024": "Manuela Perteghella" }, { "name": "Streatham and Croydon North", "slug": "streatham-and-croydon-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/streatham-and-croydon-north", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.989, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.012, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 43.6, "Con": 12.9, "Ref": 8.2, "LD": 11.3, "Grn": 22.1, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 52.1, "Con": 12, "Ref": 4.5, "LD": 11.3, "Grn": 17.1, "Oth": 3 }, "turnout": 58.4 }, "mp": "Steve Reed", "mp_elected_2024": "Steve Reed" }, { "name": "Stretford and Urmston", "slug": "stretford-and-urmston", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stretford-and-urmston", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.996, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.6, "Con": 13.3, "Ref": 17, "LD": 5.7, "Grn": 15.3, "RB": 2.8, "Oth": 8.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 49.2, "Con": 14.1, "Ref": 11.9, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 9.6, "Oth": 10.4 }, "turnout": 61.2 }, "mp": "Andrew Western", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Western" }, { "name": "Stroud", "slug": "stroud", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/stroud", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.992, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.007, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.2, "Con": 21, "Ref": 18.7, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 13.1, "RB": 3.8, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.4, "Con": 25.7, "Ref": 11.5, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 10.4, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 70.9 }, "mp": "Simon Opher", "mp_elected_2024": "Simon Opher" }, { "name": "Suffolk Coastal", "slug": "suffolk-coastal", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/suffolk-coastal", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.524, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.275, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 27, "Con": 24.4, "Ref": 24.5, "LD": 10.4, "Grn": 8.4, "RB": 4.7, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 31.7, "Con": 29.5, "Ref": 15.9, "LD": 14, "Grn": 8.9 }, "turnout": 66.4 }, "mp": "Jenny Riddell-Carpenter", "mp_elected_2024": "Jenny Riddell-Carpenter" }, { "name": "Sunderland Central", "slug": "sunderland-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sunderland-central", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.643, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.355, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.6, "Con": 11.7, "Ref": 30.8, "LD": 6, "Grn": 8.8, "RB": 8.5, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.2, "Con": 14.3, "Ref": 27, "LD": 9, "Grn": 7.5 }, "turnout": 52.5 }, "mp": "Lewis Atkinson", "mp_elected_2024": "Lewis Atkinson" }, { "name": "Surrey Heath", "slug": "surrey-heath", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/surrey-heath", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.748, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.228, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.2, "Con": 27.2, "Ref": 21.6, "LD": 33.6, "Grn": 5.1, "RB": 3.2, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.6, "Con": 33, "Ref": 13.1, "LD": 44.8, "Grn": 2.4, "Oth": 0.2 }, "turnout": 66.4 }, "mp": "Al Pinkerton", "mp_elected_2024": "Al Pinkerton" }, { "name": "Sussex Weald", "slug": "sussex-weald", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sussex-weald", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.852, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.145, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 14.9, "Con": 31.6, "Ref": 25.1, "LD": 12.3, "Grn": 8.2, "RB": 5.1, "Oth": 2.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 16.8, "Con": 34.1, "Ref": 18.1, "LD": 20.2, "Grn": 7.7, "Oth": 3.2 }, "turnout": 67.5 }, "mp": "Nus Ghani", "mp_elected_2024": "Nus Ghani" }, { "name": "Sutton and Cheam", "slug": "sutton-and-cheam", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sutton-and-cheam", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.61, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.369, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 16, "Con": 27, "Ref": 18.8, "LD": 29.4, "Grn": 5.6, "RB": 2.9, "Oth": 0.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 17.7, "Con": 28.9, "Ref": 12.2, "LD": 36.9, "Grn": 3.6, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 65.8 }, "mp": "Luke Taylor", "mp_elected_2024": "Luke Taylor" }, { "name": "Sutton Coldfield", "slug": "sutton-coldfield", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/sutton-coldfield", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.844, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.136, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 26.3, "Con": 34.3, "Ref": 21.3, "LD": 4.9, "Grn": 7.7, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33, "Con": 38.3, "Ref": 17, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 5, "Oth": 1.4 }, "turnout": 65.2 }, "mp": "Andrew Mitchell", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Mitchell" }, { "name": "Swansea West", "slug": "swansea-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/swansea-west", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.452, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.37, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.8, "Con": 8.7, "Ref": 24.5, "LD": 8.2, "Grn": 12.2, "PC": 19.2, "RB": 2, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.4, "Con": 9.9, "Ref": 17.5, "LD": 12.2, "Grn": 6.5, "PC": 11.5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 48 }, "mp": "Torsten Bell", "mp_elected_2024": "Torsten Bell" }, { "name": "Swindon North", "slug": "swindon-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/swindon-north", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.747, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.223, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33, "Con": 20.7, "Ref": 27.8, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 7.3, "RB": 6.9, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.6, "Con": 31.3, "Ref": 17.1, "LD": 4.7, "Grn": 5.4, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 60.3 }, "mp": "Will Stone", "mp_elected_2024": "Will Stone" }, { "name": "Swindon South", "slug": "swindon-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/swindon-south", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.978, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.02, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 38.1, "Con": 18.7, "Ref": 23.6, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 9.8, "RB": 5.1, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.4, "Con": 26.9, "Ref": 13.8, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 5.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 61.7 }, "mp": "Heidi Alexander", "mp_elected_2024": "Heidi Alexander" }, { "name": "Tamworth", "slug": "tamworth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/tamworth", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.676, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.276, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.5, "Con": 22, "Ref": 32.9, "LD": 2.4, "Grn": 4.6, "RB": 8.3, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35, "Con": 31.9, "Ref": 25.1, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 3.6, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 58.3 }, "mp": "Sarah Edwards", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Edwards" }, { "name": "Tatton", "slug": "tatton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/tatton", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.835, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.165, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28.8, "Con": 36.4, "Ref": 15.6, "LD": 8.7, "Grn": 7.5, "RB": 2.2, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.3, "Con": 38.4, "Ref": 11.5, "LD": 8.9, "Grn": 5 }, "turnout": 68.3 }, "mp": "Esther McVey", "mp_elected_2024": "Esther McVey" }, { "name": "Taunton and Wellington", "slug": "taunton-and-wellington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/taunton-and-wellington", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.821, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.115, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.1, "Con": 21.2, "Ref": 25, "LD": 33.5, "Grn": 6, "RB": 5.5, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 7.1, "Con": 24.6, "Ref": 16, "LD": 48.4, "Grn": 3.6, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 63.9 }, "mp": "Gideon Amos", "mp_elected_2024": "Gideon Amos" }, { "name": "Telford", "slug": "telford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/telford", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.713, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.287, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.4, "Con": 14.6, "Ref": 31.2, "LD": 2.8, "Grn": 6.7, "RB": 8.5, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.7, "Con": 21.4, "Ref": 24.8, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 5.2 }, "turnout": 55.2 }, "mp": "Shaun Davies", "mp_elected_2024": "Shaun Davies" }, { "name": "Tewkesbury", "slug": "tewkesbury", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/tewkesbury", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.478, "status": "Conservative gain from Lib Dem", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.445, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10.7, "Con": 26.9, "Ref": 21.9, "LD": 26.1, "Grn": 9.2, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 0.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 8.9, "Con": 29.8, "Ref": 12.4, "LD": 42.7, "Grn": 5.9, "Oth": 0.4 }, "turnout": 66.1 }, "mp": "Cameron Thomas", "mp_elected_2024": "Cameron Thomas" }, { "name": "The Wrekin", "slug": "the-wrekin", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/the-wrekin", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.529, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.268, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 25.2, "Con": 28.2, "Ref": 25.5, "LD": 5.8, "Grn": 7.9, "RB": 5.7, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.9, "Con": 32.6, "Ref": 19.8, "LD": 9.5, "Grn": 6.1, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 63.4 }, "mp": "Mark Pritchard", "mp_elected_2024": "Mark Pritchard" }, { "name": "Thirsk and Malton", "slug": "thirsk-and-malton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/thirsk-and-malton", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.964, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.033, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 17.8, "Con": 36.2, "Ref": 24.1, "LD": 8.8, "Grn": 6.4, "RB": 5.7, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 24.1, "Con": 39.2, "Ref": 18, "LD": 10.8, "Grn": 6, "Oth": 1.9 }, "turnout": 63.5 }, "mp": "Kevin Hollinrake", "mp_elected_2024": "Kevin Hollinrake" }, { "name": "Thornbury and Yate", "slug": "thornbury-and-yate", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/thornbury-and-yate", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.475, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.412, "projected_vote_share": 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"https://gbelects.com/seat/tooting", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.999, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 46.1, "Con": 16.7, "Ref": 7.6, "LD": 9.6, "Grn": 18.5, "RB": 0.5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 55.2, "Con": 18.4, "Ref": 4.8, "LD": 8.4, "Grn": 10.7, "Oth": 2.6 }, "turnout": 69.5 }, "mp": "Rosena Allin-Khan", "mp_elected_2024": "Rosena Allin-Khan" }, { "name": "Torbay", "slug": "torbay", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/torbay", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.479, "status": "Reform UK gain from Lib Dem", "runner_up": "LD", "runner_up_name": "Lib Dem", "runner_up_chance": 0.364, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.2, "Con": 23.7, "Ref": 29.5, "LD": 27, "Grn": 4.4, 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26.1, "RB": 0.9, "Oth": 2.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 57.5, "Con": 5.8, "Ref": 4, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 19, "Oth": 9 }, "turnout": 52.9 }, "mp": "David Lammy", "mp_elected_2024": "David Lammy" }, { "name": "Truro and Falmouth", "slug": "truro-and-falmouth", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/truro-and-falmouth", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.982, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.012, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.1, "Con": 20.3, "Ref": 19.6, "LD": 9.2, "Grn": 10.7, "RB": 3.9, "Oth": 1.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41.3, "Con": 25.1, "Ref": 12.3, "LD": 13, "Grn": 6.9, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 68.9 }, "mp": "Jayne Kirkham", "mp_elected_2024": "Jayne Kirkham" }, { "name": "Tunbridge Wells", "slug": "tunbridge-wells", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/tunbridge-wells", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.875, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.111, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 12.3, "Con": 23.7, "Ref": 18.9, "LD": 33.4, "Grn": 7.1, "RB": 2.8, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 11.4, "Con": 27.6, "Ref": 12, "LD": 43.6, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 68.9 }, "mp": "Mike Martin", "mp_elected_2024": "Mike Martin" }, { "name": "Twickenham", "slug": "twickenham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/twickenham", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 13.9, "Con": 19, "Ref": 10.2, "LD": 45.5, "Grn": 9.8, "RB": 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"Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "DUP", "projected_winner_name": "DUP", "win_chance": 0.954, "status": "DUP hold", "runner_up": "SF", "runner_up_name": "Sinn Féin", "runner_up_chance": 0.047, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "DUP", "vote_share": { "SDLP": 3.2, "UUP": 7.7, "APNI": 13.3, "SF": 30.1, "DUP": 45.7 }, "turnout": 58.3 }, "mp": "Carla Lockhart", "mp_elected_2024": "Carla Lockhart" }, { "name": "Uxbridge and South Ruislip", "slug": "uxbridge-and-south-ruislip", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/uxbridge-and-south-ruislip", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.615, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.321, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.8, "Con": 28, "Ref": 22.9, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 10.2, "RB": 3.4, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 36.2, "Con": 34.9, "Ref": 14.4, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 9.5, "Oth": 1.3 }, "turnout": 61.4 }, "mp": "Danny Beales", "mp_elected_2024": "Danny Beales" }, { "name": "Vale of Glamorgan", "slug": "vale-of-glamorgan", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/vale-of-glamorgan", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.401, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.388, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.3, "Con": 24.2, "Ref": 25.3, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 7.2, "PC": 13.8, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 2.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.7, "Con": 29.5, "Ref": 15.2, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 4.1, "PC": 7.1, "Oth": 1.9 }, "turnout": 61.5 }, "mp": "Kanishka Narayan", "mp_elected_2024": "Kanishka Narayan" }, { "name": "Vauxhall and Camberwell Green", "slug": "vauxhall-and-camberwell-green", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/vauxhall-and-camberwell-green", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.981, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.019, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 47.4, "Con": 8.3, "Ref": 7.5, "LD": 11.1, "Grn": 24.5, "RB": 0.6, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 57.4, "Con": 7.5, "Ref": 5.4, "LD": 12.1, "Grn": 17.1, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 53.9 }, "mp": "Florence Eshalomi", "mp_elected_2024": "Florence Eshalomi" }, { "name": "Wakefield and Rothwell", "slug": "wakefield-and-rothwell", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wakefield-and-rothwell", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.757, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.242, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.9, "Con": 14.6, "Ref": 28.1, "LD": 6.5, "Grn": 8.1, "RB": 7.7, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 43.7, "Con": 18, "Ref": 20.7, "LD": 8, "Grn": 5.9, "Oth": 3.7 }, "turnout": 54.2 }, "mp": "Simon Lightwood", "mp_elected_2024": "Simon Lightwood" }, { "name": "Wallasey", "slug": "wallasey", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wallasey", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.997, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.003, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 43.2, "Con": 11.3, "Ref": 22.2, "LD": 4.8, "Grn": 10.9, "RB": 5.9, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 57.7, "Con": 11.7, "Ref": 15.6, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 9.1, "Oth": 1.5 }, "turnout": 57.7 }, "mp": "Angela Eagle", "mp_elected_2024": "Angela Eagle" }, { "name": "Walsall and Bloxwich", "slug": "walsall-and-bloxwich", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/walsall-and-bloxwich", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.513, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.43, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 12.9, "Ref": 27.7, "LD": 2.2, "Grn": 10.5, "RB": 5.7, "Oth": 13 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 33.6, "Con": 18, "Ref": 19.6, "LD": 2.2, "Grn": 6.2, "Oth": 20.4 }, "turnout": 49.6 }, "mp": "Valerie Vaz", "mp_elected_2024": "Valerie Vaz" }, { "name": "Walthamstow", "slug": "walthamstow", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/walthamstow", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.967, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.034, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 48.4, "Con": 7.5, "Ref": 7.2, "LD": 6, "Grn": 27.7, "RB": 0.7, "Oth": 2.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 59.5, "Con": 5.2, "Ref": 4, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 20.1, "Oth": 7.4 }, "turnout": 61.3 }, "mp": "Stella Creasy", "mp_elected_2024": "Stella Creasy" }, { "name": "Warrington North", "slug": "warrington-north", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/warrington-north", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.816, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.185, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.4, "Con": 13.1, "Ref": 29.5, "LD": 5.4, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 7.4, "Oth": 1.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.8, "Con": 16.2, "Ref": 23.8, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 4.7, "Oth": 1.6 }, "turnout": 56.7 }, "mp": "Charlotte Nichols", "mp_elected_2024": "Charlotte Nichols" }, { "name": "Warrington South", "slug": "warrington-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/warrington-south", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.979, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.014, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.5, "Con": 20, "Ref": 22.1, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 7.8, "RB": 4.3, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.7, "Con": 23.9, "Ref": 15.9, "LD": 7.7, "Grn": 4.7, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 63.4 }, "mp": "Sarah Hall", "mp_elected_2024": "Sarah Hall" }, { "name": "Warwick and Leamington", "slug": "warwick-and-leamington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/warwick-and-leamington", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.999, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.001, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 40.4, "Con": 18.9, "Ref": 14.9, "LD": 7, "Grn": 15.3, "RB": 2, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.7, "Con": 23.5, "Ref": 10.5, "LD": 7.9, "Grn": 9.1, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 64.5 }, "mp": "Matt Western", "mp_elected_2024": "Matt Western" }, { "name": "Washington and Gateshead South", "slug": "washington-and-gateshead-south", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/washington-and-gateshead-south", "region": "North East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.581, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.416, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.5, "Con": 10.1, "Ref": 33.6, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 5.5, "RB": 10.9, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.8, "Con": 12.6, "Ref": 29.1, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 4.6, "Oth": 1.7 }, "turnout": 52.2 }, "mp": "Sharon Hodgson", "mp_elected_2024": "Sharon Hodgson" }, { "name": "Watford", "slug": "watford", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/watford", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.96, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.024, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 30.1, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 17.2, "LD": 14.1, "Grn": 12.5, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 4.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.3, "Con": 24.7, "Ref": 11.1, "LD": 17, "Grn": 5.5, "Oth": 6.4 }, "turnout": 60.8 }, "mp": "Matt Turmaine", "mp_elected_2024": "Matt Turmaine" }, { "name": "Waveney Valley", "slug": "waveney-valley", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/waveney-valley", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Grn", "projected_winner_name": "Green", "win_chance": 0.838, "status": "Green hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.087, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 9.2, "Con": 23, "Ref": 23.6, "LD": 3.5, "Grn": 34.8, "RB": 5.3, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { 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"nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.621, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.366, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32.4, "Con": 19.2, "Ref": 30, "LD": 2.9, "Grn": 7.6, "RB": 6.9, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.3, "Con": 27.8, "Ref": 21.5, "LD": 3.6, "Grn": 6.1, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 56.7 }, "mp": "Gen Kitchen", "mp_elected_2024": "Gen Kitchen" }, { "name": "Wells and Mendip Hills", "slug": "wells-and-mendip-hills", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wells-and-mendip-hills", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.864, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.109, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.4, "Con": 23.2, "Ref": 21.3, "LD": 33.8, "Grn": 6.5, "RB": 4.5, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 7, "Con": 24.8, "Ref": 13.1, "LD": 46.9, "Grn": 4.1, "Oth": 4 }, "turnout": 68.5 }, "mp": "Tessa Munt", "mp_elected_2024": "Tessa Munt" }, { "name": "Welwyn Hatfield", "slug": "welwyn-hatfield", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/welwyn-hatfield", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.919, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.06, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.5, "Con": 23.3, "Ref": 21.7, "LD": 6, "Grn": 10.6, "RB": 3.1, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 41, "Con": 33.2, "Ref": 13.2, "LD": 6.4, "Grn": 6.2 }, "turnout": 64.4 }, "mp": "Andrew Lewin", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Lewin" }, { "name": "West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine", "slug": "west-aberdeenshire-and-kincardine", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/west-aberdeenshire-and-kincardine", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.607, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "SNP", "runner_up_name": "SNP", "runner_up_chance": 0.387, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.5, "Con": 30.7, "Ref": 17.9, "LD": 9, "Grn": 3, "SNP": 28.5, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 13.1, "Con": 35.6, "Ref": 7.1, "LD": 13, "Grn": 2.1, "SNP": 28.6, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 67.1 }, "mp": "Andrew Bowie", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Bowie" }, { "name": "West Bromwich", "slug": "west-bromwich", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/west-bromwich", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.894, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.106, "projected_vote_share": { 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"https://gbelects.com/seat/west-dunbartonshire", "region": "Scotland", "nation": "Scotland", "projected_winner": "SNP", "projected_winner_name": "SNP", "win_chance": 0.781, "status": "SNP gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.22, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 28, "Con": 5.3, "Ref": 16.1, "LD": 3, "Grn": 7, "SNP": 35.9, "RB": 2.4, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 48.8, "Con": 3.7, "Ref": 7, "LD": 2.1, "Grn": 3.8, "SNP": 33.6, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 57.3 }, "mp": "Douglas McAllister", "mp_elected_2024": "Douglas McAllister" }, { "name": "West Ham and Beckton", "slug": "west-ham-and-beckton", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/west-ham-and-beckton", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.937, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Sophia Naqvi", "runner_up_chance": 0.032, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.3, "Con": 10.5, "Ref": 12.1, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 20.2, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 14.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.2, "Con": 10.4, "Ref": 7.7, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 10.7, "Oth": 21.5 }, "turnout": 46 }, "mp": "James Asser", "mp_elected_2024": "James Asser" }, { "name": "West Lancashire", "slug": "west-lancashire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/west-lancashire", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.983, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.018, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.6, "Con": 15.8, "Ref": 24.7, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 9.2, "RB": 5.5, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 50.5, "Con": 19.6, "Ref": 17.9, "LD": 4.6, "Grn": 7.4 }, "turnout": 59.7 }, "mp": "Ashley Dalton", "mp_elected_2024": "Ashley Dalton" }, { "name": "West Suffolk", "slug": "west-suffolk", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/west-suffolk", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.496, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.434, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21, "Con": 28.5, "Ref": 28.4, "LD": 6.3, "Grn": 7.8, "RB": 6.6, "Oth": 1.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 27.2, "Con": 34.3, "Ref": 20.8, "LD": 9.3, "Grn": 6.3, "Oth": 2.1 }, "turnout": 59.8 }, "mp": "Nick Timothy", "mp_elected_2024": "Nick Timothy" }, { "name": "West Tyrone", "slug": "west-tyrone", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/west-tyrone", "region": "Northern Ireland", "nation": "Northern Ireland", "projected_winner": "SF", "projected_winner_name": "Sinn Féin", "win_chance": 1, "status": "Sinn Féin hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0, "projected_vote_share": null, "result_2024": { "winner": "SF", "vote_share": { "Oth": 2, "APNI": 5.2, "TUV": 5.8, "UUP": 6.1, "SDLP": 13.3, "DUP": 15.5, "SF": 52 }, "turnout": 58.8 }, "mp": "Órfhlaith Begley", "mp_elected_2024": "Órfhlaith Begley" }, { "name": "West Worcestershire", "slug": "west-worcestershire", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/west-worcestershire", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.985, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.008, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 14.8, "Con": 34.7, "Ref": 19.6, "LD": 16, "Grn": 10.1, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 15.2, "Con": 36.2, "Ref": 14.4, "LD": 24.2, "Grn": 9.3, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 69 }, "mp": "Harriett Baldwin", "mp_elected_2024": "Harriett Baldwin" }, { "name": "Westmorland and Lonsdale", "slug": "westmorland-and-lonsdale", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/westmorland-and-lonsdale", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.997, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.004, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.3, "Con": 20.8, "Ref": 15.2, "LD": 47.7, "Grn": 5.6, "RB": 2.5, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 4.7, "Con": 19.4, "Ref": 9.8, "LD": 62.7, "Grn": 3, "Oth": 0.5 }, "turnout": 68.8 }, "mp": "Tim Farron", "mp_elected_2024": "Tim Farron" }, { "name": "Weston-super-Mare", "slug": "weston-super-mare", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/weston-super-mare", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.719, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.253, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 32, "Con": 19.9, "Ref": 27.7, "LD": 5.2, "Grn": 7.4, "RB": 7.2, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 38.5, "Con": 28.1, "Ref": 18.2, "LD": 8.9, "Grn": 6.3 }, "turnout": 59.4 }, "mp": "Daniel Aldridge", "mp_elected_2024": "Daniel Aldridge" }, { "name": "Wetherby and Easingwold", "slug": "wetherby-and-easingwold", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wetherby-and-easingwold", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.968, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.028, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 22.9, "Con": 37, "Ref": 18.9, "LD": 7.2, "Grn": 9.5, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.1, "Con": 39.4, "Ref": 13.9, "LD": 6.4, "Grn": 8.7, "Oth": 1.4 }, "turnout": 70.3 }, "mp": "Alec Shelbrooke", "mp_elected_2024": "Alec Shelbrooke" }, { "name": "Whitehaven and Workington", "slug": "whitehaven-and-workington", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/whitehaven-and-workington", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.899, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.101, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.2, "Con": 16.1, "Ref": 28.8, "LD": 3, "Grn": 4.8, "RB": 7.6, "Oth": 0.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 53, "Con": 20.2, "Ref": 21.2, "LD": 2.7, "Grn": 2.9 }, "turnout": 57.2 }, "mp": "Josh MacAlister", "mp_elected_2024": "Josh MacAlister" }, { "name": "Widnes and Halewood", "slug": "widnes-and-halewood", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/widnes-and-halewood", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.991, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.009, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 44.9, "Con": 9.1, "Ref": 25, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 8, "RB": 7.3, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 61.6, "Con": 9.2, "Ref": 18.5, "LD": 4.2, "Grn": 5.4, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 54.3 }, "mp": "Derek Twigg", "mp_elected_2024": "Derek Twigg" }, { "name": "Wigan", "slug": "wigan", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wigan", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.809, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.192, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.5, "Con": 9.4, "Ref": 29.7, "LD": 3.8, "Grn": 6.4, "RB": 8.7, "Oth": 5.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.4, "Con": 10.5, "Ref": 24.1, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 4, "Oth": 9.8 }, "turnout": 52.7 }, "mp": "Lisa Nandy", "mp_elected_2024": "Lisa Nandy" }, { "name": "Wimbledon", "slug": "wimbledon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wimbledon", "region": "London", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.963, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.027, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.3, "Con": 22.6, "Ref": 8.5, "LD": 39.1, "Grn": 8.4, "RB": 0.6, "Oth": 0.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 21.3, "Con": 22.2, "Ref": 5.9, "LD": 45.1, "Grn": 4.4, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 72 }, "mp": "Paul Kohler", "mp_elected_2024": "Paul Kohler" }, { "name": "Winchester", "slug": "winchester", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/winchester", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.956, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.044, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.1, "Con": 25, "Ref": 14.5, "LD": 40.8, "Grn": 8.4, "RB": 1.7, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 5.3, "Con": 28.2, "Ref": 8.4, "LD": 52.5, "Grn": 4.8, "Oth": 0.8 }, "turnout": 72.9 }, "mp": "Danny Chambers", "mp_elected_2024": "Danny Chambers" }, { "name": "Windsor", "slug": "windsor", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/windsor", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.915, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.074, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.2, "Con": 30.6, "Ref": 16.4, "LD": 14.5, "Grn": 10.1, "RB": 1.9, "Oth": 5.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 22.2, "Con": 36.4, "Ref": 10.3, "LD": 21.1, "Grn": 5.1, "Oth": 5 }, "turnout": 61.7 }, "mp": "Jack Rankin", "mp_elected_2024": "Jack Rankin" }, { "name": "Wirral West", "slug": "wirral-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wirral-west", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.955, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.046, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.1, "Con": 24.3, "Ref": 18.4, "LD": 6.9, "Grn": 9.7, "RB": 2.9, "Oth": 0.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 46.4, "Con": 26.3, "Ref": 12.9, "LD": 6.1, "Grn": 8.3 }, "turnout": 68.6 }, "mp": "Matthew Patrick", "mp_elected_2024": "Matthew Patrick" }, { "name": "Witham", "slug": "witham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/witham", "region": "East of England", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.711, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.253, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 20.2, "Con": 31.4, "Ref": 27.3, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 7.7, "RB": 6.5, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 27, "Con": 37.2, "Ref": 19.5, "LD": 6.8, "Grn": 7, "Oth": 2.5 }, "turnout": 64.1 }, "mp": "Priti Patel", "mp_elected_2024": "Priti Patel" }, { "name": "Witney", "slug": "witney", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/witney", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.684, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.28, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10.4, "Con": 26.7, "Ref": 21.1, "LD": 31.1, "Grn": 5.7, "RB": 3.5, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 9.4, "Con": 32.6, "Ref": 12.5, "LD": 41.2, "Grn": 3.3, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 67 }, "mp": "Charles Maynard", "mp_elected_2024": "Charles Maynard" }, { "name": "Woking", "slug": "woking", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/woking", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.964, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.035, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 10.9, "Con": 23.1, "Ref": 16.3, "LD": 37.9, "Grn": 8.2, "RB": 1.8, "Oth": 1.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 9.2, "Con": 26.5, "Ref": 10.2, "LD": 49.9, "Grn": 3.8, "Oth": 0.3 }, "turnout": 66 }, "mp": "Will Forster", "mp_elected_2024": "Will Forster" }, { "name": "Wokingham", "slug": "wokingham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wokingham", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.858, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.142, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 8.8, "Con": 28, "Ref": 16, "LD": 37.7, "Grn": 6.8, "RB": 1.8, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.7, "Con": 32.2, "Ref": 9.8, "LD": 47.7, "Grn": 3.6 }, "turnout": 71.9 }, "mp": "Clive Jones", "mp_elected_2024": "Clive Jones" }, { "name": "Wolverhampton North East", "slug": "wolverhampton-north-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wolverhampton-north-east", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.59, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.408, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.9, "Con": 17.2, "Ref": 32.1, "LD": 2.2, "Grn": 5.8, "RB": 7.8, "Oth": 1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 42.9, "Con": 26.6, "Ref": 23.2, "LD": 3, "Grn": 4.3 }, "turnout": 47.1 }, "mp": "Sureena Brackenridge", "mp_elected_2024": "Sureena Brackenridge" }, { "name": "Wolverhampton South East", "slug": "wolverhampton-south-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wolverhampton-south-east", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.825, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.175, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 37.5, "Con": 11.6, "Ref": 30, "LD": 2.1, "Grn": 7.8, "RB": 7.8, "Oth": 3.2 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 50.3, "Con": 16.9, "Ref": 22.8, "LD": 2.3, "Grn": 4.9, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 43.1 }, "mp": "Pat McFadden", "mp_elected_2024": "Pat McFadden" }, { "name": "Wolverhampton West", "slug": "wolverhampton-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wolverhampton-west", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.982, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.012, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.5, "Con": 19.7, "Ref": 21.2, "LD": 3.3, "Grn": 10.2, "RB": 3.2, "Oth": 6.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 44.3, "Con": 26.3, "Ref": 13.9, "LD": 3.2, "Grn": 5.8, "Oth": 6.5 }, "turnout": 56.1 }, "mp": "Warinder Juss", "mp_elected_2024": "Warinder Juss" }, { "name": "Worcester", "slug": "worcester", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/worcester", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.976, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.013, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 34.6, "Con": 19.1, "Ref": 21, "LD": 6.1, "Grn": 13.3, "RB": 4.1, "Oth": 1.8 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.5, "Con": 25, "Ref": 14.6, "LD": 8.7, "Grn": 10.4, "Oth": 0.9 }, "turnout": 61.4 }, "mp": "Tom Collins", "mp_elected_2024": "Tom Collins" }, { "name": "Worsley and Eccles", "slug": "worsley-and-eccles", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/worsley-and-eccles", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.911, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.089, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 36.9, "Con": 13.1, "Ref": 27, "LD": 4.3, "Grn": 10, "RB": 6.3, "Oth": 2.4 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 47.7, "Con": 16, "Ref": 21.6, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 7.7, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 54.1 }, "mp": "Michael Wheeler", "mp_elected_2024": "Michael Wheeler" }, { "name": "Worthing West", "slug": "worthing-west", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/worthing-west", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.808, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.115, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 33.4, "Con": 24.8, "Ref": 24.5, "LD": 4.5, "Grn": 7.1, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 1.3 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 40.2, "Con": 32.5, "Ref": 14.8, "LD": 5.3, "Grn": 6.4, "Oth": 0.7 }, "turnout": 66.2 }, "mp": "Beccy Cooper", "mp_elected_2024": "Beccy Cooper" }, { "name": "Wrexham", "slug": "wrexham", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wrexham", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "Ref", "projected_winner_name": "Reform UK", "win_chance": 0.639, "status": "Reform UK gain from Labour", "runner_up": "Lab", "runner_up_name": "Labour", "runner_up_chance": 0.201, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 21.6, "Con": 19.6, "Ref": 27.2, "LD": 3.9, "Grn": 6.2, "PC": 17.2, "RB": 2.3, "Oth": 2.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 39.2, "Con": 24.5, "Ref": 17.1, "LD": 4.4, "Grn": 3.3, "PC": 10.2, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 57.5 }, "mp": "Andrew Ranger", "mp_elected_2024": "Andrew Ranger" }, { "name": "Wycombe", "slug": "wycombe", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wycombe", "region": "South East", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.934, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Oth", "runner_up_name": "Independent", "runner_up_chance": 0.032, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 29.7, "Con": 18.9, "Ref": 17.4, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 11.1, "RB": 2, "Oth": 13.6 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 35.9, "Con": 25.6, "Ref": 10.7, "LD": 9.5, "Grn": 4.9, "Oth": 13.4 }, "turnout": 60.8 }, "mp": "Emma Reynolds", "mp_elected_2024": "Emma Reynolds" }, { "name": "Wyre Forest", "slug": "wyre-forest", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wyre-forest", "region": "West Midlands", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Con", "projected_winner_name": "Conservative", "win_chance": 0.45, "status": "Conservative hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.391, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 23.5, "Con": 27.8, "Ref": 27.5, "LD": 4.1, "Grn": 6.2, "RB": 7.3, "Oth": 3.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Con", "vote_share": { "Lab": 30.3, "Con": 32.1, "Ref": 21.4, "LD": 6.2, "Grn": 5.4, "Oth": 4.6 }, "turnout": 58.4 }, "mp": "Mark Garnier", "mp_elected_2024": "Mark Garnier" }, { "name": "Wythenshawe and Sale East", "slug": "wythenshawe-and-sale-east", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/wythenshawe-and-sale-east", "region": "North West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.995, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.005, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 39.7, "Con": 12.5, "Ref": 20.6, "LD": 5.5, "Grn": 14.6, "RB": 4.4, "Oth": 2.7 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 52.6, "Con": 13.8, "Ref": 15.3, "LD": 5.1, "Grn": 10.6, "Oth": 2.7 }, "turnout": 50.3 }, "mp": "Mike Kane", "mp_elected_2024": "Mike Kane" }, { "name": "Yeovil", "slug": "yeovil", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/yeovil", "region": "South West", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "LD", "projected_winner_name": "Lib Dem", "win_chance": 0.813, "status": "Lib Dem hold", "runner_up": "Ref", "runner_up_name": "Reform UK", "runner_up_chance": 0.149, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 7.3, "Con": 20, "Ref": 25.6, "LD": 33, "Grn": 6.6, "RB": 6.4, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "LD", "vote_share": { "Lab": 6.1, "Con": 23.5, "Ref": 15.7, "LD": 48.5, "Grn": 4.9, "Oth": 1.2 }, "turnout": 61.3 }, "mp": "Adam Dance", "mp_elected_2024": "Adam Dance" }, { "name": "Ynys Môn", "slug": "ynys-mon", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/ynys-mon", "region": "Wales", "nation": "Wales", "projected_winner": "PC", "projected_winner_name": "Plaid Cymru", "win_chance": 0.961, "status": "Plaid Cymru hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.037, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 11.2, "Con": 22.9, "Ref": 18.4, "LD": 2.4, "Grn": 4.2, "PC": 38.2, "RB": 1.3, "Oth": 1.5 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "PC", "vote_share": { "Lab": 23.4, "Con": 30.5, "Ref": 9.9, "LD": 1.3, "Grn": 1.9, "PC": 32.5, "Oth": 0.6 }, "turnout": 61.4 }, "mp": "Llinos Medi", "mp_elected_2024": "Llinos Medi" }, { "name": "York Central", "slug": "york-central", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/york-central", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.992, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Grn", "runner_up_name": "Green", "runner_up_chance": 0.009, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 43.1, "Con": 10.7, "Ref": 14.9, "LD": 7.3, "Grn": 19.7, "RB": 3.2, "Oth": 1.1 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 56.6, "Con": 12.4, "Ref": 10.9, "LD": 7, "Grn": 12, "Oth": 1 }, "turnout": 54.5 }, "mp": "Rachael Maskell", "mp_elected_2024": "Rachael Maskell" }, { "name": "York Outer", "slug": "york-outer", "url": "https://gbelects.com/seat/york-outer", "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber", "nation": "England", "projected_winner": "Lab", "projected_winner_name": "Labour", "win_chance": 0.921, "status": "Labour hold", "runner_up": "Con", "runner_up_name": "Conservative", "runner_up_chance": 0.076, "projected_vote_share": { "Lab": 35.2, "Con": 25.1, "Ref": 18, "LD": 10.5, "Grn": 6.9, "RB": 3.4, "Oth": 0.9 }, "result_2024": { "winner": "Lab", "vote_share": { "Lab": 45.3, "Con": 26.9, "Ref": 11.6, "LD": 10.8, "Grn": 4.3, "Oth": 1.1 }, "turnout": 67 }, "mp": "Luke Charters", "mp_elected_2024": "Luke Charters" } ] }